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Robbins' problem of optimal stopping asks one to minimise the expected {\it rank} of observation chosen by some nonanticipating stopping rule. We settle a conjecture regarding the {\it value} of the stopped variable under the rule optimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Alexander Gnedin , Alexander Iksanov

In this paper, we adapt the classic Cram\'er-Lundberg collective risk theory model to a perturbed model by adding a Wiener process to the compound Poisson process, which can be used to incorporate premium income uncertainty, interest rate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-07 Yacine Koucha , Alfredo D. Egidio dos Reis

In the multiarmed bandit problem a gambler chooses an arm of a slot machine to pull considering a tradeoff between exploration and exploitation. We study the stochastic bandit problem where each arm has a reward distribution supported in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-29 Junya Honda , Akimichi Takemura

We propose and study an evolutionary minority game (EMG) in which the agents are allowed to choose among three possible options. Unlike the original EMG where the agents either win or lose one unit of wealth, the present model assigns one…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Hong-Jun Quan , P. M. Hui , C. Xu , K. F Yip

This paper studies a war of attrition game in the setting of public good provision that combines three elements: (i) multiple players, (ii) incomplete information, and (iii) ex-ante asymmetry. In the unique equilibrium, asymmetry leads to a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-27 Hongcheng Li

We study the computational complexity of the popular board game backgammon. We show that deciding whether a player can win from a given board configuration is NP-Hard, PSPACE-Hard, and EXPTIME-Hard under different settings of known and…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2021-12-15 R. Teal Witter

We study the asymptotic behavior of the ratio of total return (or total profit) to total amount bet in a casino game. While the limit is well understood when the sequence of wagers is independent and identically distributed, here we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-25 S. N. Ethier , L. Stefanello

The Optional Public Goods Game is a three-strategy game in which an individual can play as a cooperator or defector or decide not to participate. Despite its simplicity, this model can effectively represent many human social dilemmas, such…

We consider integer-valued random walks with independent but not identically distributed increments, and extend to this context several classical estimates, including a local limit theorem, precise small-ball estimates (both conditional on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Sébastien Ott , Yvan Velenik

The ruin probability in the classical Brownian risk model can be explicitly calculated for both finite and infinite-time horizon. This is not the case for the simultaneous ruin probability in two-dimensional Brownian risk model. Resorting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Zbigniew Michna

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that a weighted sum of centered i.i.d. random variables X_k does not exceed a constant barrier. For regular random walks, the results follow easily from classical fluctuation theory,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-24 Frank Aurzada , Christoph Baumgarten

In a multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem a gambler needs to choose at each round of play one of K arms, each characterized by an unknown reward distribution. Reward realizations are only observed when an arm is selected, and the gambler's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Omar Besbes , Yonatan Gur , Assaf Zeevi

We extend the classic regret minimization framework for approximating equilibria in normal-form games by greedily weighing iterates based on regrets observed at runtime. Theoretically, our method retains all previous convergence rate…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Hugh Zhang , Adam Lerer , Noam Brown

The iterated random walk is a random process in which a random walker moves on a one-dimensional random walk which is itself taking place on a one-dimensional random walk, and so on. This process is investigated in the continuum limit using…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Turban

Evolutionary game theory has been an important tool for describing economic and social behaviour for decades. Approximate mean value equations describing the time evolution of strategy concentrations can be derived from the players'…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-02-10 Mathis Antony , Degang Wu , K Y Szeto

In this paper, we obtain an asymptotic formula for the persistence probability in the positive real line of a random polynomial arising from evolutionary game theory. It corresponds to the probability that a multi-player two-strategy random…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Van Hao Can , Manh Hong Duong , Viet Hung Pham

We introduce a new type of random walk where the definition of edge reinforcement is very different from the one in the reinforced random walk models studied so far, and investigate its basic properties, such as null/positive recurrence,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Janos Englander , Stanislav Volkov

We consider a discrete random walk (RW) in n dimensions . The RW is adapted with a geometric absorption process: at any discrete time there is a constant probability that absorption occurs in the current state. To model the RW with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-05 Theo van Uem

We develop nonlinear renewal theorems for a perturbed random walk without assuming stochastic boundedness of centered perturbation terms. A second order expansion of the expected stopping time is obtained via the uniform integrability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Keiji Nagai , Cun-Hui Zhang

We introduce a class of absorption mechanisms and study the behavior of real-valued centered random walks with finite variance that do not get absorbed. In particular, we prove persistence and scaling limit results, which, in many cases of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-27 Micha Buck
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