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The standard paradigm of modeling marked point processes is by parameterizing the intensity function using an attention-based (Transformer-style) architecture. Despite the flexibility of these methods, their inference is based on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-30 Aristeidis Panos

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

Differential evolution is one of the most prestigious population-based stochastic optimization algorithm for black-box problems. The performance of a differential evolution algorithm depends highly on its mutation and crossover strategy and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Jianyong Sun , Xin Liu , Thomas Bäck , Zongben Xu

This paper considers sequential adaptive estimation of sparse signals under a constraint on the total sensing effort. The advantage of adaptivity in this context is the ability to focus more resources on regions of space where signal…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-03 Dennis Wei , Alfred O. Hero

This paper is an attempt to remedy the problem of slow convergence for first-order numerical algorithms by proposing an adaptive conditioning heuristic. First, we propose a parallelizable numerical algorithm that is capable of solving…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Muhammad Adil , Sasan Tavakkol , Ramtin Madani

We present a novel algorithm to solve a non-linear system of equations, whose solution can be interpreted as a tight lower bound on the vector of expected hitting times of a Markov chain whose transition probabilities are only partially…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Thomas Krak

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

The state-of-the-art error correcting codes are based on large random constructions (random graphs, random permutations, ...) and are decoded by linear-time iterative algorithms. Because of these features, they are remarkable examples of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-08-31 Silvio Franz , Michele Leone , Andrea Montanari , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi

This work develops techniques for the sequential detection and location estimation of transient changes in the volatility (standard deviation) of time series data. In particular, we introduce a class of change detection algorithms based on…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-29 Alireza Ahrabian , Nazli Farajidavar , Clive Cheong-Took , Payam Barnaghi

This paper proposes a recursive interval-valued estimation framework for identifying the parameters of linearly parameterized systems which may be slowly time-varying. It is assumed that the model error (which may consist in measurement…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-22 Laurent Bako , Seydi Ndiaye , Eric Blanco

In this paper we consider the problem of parameter inference for Markov jump process (MJP) representations of stochastic kinetic models. Since transition probabilities are intractable for most processes of interest yet forward simulation is…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-16 Andrew Golightly , Darren J. Wilkinson

A stochastic incremental subgradient algorithm for the minimization of a sum of convex functions is introduced. The method sequentially uses partial subgradient information and the sequence of partial subgradients is determined by a general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Rafael Massambone , Eduardo F. Costa , Elias S. Helou

We present for the first time an asymptotic convergence analysis of two time-scale stochastic approximation driven by "controlled" Markov noise. In particular, the faster and slower recursions have non-additive controlled Markov noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Prasenjit Karmakar

In the gravitational-wave analysis of pulsar-timing-array datasets, parameter estimation is usually performed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to explore posterior probability densities. We introduce an alternative procedure that…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-05-16 Michele Vallisneri , Marco Crisostomi , Aaron D. Johnson , Patrick M. Meyers

Time-varying stochastic optimization problems frequently arise in machine learning practice (e.g. gradual domain shift, object tracking, strategic classification). Although most problems are solved in discrete time, the underlying process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Subha Maity , Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun

Efficient and robust online processing technique of irregularly structured data is crucial in the current era of data abundance. In this paper, we propose a graph/network version of the classical adaptive Sign algorithm for online graph…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-19 Yi Yan , Ercan E. Kuruoglu , Mustafa A. Altinkaya

A piecewise-deterministic Markov process is a stochastic process whose behavior is governed by an ordinary differential equation punctuated by random jumps occurring at random times. We focus on the nonparametric estimation problem of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Romain Azaïs , Aurélie Muller-Gueudin

The operational reliability of a high performance marine vessel depends critically on the health of its marine propulsion systems, which are increasingly subjected to diverse operational loads and environmental stressors. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-27 Y. Harsha Vardhana Reddy , Soumyendu Raha

We propose a technique for the design and analysis of adaptation algorithms in dynamical systems. The technique applies both to systems with conventional Lyapunov-stable target dynamics and to ones of which the desired dynamics around the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tyukin Ivan , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

This paper studies the mixing time of certain adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms. Under some regularity conditions, we show that the convergence rate of Importance Resampling MCMC (IRMCMC) algorithm, measured in terms of the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-29 Yves Atchadé , Yizao Wang