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We identify the distribution of a natural triplet associated with the pseudo-Brownian bridge. In particular, for $B$ a Brownian motion and $T_1$ its first hitting time of the level one, this remarkable law allows us to understand some…
Given a deterministically time-changed Brownian motion $Z$ starting from 1, whose time-change $V(t)$ satisfies $V(t) > t$ for all $t > 0$, we perform an explicit construction of a process $X$ which is Brownian motion in its own filtration…
The drift diffusion model (DDM) is a model of sequential sampling with diffusion (Brownian) signals, where the decision maker accumulates evidence until the process hits a stopping boundary, and then stops and chooses the alternative that…
We consider certain noncolliding interacting particle systems driven by Brownian noise. A key example is drifted Brownian motions conditioned not to intersect and related models of eigenvalues of Hermitian random matrices. We establish…
Simulation of conditioned diffusion processes is an essential tool in inference for stochastic processes, data imputation, generative modelling, and geometric statistics. Whilst simulating diffusion bridge processes is already difficult on…
Given an unconditional diffusion model targeting a joint model $\pi(x, y)$, using it to perform conditional simulation $\pi(x \mid y)$ is still largely an open question and is typically achieved by learning conditional drifts to the…
I derive the pointwise conditional means and variances of an arbitrary Gauss-Markov process, given noisy observations of points on a sample path. These moments depend on the process's mean and covariance functions, and on the conditional…
Consider ``stochastic differential equations" driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H (1/4 <H< 1). Their solutions are sometimes called fractional diffusion processes. The main purpose of this paper is conditioning these…
Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in two or more dimensions, whose coordinate processes are standard Brownian motions with zero drift initially, and then at some random/unobservable time, one of the coordinate processes gets a…
Systems where resource availability approaches a critical threshold are common to many engineering and scientific applications and often necessitate the estimation of first passage time statistics of a Brownian motion (Bm) driven by…
Fractional Brownian motion, a stochastic process with long-time correlations between its increments, is a prototypical model for anomalous diffusion. We analyze fractional Brownian motion in the presence of a reflecting wall by means of…
We consider a system of noncolliding Brownian motions introduced in our previous paper, in which the noncolliding condition is imposed in a finite time interval $(0,T]$. This is a temporally inhomogeneous diffusion process whose transition…
For $d\ge1$ and $r>0$, let $X^{(d;r)}(\cdot)$ be a $d$-dimensional Brownian motion with diffusion coefficient $D$, equipped with an exponential clock with rate $r$. When the clock rings, the process jumps to the origin and begins anew. For…
We construct a Bayesian sequential test of two simple hypotheses about the value of the unobservable drift coefficient of a Brownian motion, with a possibility to change the initial decision at subsequent moments of time for some penalty.…
We revisit the work of Mitter and Newton on an information-theoretic interpretation of Bayes' formula through the Gibbs variational principle. This formulation allowed them to pose nonlinear estimation for diffusion processes as a problem…
The forward prediction problem for a binary time series $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ is to estimate the probability that $X_{n+1}=1$ based on the observations $X_i$, $0\le i\le n$ without prior knowledge of the distribution of the process…
In this paper, the tunnelling of a particle through a potential barrier is investigated in the presence of a time-dependent perturbation. The latter is attributed to the process of the energy measurement of the scattered particle. The…
The problems of the construction of the asymptotically distribution free goodness-of-fit tests for three models of stochastic processes are considered. The null hypothesis for all models is composite parametric. All tests are based on the…
The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…
This paper studies an optimal trading problem that incorporates the trader's market view on the terminal asset price distribution and uninformative noise embedded in the asset price dynamics. We model the underlying asset price evolution by…