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We study fluctuations of mean-field interacting particle systems around their McKean--Vlasov limit. Our main result provides a uniform-in-time quantitative central limit theorem for the fluctuation process, with convergence rate of order…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Solesne Bourguin , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a semi-linear slow-fast stochastic partial differential equation with singular coefficients. Using the Poisson equation in Hilbert space, we first establish the strong convergence in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Michael Röckner , Longjie Xie , Li Yang

For each $n\geq 1$, let $ {X_{in}, \quad i \geq 1} $ be independent copies of a nonnegative continuous stochastic process $X_{n}=(X_n(t))_{t\in T}$ indexed by a compact metric space $T$. We are interested in the process of partial maxima…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-07 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

We consider the convergence of additive functionals under the determinantal point process with the confluent hypergeometric kernel, corresponding to a sufficiently smooth function $f(x/R)$, as $R\to\infty$. We show that these functionals…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Sergei M. Gorbunov

We introduce a novel class of generative models based on piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs), a family of non-diffusive stochastic processes consisting of deterministic motion and random jumps at random times. Similarly to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-06 Andrea Bertazzi , Dario Shariatian , Umut Simsekli , Eric Moulines , Alain Durmus

The zigzag process is a Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process which can be used in a MCMC framework to sample from a given target distribution. We prove the convergence of this process to its target under very weak assumptions, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens , Gareth Roberts , Pierre-André Zitt

In this paper, we develop necessary and sufficient conditions for the validity of a martingale approximation for the partial sums of a stationary process in terms of the maximum of consecutive errors. Such an approximation is useful for…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Mikhail Gordin , Magda Peligrad

We consider a slow-fast stochastic differential system with L\'evy noise. We will employ the perturbed test function method to study the normal deviation of the slow-fast system. Our main result states that the deviation can be approximated…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Xiaoyu Yang , Yong Xu , Ruifang Wang , Zhe Jiao

We study central limit theorems for a totally asymmetric, one-dimensional interacting random system. The models we work with are the Aldous-Diaconis-Hammersley process and the related stick model. The A-D-H process represents a particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-07 Timo Seppalainen

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) such as the Bouncy Particle Sampler and the Zig-Zag Sampler, have gained attention as continuous-time counterparts of classical Markov chain Monte Carlo. We study their transient regime under…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-22 Sanket Agrawal , Joris Bierkens , Kengo Kamatani , Gareth O. Roberts

We consider the problem of estimating parameter sensitivities for stochastic models of multiscale reaction networks. These sensitivity values are important for model analysis, and, the methods that currently exist for sensitivity estimation…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

In this paper, under mild assumptions, we derive a law of large numbers, a central limit theorem with an error estimate, an almost sure invariance principle and a variant of Chernoff bound in finite-state hidden Markov models. These limit…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-13 Guangyue Han

How heterogeneous multiscale methods (HMM) handle fluctuations acting on the slow variables in fast-slow systems is investigated. In particular, it is shown via analysis of central limit theorems (CLT) and large deviation principles (LDP)…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-12 David Kelly , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

In piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) the state of a finite-dimensional system evolves continuously, but the evolutive equation may change randomly as a result of discrete switches. A running cost is integrated along the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Elliot Cartee , Antonio Farah , April Nellis , Jacob van Hook , Alexander Vladimirsky

Let $f$ be a Rademacher or Steinhaus random multiplicative function. For various arithmetically interesting subsets $\mathcal A\subseteq [1, N]\cap\mathbb N$ such that the distribution of $\sum_{n\in \mathcal A} f(n)$ is approximately…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Besfort Shala

There is much interest in the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) as a natural Bayesian nonparametric extension of the ubiquitous Hidden Markov Model for learning from sequential and time-series data. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-11 Matthew J. Johnson , Alan S. Willsky

We consider time-continuous Markovian discrete-state dynamics on random networks of interacting agents and study the large population limit. The dynamics are projected onto low-dimensional collective variables given by the shares of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Marvin Lücke , Jobst Heitzig , Péter Koltai , Nora Molkenthin , Stefanie Winkelmann

We consider a system of $N$ neurons, each spiking randomly with rate depending on its membrane potential. When a neuron spikes, its potential is reset to $0$ and all other neurons receive an additional amount $h/N$ of potential, where $ h >…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Eva Löcherbach

This paper investigates the limit behavior of Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) made of independent particles evolving in a common environment, when the number of particles goes to infinity. In the finite horizon case or with a discounted…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-10 Nicolas Gast , Bruno Gaujal

In this work, a generalised version of the central limit theorem is proposed for nonlinear functionals of the empirical measure of i.i.d. random variables, provided that the functional satisfies some regularity assumptions for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Benjamin Jourdain , Alvin Tse
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