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Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

Practical problems with missing data are common, and statistical methods have been developed concerning the validity and/or efficiency of statistical procedures. On a central focus, there have been longstanding interests on the mechanism…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-26 Rui Duan , C. Jason Liang , Pamela Shaw , Cheng Yong Tang , Yong Chen

We give conditions to prove the existence of an Extremal Index for general stationary stochastic processes by detecting the presence of one or more underlying periodic phenomena. This theory, besides giving general useful tools to identify…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

We study structural equation modeling (SEM) for diffusion processes with jumps. Based on high-frequency data, we consider the parameter estimation and the goodness-of-fit test in the SEM. Using a threshold method, we propose the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

There is growing interest in termination reasoning for non-linear programs and, meanwhile, recent dynamic strategies have shown they are able to infer invariants for such challenging programs. These advances led us to hypothesize that…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Ton Chanh Le , Timos Antonopoulos , Parisa Fathololumi , Eric Koskinen , ThanhVu Nguyen

Time estimation is a fundamental task that underpins precision measurement, global navigation systems, financial markets, and the organisation of everyday life. Many biological processes also depend on time estimation by nanoscale clocks,…

A strict local martingale is a local martingale which is not a martingale. There are few explicit examples of "naturally occurring" strict local martingales with jumps available in the literature. The purpose of this paper is to provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-26 Philip Protter

In this letter we prove existence and uniqueness of strong solutions to multi-dimensional SDEs with discontinuous drift and finite activity jumps.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-23 Paweł Przybyłowicz , Michaela Szölgyenyi , Fanhui Xu

We study randomly stopped sums via their asymptotic scales. First, finiteness of moments is considered. To generalise this study, asymptotic scales applicable to the class of all heavy-tailed random variables are used. The stopping is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-12 Jaakko Lehtomaa

We consider a Markov chain on $R^+$ with asymptotically zero drift and finite second moments of jumps which is positive recurrent. A power-like asymptotic behaviour of the invariant tail distribution is proven; such a heavy-tailed invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-16 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

A complete characterization of the possible joint distributions of the maximum and terminal value of uniformly integrable martingale has been known for some time, and the aim of this paper is to establish a similar characterization for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-04 Moritz Duembgen , L. C. G. Rogers

In this work we address the problem of detecting whether a sampled probability distribution of a random variable $V$ has infinite first moment. This issue is notably important when the sample results from complex numerical simulation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Héctor Olivero , Denis Talay

In this work, we focus on an infinite horizon mean-field linear-quadratic stochastic control problem with jumps. Firstly, the infinite horizon linear mean-field stochastic differential equations and backward stochastic differential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Qingmeng Wei , Yaqi Xu , Zhiyong Yu

In this paper, we present the double smoothed nonparametric approach for infinitesimal conditional volatility of jump-diffusion model based on high frequency data. Under certain minimal conditions, we obtain the strong consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Yuping Song

In quantitative finance, we often fit a parametric semimartingale model to asset prices. To ensure our model is correct, we must then perform goodness-of-fit tests. In this paper, we give a new goodness-of-fit test for volatility-like…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Adam D. Bull

We consider a recurrent random walk of i.i.d. increments on the one-dimensional integer lattice and obtain a formula relating the hitting distribution of a half-line with the potential function, $a(x)$, of the random walk. Applying it, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Kohei Uchiyama

The author proposes a method for investigating actions of finite groups on aspherical spaces. Complete homotopy classification of free actions of finite groups on aspherical spaces is obtained. Also there are some results about non-free…

General Topology · Mathematics 2010-09-01 Lev Lokutsievskiy

In this article we study the long time behaviour of measure-valued birth and death processes in continuous time, where the dynamics between jumps are one-dimensional Markov processes including diffusion and jumps. We consider the three…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-07 Pierre Collet , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San

Motivated by entropic optimal transport, time reversal of Markov jump processes in $\mathbb{R}^n$ is investigated. Relying on an abstract integration by parts formula for the carr\'e du champ of a Markov process recently obtained by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Giovanni Conforti , Christian Léonard

In this paper, we first investigate the estimation of the empirical joint Laplace transform of volatilities of two semi-martingales within a fixed time interval [0, T] by using overlapped increments of high-frequency data. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-05 XinWei Feng , Yu Jiang , Zhi Liu , Zhe Meng