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200 papers

Modelling of precipitation, including extremes, is important for hydrological and agricultural applications. Traditionally, because of large sample properties for data over a large threshold value, generalised Pareto (GP) distributions are…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-11 Yang Liu , Philip Kokic , K. Shuvo Bakar

Amongst the available technologies for earthquake research, remote sensing has been commonly used due to its unique features such as fast imaging and wide image-acquisition range. Nevertheless, early studies on pre-earthquake and…

Statistical models for landslide hazard enable mapping of risk factors and landslide occurrence intensity by using geomorphological covariates available at high spatial resolution. However, the spatial distribution of the triggering event…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Thomas Opitz , Haakon Bakka , Raphaël Huser , Luigi Lombardo

An AI-based Limited-Area Model (LAM) is developed for dynamical downscaling over the Southern Great Plains and the southeastern United States, with strong generalization abilities under diverse boundary conditions. The model is trained…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-25 Yingkai Sha , Tracy Hertneky , Ethan Gutmann , Seth McGinnis , Rachel McCrary , Lulin Xue , David John Gagne , Kathryn Newman , Andrew Newman

Precise and reliable climate projections are required for climate adaptation and mitigation, but Earth system models still exhibit great uncertainties. Several approaches have been developed to reduce the spread of climate projections and…

Downhole drilling telemetry presents a fundamental labeling asymmetry: surface sensor data are generated continuously at 1~Hz, while labeled downhole measurements are costly, intermittent, and scarce. Current machine learning approaches for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Aleksander Berezowski , Hassan Hassanzadeh , Gouri Ginde

Machine learning techniques have been quite popular recently in the high-energy physics community and have led to numerous developments in this field. In heavy-ion collisions, one of the crucial observables, the impact parameter, plays an…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-10-11 Aditya Nath Mishra , Neelkamal Mallick , Sushanta Tripathy , Suman Deb , Raghunath Sahoo

Earth embedding models transform Earth observation data into embeddings uniquely tied to locations on the Earth's surface. These models are typically evaluated in isolation, comparing the downstream task performance across different Earth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Thijs L van der Plas , Jacob JW Bakermans , Vishal Nedungadi , Gabrielė Tijūnaitytė , Marc Rußwurm , Ioannis N Athanasiadis

Accurately quantifying tail risks-rare but high-impact events such as financial crashes or extreme weather-is a central challenge in risk management, with serially dependent data. We develop a Bayesian framework based on the Generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 David L. Carl , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

IIn recent years, there has been a growing interest in applying data assimilation (DA) methods, originally designed for state estimation, to the model selection problem. In this setting, Carrassi et al. (2017) introduced the contextual…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-10 Sammy Metref , Alexis Hannart , Juan Ruiz , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi , Michael Ghil

The classification of seismic events has been crucial for monitoring underground nuclear explosions and unnatural seismic events as well as natural earthquakes. This research is an attempt to apply different machine learning (ML) algorithms…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-11 Alemayehu Belay Kassa , Mulugeta Tuji Dugda

Deep-learning (DL) weather prediction models offer some notable advantages over traditional physics-based models, including auto-differentiability and low computational cost, enabling detailed diagnostics of forecast errors. Using our…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-23 Uros Perkan , Ziga Zaplotnik , Gregor Skok

Accurate calibration of gravity adaptation zones is of great significance in fields such as underwater navigation, geophysical exploration, and marine engineering. With the increasing application of gravity field data in these areas,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Chen Yu

To address spatial boundary effects in climate networks, two surrogate-based correction methods, (1) subtraction and (2) division, have been widely applied in the literature. In the subtraction method, an original network measure is…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-03 Behzad Ghanbarian , Victor Oladoja , Kehinde Bosikun , Tayeb Jamali , Jürgen Kurths

This paper explores how to adapt a new dynamical core to enable its use in one-way nested regional weather and climate models, where lateral boundary conditions (LBCs) are provided by a lower-resolution driving model. The dynamical core has…

Machine learning (ML) models that achieve high average accuracy can still underperform on semantically coherent subsets ("slices") of data. This behavior can have significant societal consequences for the safety or bias of the model in…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Nari Johnson , Ángel Alexander Cabrera , Gregory Plumb , Ameet Talwalkar

Uncertainty-aware robot motion prediction is crucial for downstream traversability estimation and safe autonomous navigation in unstructured, off-road environments, where terrain is heterogeneous and perceptual uncertainty is high. Most…

Statistical downscaling of global climate models (GCMs) allows researchers to study local climate change effects decades into the future. A wide range of statistical models have been applied to downscaling GCMs but recent advances in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-15 Thomas Vandal , Evan Kodra , Auroop R Ganguly

In this paper we consider the machine learning (ML) task of predicting tipping point transitions and long-term post-tipping-point behavior associated with the time evolution of an unknown (or partially unknown), non-stationary, potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Dhruvit Patel , Edward Ott

In order to perform probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment (PTHA) based on subduction zone earthquakes, it is necessary to start with a catalog of possible future events along with the annual probability of occurance, or a probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Randall J. LeVeque , Knut Waagan , Frank I. González , Donsub Rim , Guang Lin