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Groups of enterprises can serve as guarantees for one another and form complex networks when obtaining loans from commercial banks. During economic slowdowns, corporate default may spread like a virus and lead to large-scale defaults or…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-01 Zhibin Niu , Runlin Li , Junqi Wu , Dawei Cheng , Jiawan Zhang

First passage models, where corporate assets undergo a random walk and default occurs if the assets fall below a threshold, provide an attractive framework for modeling the default process. Recently such models have been generalized to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter B. Lee , Mark B. Wise , Vineer Bhansali

We propose a model which can be jointly calibrated to the corporate bond term structure and equity option volatility surface of the same company. Our purpose is to obtain explicit bond and equity option pricing formulas that can be…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-09-21 Erhan Bayraktar , Bo Yang

We present a detailed methodological study of the application of the modified profile likelihood method for the calibration of nonlinear financial models characterised by a large number of parameters. We apply the general approach to the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-29 Vladimir Filimonov , Guilherme Demos , Didier Sornette

In this paper we analyze the resilience of a network of banks to joint price fluctuations of the external assets in which they have shared exposures, and evaluate the worst-case effects of the possible default contagion. Indeed, when the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Giuseppe Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton Proskurnikov

In this paper, we present a model-based periodic event-triggered control mechanism for nonlinear continuous-time Networked Control Systems. A sampled-data prediction of the system behavior is used at the actuator to reduce the amount of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-03 Michael Hertneck , Steffen Linsenmayer , Frank Allgöwer

Decentralized control systems are widely used in a number of situations and applications. In order for these systems to function properly and achieve their desired goals, information must be propagated between agents, which requires…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-02 Paul Griffioen , Raffaele Romagnoli , Bruce H. Krogh , Bruno Sinopoli

This article aims to explore an empirical approach to analyze the macroeconomicsdeterminants of default of borrowers. For this purpose, we have measured the impact of the adverse economic conditions on the degradation of the credit…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-29 Anas Yassine , Abdelmadjid Ibenrissoul

Event-triggered networked control of a linear dynamical system is investigated. Specifically, the dynamical system and the controller are assumed to be connected through a communication channel. State and control input information packets…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-16 Ahmet Cetinkaya , Hideaki Ishii , Tomohisa Hayakawa

We study the incentives of banks in a financial network, where the network consists of debt contracts and credit default swaps (CDSs) between banks. One of the most important questions in such a system is the problem of deciding which of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-19 Pál András Papp , Roger Wattenhofer

We propose a modeling framework for the dynamics of a reduced form order book in event time and based on event sizes. Our framework for the order book is influenced by [9], but compared to [9] we allow the best bid ask spread to be larger…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-21 Kaj Nyström , Sidi Mohamed Ould Aly

The paper investigates the effect of the label green in bond markets from the lens of the trading activity. The idea is that jumps in the dynamics of returns have a specific memory nature that can be well represented through a self-exciting…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-24 Lorenzo Mercuri , Andrea Perchiazzo , Edit Rroji

This paper proposes a distributed event-triggered control method that not only guarantees consensus of multi-agent systems but also satisfies a given LQ performance constraint. Taking the standard distributed control scheme with all-time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-31 Shumpei Nishida , Kunihisa Okano

We construct a continuous time model for price-mediated contagion precipitated by a common exogenous stress to the banking book of all firms in the financial system. In this setting, firms are constrained so as to satisfy a risk-weight…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-23 Zachary Feinstein

Credit capital requirements in Internal Rating Based approaches require the calibration of two key parameters: the probability of default and the loss-given-default. This letter considers the uncertainty about these two parameters and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-19 Roberto Baviera

United States (US) IG bonds typically trade at modest spreads over US Treasuries, reflecting the credit risk tied to a corporation's default potential. During market crises, IG spreads often widen and liquidity tends to decrease, likely due…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-10 Travis Cable , Amir Mani , Wei Qi , Georgios Sotiropoulos , Yiyuan Xiong

We propose a new model for pricing Quanto CDS and risky bonds. The model operates with four stochastic factors, namely: hazard rate, foreign exchange rate, domestic interest rate, and foreign interest rate, and also allows for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-21 A. Itkin , V. Shcherbakov , A. Veygman

In this paper, we consider the event-triggered cooperative robust practical output regulation problem for a class of linear minimum-phase multi-agent systems. We first convert our problem into the cooperative robust practical stabilization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-07 Wei Liu , Jie Huang

We are now witnessing the increasing availability of event stream data, i.e., a sequence of events with each event typically being denoted by the time it occurs and its mark information (e.g., event type). A fundamental problem is to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-12 Yongqing Wang , Shenghua Liu , Huawei Shen , Xueqi Cheng

A simple banking network model is proposed which features multiple waves of bank defaults and is analytically solvable in the limiting case of an infinitely large homogeneous network. The model is a collection of nodes representing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-02 Igor Tsatskis