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M-estimators are ubiquitous in machine learning and statistical learning theory. They are used both for defining prediction strategies and for evaluating their precision. In this paper, we propose the first non-asymptotic "any-time"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , Arnak S. Dalalyan , Nicolas Schreuder

Large and moderate deviation probabilities play an important role in many applied areas, such as insurance and risk analysis. This paper studies the exact moderate and large deviation asymptotics in non-logarithmic form for linear processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang , Yunda Zhong , Wei Biao Wu

If the log likelihood is approximately quadratic with constant Hessian, then the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is approximately normally distributed. No other assumptions are required. We do not need independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Charles J. Geyer

Consider a supercritical Crump--Mode--Jagers process $(\mathcal Z_t^{\varphi})_{t \geq 0}$ counted with a random characteristic $\varphi$. Nerman's celebrated law of large numbers [Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 57, 365--395, 1981] states that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Alexander Iksanov , Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

This paper considers extreme values attained by a centered, multidimensional Gaussian process $X(t)= (X_1(t),\ldots,X_n(t))$ minus drift $d(t)=(d_1(t),\ldots,d_n(t))$, on an arbitrary set $T$. Under mild regularity conditions, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Krzysztof Dębicki , Kamil Marcin Kosiński , Michel Mandjes , Tomasz Rolski

This paper investigates asymptotic behaviors of gradient descent algorithms (particularly accelerated gradient descent and stochastic gradient descent) in the context of stochastic optimization arising in statistics and machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-13 Yazhen Wang

A key aspect where extreme values methods differ from standard statistical models is through having asymptotic theory to provide a theoretical justification for the nature of the models used for extrapolation. In multivariate extremes many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Christian Rohrbeck , Jonathan A Tawn

Suppose $\{\widehat\theta_n\colon n\ge1\}$ is a strongly consistent sequence of estimators for a parameter $\theta$, where $\widehat\theta_n$ is based on the first $n$ observations. Consider $Q_\varepsilon$, the number of times…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Nils Lid Hjort , Grete Fenstad

Performance accuracy of the Euclidean Distance Discriminant rule (EDDR) is studied in the high-dimensional asymptotic framework which allows the dimensionality to exceed sample size. Under mild assumptions on the traces of the covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-04 H. Watanabe , M. Hyodo , T. Seo , T. Pavlenko

We consider a non-linear integro-differential model describing $z$, the position of the cell center on the real line presented in [Grec et al., J. Theo. Bio. 2018]. We introduce a new $\varepsilon$-scaling and we prove rigorously the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-09-29 Vuk Milisic , Christian Schmeiser

Let $\mathcal{X}$ be a complex projective manifold of dimension $n$ defined over the reals and let $M$ be its real locus. We study the vanishing locus $Z\_{s\_d}$ in $M$ of a random real holomorphic section $s\_d$ of $\mathcal{E} \otimes…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Thomas Letendre , Martin Puchol

The longest stretch $L(n)$ of consecutive heads in $n$ i.i.d. coin tosses is seen from the prism of large deviations. We first establish precise asymptotics for the moment generating function of $L(n)$ and then show that there are precisely…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Takis Konstantopoulos , Zhenxia Liu , Xiangfeng Yang

By application of the theory for second-order linear differential equations with two turning points developed in [Olver F.W.J., Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. London Ser. A 278 (1975), 137-174], uniform asymptotic approximations are obtained in…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-11-25 Karen Ogilvie , Adri B. Olde Daalhuis

We prove a law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem for a class of multivariate Hawkes processes with time-dependent reproduction rate. We address the difficulties induced by the use of non-convolutive Volterra processes by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

Let A(q,n,d) denote the maximum size of a q-ary code of length n and distance d. We study the minimum asymptotic redundancy \rho(q,n,d)=n-log_q A(q,n,d) as n grows while q and d are fixed. For any d and q<=d-1, long algebraic codes are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Sergey Yekhanin , Ilya Dumer

We study the behavior of high-dimensional robust regression estimators in the asymptotic regime where $p/n$ tends to a finite non-zero limit. More specifically, we study ridge-regularized estimators, i.e…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Noureddine El Karoui

The Ewens-Pitman model defines a distribution on random partitions of $\{1,\ldots,n\}$, with parameters $\alpha \in [0,1)$ and $\theta > -\alpha$; the case $\alpha=0$ reduces to the classical Ewens model from population genetics. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Bernard Bercu , Claudia Contardi , Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro

The aim of this note is to announce some results about the probabilistic and deterministic asymptotic properties of linear groups. The first one is the analogue, for norms of random matrix products, of the classical theorem of Cramer on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-23 Cagri Sert

This paper concerns the asymptotic behavior of a random variable $W_\lambda$ resulting from the summation of the functionals of a Gibbsian spatial point process over windows $Q_\lambda \uparrow R^d$. We establish conditions ensuring that…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Aihua Xia , J. E. Yukich

We study the asymptotic behavior of wavelet coefficients of random processes with long memory. These processes may be stationary or not and are obtained as the output of non--linear filter with Gaussian input. The wavelet coefficients that…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-28 Marianne Clausel , François Roueff , Murad S. Taqqu , Ciprian A. Tudor