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Non-Markovian dynamics are ubiquitous across physics, biology, and engineering. Yet our understanding of non-Markovian processes significantly lags that of simpler Markovian processes, due largely to a lack of tractable models. In this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-23 Matthew P. Leighton , Christopher W. Lynn

This paper proposes a stochastic framework to evaluate the performance of public transit systems under short random service suspensions. We aim to derive closed-form formulations of the mean and variance of the queue length and waiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Baichuan Mo , Li Jin , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Zuo-Jun Max Shen , Jinhua Zhao

We consider a new class of non Markovian processes with a countable number of interacting components. At each time unit, each component can take two values, indicating if it has a spike or not at this precise moment. The system evolves as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Antonio Galves , Eva Löcherbach

We consider time-continuous Markovian discrete-state dynamics on random networks of interacting agents and study the large population limit. The dynamics are projected onto low-dimensional collective variables given by the shares of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Marvin Lücke , Jobst Heitzig , Péter Koltai , Nora Molkenthin , Stefanie Winkelmann

To mimic the complex transport-like collective phenomena in a man-made or natural system, we study an open network junction model of totally asymmetric simple exclusion process with bulk particle attachment and detachment. The stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-23 Ankita Gupta , Arvind Kumar Gupta

We have developed a steady state theory of complex transport networks used to model the flow of commodity, information, viruses, opinions, or traffic. Our approach is based on the use of the Markov chains defined on the graph…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Volchenkov , Ph. Blanchard

In this paper, we introduce a nonlinear stochastic model to describe the propagation of information inside a computer processor. In this model, a computational task is divided into stages, and information can flow from one stage to another.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Mohammad Daneshvar , Richard C. Barnard , Cory Hauck , Ilya Timofeyev

We consider a stationary Markov process that models certain queues with a bulk service of a fixed number $m$ of admitted customers. We find an integral expression of its transition probability function in terms of certain multi-orthogonal…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Ulises Fidalgo

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

We establish central limit theorems for a large class of supercritical branching Markov processes in infinite dimension with spatially dependent and non-necessarily local branching mechanisms. This result relies on a fourth moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-31 Bertrand Cloez , Nicolás Zalduendo

We introduce a rate balance principle for general (not necessarily Markovian) stochastic processes. Special attention is given to processes with birth and death like transitions, for which it is shown that for any state $i$, the rate of two…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-12 Binyamin Oz , Ivo Adan , Moshe Haviv

The Hawkes process is a simple point process that has long memory, clustering effect, self-exciting property and is in general non-Markovian. The future evolution of a self-exciting point process is influenced by the timing of the past…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Lingjiong Zhu

We consider a queueing system with $n$ parallel queues operating according to the so-called "supermarket model" in which arriving customers join the shortest of $d$ randomly selected queues. Assuming rate $n\lambda_{n}$ Poisson arrivals and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-19 Patrick Eschenfeldt , David Gamarnik

Stochastic reaction networks are dynamical models of biochemical reaction systems and form a particular class of continuous-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{N}^n$. Here we provide a fundamental characterisation that connects structural…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Daniele Cappelletti , Carsten Wiuf

It is known that state-dependent, multi-step Lyapunov bounds lead to greatly simplified verification theorems for stability for large classes of Markov chain models. This is one component of the "fluid model" approach to stability of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-18 Serdar Yüksel , Sean P. Meyn

We analyze the macroscopic behavior of multi-populations randomly connected neural networks with interaction delays. Similar to cases occurring in spin glasses, we show that the sequences of empirical measures satisfy a large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Tanguy Cabana , Jonathan Touboul

In this paper, we present a numerical framework for constructing bounds on stationary performance measures of random walks in the positive orthant using the Markov reward approach. These bounds are established in terms of stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

In this paper some general theory is presented for locally stationary processes based on the stationary approximation and the stationary derivative. Laws of large numbers, central limit theorems as well as deterministic and stochastic bias…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Rainer Dahlhaus , Stefan Richter , Wei Biao Wu

Based on some recent work of the author on stochastic approximation in non-markovian environments, the situation when the driving random process is non-ergodic in addition to being non-markovian is considered. Using this, we propose an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Vivek Shripad Borkar

This paper studies the input queued switch operating under the MaxWeight algorithm when the arrivals are according to a Markovian process. We exactly characterize the heavy-traffic scaled mean sum queue length in the heavy-traffic limit,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Shancong Mou , Siva Theja Maguluri
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