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This paper presents some limit theorems for certain functionals of moving averages of semimartingales plus noise which are observed at high frequency. Our method generalizes the pre-averaging approach (see [Bernoulli 15 (2009) 634--658,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Jean Jacod , Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

We investigate the fluctuations of the stochastic Becker-D\"oring model of polymerization when the initial size of the system converges to infinity. A functional central limit problem is proved for the vector of the number of polymers of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-26 Wen Sun

Continuous Time Markov Chains, Hawkes processes and many other interesting processes can be described as solution of stochastic differential equations driven by Poisson measures. Previous works, using the Stein's method, give the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Eustache Besançon , Laure Coutin , Laurent Decreusefond , Pascal Moyal

The paper deals with the asymptotic properties of a random jump process in a high contrast periodic medium in $\mathbb R^d$, $d\geq 1$. We show that if the coordinates of the random jump process in $\mathbb R^d$ are equipped with an extra…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Andrey Piatnitski , Elena Zhizhina

Through certain appropriate constructions, we establish periodic solutions in distribution for some stochastic differential equations with infinite-dimensional Levy noise. Additionally, we obtain the corresponding periodic measures and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Xinying Deng , Yong Li , Xue Yang

There has been substantial interest in developing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms based on piecewise-deterministic Markov processes. However existing algorithms can only be used if the target distribution of interest is differentiable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-12 Augustin Chevallier , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang , Paul Fearnhead

This paper presents a mean-field control approach for Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs), specifically designed for controlling a large number of agents. By modeling the interactions of a large number of agents through an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Thomas Le Corre , Adrien Séguret , Ana Bušić

When modelling metapopulation dynamics, the influence of a single patch on the metapopulation depends on the number of individuals in the patch. Since there is usually no obvious natural upper limit on the number of individuals in a patch,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-27 A. D. Barbour , M. J. Luczak

We aim at characterizing viability, invariance and some reachability properties of controlled piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs). Using analytical methods from the theory of viscosity solutions, we establish criteria for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-09 D. Goreac

In this work, we obtain the central limit theorem for fluctuations of Young diagrams around their limit shape in the bulk of the "spectrum" of partitions of a large integer n (under the Plancherel measure). More specifically, we show that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 L. V. Bogachev , Z. G. Su

Stationary ergodic processes with finite alphabets are estimated by finite memory processes from a sample, an n-length realization of the process, where the memory depth of the estimator process is also estimated from the sample using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-25 Zsolt Talata

Let $F_n$ denote the distribution function of the normalized sum $Z_n = (X_1 + \dots + X_n)/\sigma\sqrt{n}$ of i.i.d. random variables with finite fourth absolute moment. In this paper, polynomial rates of convergence of $F_n$ to the normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-30 Sergey G. Bobkov

Driven Langevin processes have appeared in a variety of fields due to the relevance of natural phenomena having both deterministic and stochastic effects. The stochastic currents and fluxes in these systems provide a convenient set of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-01-04 Michael J. Catanzaro , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Colin Reimer Dawson , Chaofan Huang , Clayton T. Morrison

We obtain the empirical strong law of large numbers, empirical Glivenko-Cantelli theorem, central limit theorem, functional central limit theorem for various nonparametric Bayesian priors which include the Dirichlet process with general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Yaozhong Hu , Junxi Zhang

Our principal aim is to observe the Markov discrete-time process of population growth with long-living trajectory. First we study asymptotical decay of generating function of Galton-Watson process for all cases as the Basic Lemma.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Azam A. Imomov

The standard small-time functional central limit theorem of semimartingales has been established in (Gerhold, S., Kleinert, M., Porkert, P., and Shkolnikov, M. (2015). Small time central limit theorems for semimartingales with applications.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Pietro Maria Sparago

We prove a central limit type theorem for critical marked Hawkes processes. We study the case where the marks are i.i.d. with nonnegative values and their common distribution is either heavy tailed or has finite variance. The kernel…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Anna Talarczyk

In order to characterize the fluctuation between the ergodic limit and the time-averaging estimator of a full discretization in a quantitative way, we establish a central limit theorem for the full discretization of the parabolic stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Chuchu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong , Tau Zhou

We propose a new method called the Metropolis-adjusted Mirror Langevin algorithm for approximate sampling from distributions whose support is a compact and convex set. This algorithm adds an accept-reject filter to the Markov chain induced…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-24 Vishwak Srinivasan , Andre Wibisono , Ashia Wilson