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The survival probability for a periodic non-autonomous Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is calculated analytically using two different methods. The first uses an asymptotic approach. We treat the associated Kolmogorov Backward Equation with an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-20 L. T. Giorgini , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

We study a version of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridge driven by a spectrally-positive subordinator. Our formulation is based on a Linear-Quadratic control subject to a singular terminal condition. The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridge, we develop, is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-04 Hidekazu Yoshioka , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

Active matter systems are driven out of equilibrium by conversion of energy into directed motion locally on the level of the individual constituents. In the spirit of a minimal description, active matter is often modeled by so-called active…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-12 Lennart Dabelow , Ralf Eichhorn

We obtain a Berry-Esseen type bound for the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter for fractional Ornstein-uhlenbeck type process driven by sub-fractional Brownian motion.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-21 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

We consider the Graph Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (GrOU) process observed on a non-uniform discrete time grid and introduce discretised maximum likelihood estimators with parameters specific to the whole graph or specific to each component, or node.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-12 Valentin Courgeau , Almut E. D. Veraart

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process may be used to generate a noise signal with a finite correlation time. If a one-dimensional stochastic process is driven by such a noise source, it may be analysed by solving a Fokker-Planck equation in two…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-14 Michael Wilkinson

Suppose we observe a geometrically ergodic semi-Markov process and have a parametric model for the transition distribution of the embedded Markov chain, for the conditional distribution of the inter-arrival times, or for both. The first two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-21 Ursula U. Müller , Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behaviour of one-dimensional integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy processes of small amplitude. We prove that the integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process converges…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Robert Hintze , Ilya Pavlyukevich

We consider statistical models driven by Gaussian and non-Gaussian self-similar processes with long memory and we construct maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) for the drift parameter. Our approach is based on the approximation by random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-19 Karine Bertin , Soledad Torres , Ciprian Tudor

The $q$-Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, $q\in(-1,1)$, are a family of stationary Markov processes that converge weakly to the standard Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process as $q$ tends to 1. It has been noticed recently that in terms of path…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-27 Yizao Wang

We construct a least squares estimator for the drift parameters of a fractional Ornstein Uhlenbeck process with periodic mean function and long range dependence. For this estimator we prove consistency and asymptotic normality. In contrast…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Herold Dehling , Brice Franke , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

Maximum likelihood estimation is applied to the determination of an unknown quantum measurement. The measuring apparatus performs measurements on many different quantum states and the positive operator-valued measures governing the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Jaromir Fiurasek

We consider a sequence of fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, that are defined as solutions of a family of stochastic Volterra equations with kernel given by the Riesz derivative kernel, and leading coefficients given by a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Luigi Amedeo Bianchi , Stefano Bonaccorsi , Luciano Tubaro

We establish large deviation principles for the couple of the maximum likelihood estimators of dimensional and drift coefficients in the generalised squared radial Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We focus our attention to the most tractable…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray

Functional data present as functions or curves possessing a spatial or temporal component. These components by nature have a fixed observational domain. Consequently, any asymptotic investigation requires modelling the increased correlation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Cory W. Natoli , Edward D. White , Beau A. Nunnally , Alex J. Gutman , Raymond R. Hill

We consider the extreme value statistics of correlated random variables that arise from a Langevin equation. Recently, it was shown that the extreme values of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process follow a different distribution than those…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

We consider the problem of frequency estimation of the periodic signal multiplied by a stationary Gaussian process (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) and observed in the presence of the white Gaussian noise. We show the consistency and asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 O. V. Chernoyarov , Yu. A. Kutoyants

Using a coupling for the weighted sum of independent random variables and the explicit expression of the transition semigroup of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by compound Poisson processes, we establish the existence of a successful…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-18 René L. Schilling , Jian Wang

The paper considers the problem of estimating the parameters in a continuous time regression model with a non-Gaussian noise of pulse type. The noise is specified by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by the mixture of a Brownian motion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Evgeny Pchelintsev

A trigonometrically approximated maximum likelihood estimation for $\alpha$-stable laws is proposed. The estimator solves the approximated likelihood equation, which is obtained by projecting a true score function on the space spanned by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Muneya Matsui , Naoya Sueishi