English
Related papers

Related papers: US Presidential Election 2012 Prediction using Cen…

200 papers

Social media, once hailed as a vehicle for democratization and the promotion of positive social change across the globe, are under attack for becoming a tool of political manipulation and spread of disinformation. A case in point is the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-08-13 Adam Badawy , Kristina Lerman , Emilio Ferrara

Political discourse on Twitter is a moving target: politicians continuously make statements about their positions. It is therefore crucial to track their discourse on social media to understand their ideological positions and goals.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Maximilian Maurer , Tanise Ceron , Sebastian Padó , Gabriella Lapesa

The 2024 U.S. presidential election has sparked widespread online discussions about the presidential candidates. Joe Biden's withdrawal from the race and Kamala Harris's subsequent entry as the Democratic candidate likely alter the dynamics…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yuwei Chuai , Gabriele Lenzini

Data extracted from social media platforms, such as Twitter, are both large in scale and complex in nature, since they contain both unstructured text, as well as structured data, such as time stamps and interactions between users. A key…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-11-17 Donggeng Xia , Shawn Mankad , George Michailidis

Twitter is increasingly used for political, advertising and marketing campaigns, where the main aim is to influence users to support specific causes, individuals or groups. We propose a novel methodology for mining and analyzing Twitter…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Shanika Karunasekera , Kwan Hui Lim , Aaron Harwood

Political campaigns are among the most sophisticated marketing exercises in the United States. As part of their marketing communication strategy, an increasing number of politicians adopt social media to inform their constituencies. This…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-06 Maria Petrova , Ananya Sen , Pinar Yildirim

Nowadays, internet has changed the world into a global village. Social Media has reduced the gaps among the individuals. Previously communication was a time consuming and expensive task between the people. Social Media has earned fame…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-20 Saqib Iqbal , Ali Zulqurnain , Yaqoob Wani , Khalid Hussain

Social media are utilized by millions of citizens to discuss important political issues. Politicians use these platforms to connect with the public and broadcast policy positions. Therefore, data from social media has enabled many studies…

Attitudes can have a profound impact on socially relevant behaviours, such as voting. However, this effect is not uniform across situations or individuals, and it is at present difficult to predict whether attitudes will predict behaviour…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-09-07 Jonas Dalege , Denny Borsboom , Frenk van Harreveld , Lourens J. Waldorp , Han L. J. van der Maas

The 2020 US Elections have been, more than ever before, characterized by social media campaigns and mutual accusations. We investigate in this paper if this manifests also in online communication of the supporters of the candidates Biden…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-03-03 Lara Grimminger , Roman Klinger

Discovering the stances of media outlets and influential people on current, debatable topics is important for social statisticians and policy makers. Many supervised solutions exist for determining viewpoints, but manually annotating…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Peter Stefanov , Kareem Darwish , Atanas Atanasov , Preslav Nakov

In this paper, we provide a systematic analysis of the Twitter discussion on the 2016 Austrian presidential elections. In particular, we extracted and analyzed a data-set consisting of 343645 Twitter messages related to the 2016 Austrian…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-08-01 Ema Kušen , Mark Strembeck

This paper presents the TikTok 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Dataset, a large-scale, resource designed to advance research into political communication and social media dynamics. The dataset comprises 3.14 million videos published on…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Gabriela Pinto , Charles Bickham , Tanishq Salkar , Joyston Menezes , Luca Luceri , Emilio Ferrara

During the 2022 French presidential election, we collected daily Twitter messages on key topics posted by political candidates and their close networks. Using a data-driven approach, we analyze interactions among political parties,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Ixandra Achitouv , David Chavalarias

Sentiment analysis of social media data consists of attitudes, assessments, and emotions which can be considered a way human think. Understanding and classifying the large collection of documents into positive and negative aspects are a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Aditya Sharma , Alex Daniels

In the US 2008 presidential election, Barack Obama was elected as the 44th president of United States, winning the 53% of popular votes and 68% of electoral votes; in the election of 2000, Al Gore lost the election receiving 49 % of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-09 Bih-Yaw Jin

Accounting for undecided and uncertain voters is a challenging issue for predicting election results from public opinion polls. Undecided voters typify the uncertainty of swing voters in polls but are often ignored or allocated to each…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-18 Joshua J Bon , Timothy Ballard , Bernard Baffour

This paper analyses changes in public opinion by tracking political discussions in which people voluntarily engage online. Unlike polls or surveys, our approach does not elicit opinions but approximates what the public thinks by analysing…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2010-09-22 Sandra Gonzalez-Bailon , Rafael E. Banchs , Andreas Kaltenbrunner

This paper examines the dynamic relationship between electoral polls and indicators of economic and financial uncertainty during the last two U.S. presidential elections (2020 and 2024). Using daily polling data on Donald Trump and measures…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-30 Giampiero M. Gallo , Demetrio Lacava , Edoardo Otranto

In the contemporary world, a significant number of people use social networking services for a variety of purposes, including, but not limited to, communicating, exchanging messages and searching for information. A popular social network in…