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We consider estimation of the drift parameter $\vartheta>0$ in a \emph{partially observed} Ornstein--Uhlenbeck type model driven by a mixed fractional Brownian noise. Our framework extends the partially observed model of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-12 Chunhao Cai

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process can be seen as a paradigm of a finite-variance and statistically stationary rough random walk. Furthermore, it is defined as the unique solution of a Markovian stochastic dynamics and shares the same local…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Laurent Chevillard , Marc Lagoin , Stephane G. Roux

Let $B^{a,b}:=\{B_t^{a,b},t\geq0\}$ be a weighted fractional Brownian motion of parameters $a>-1$, $|b|<1$, $|b|<a+1$. We consider a least square-type method to estimate the drift parameter $\theta>0$ of the weighted fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-02 Abdulaziz Alsenafi , Mishari Al-Foraih , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy

We investigate the asymptotic properties of the minimum $L_1$-norm estimator of the drift parameter for fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process driven by a general Gaussian process.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind $(\text{fOU}_{2})$ is solution of the Langevin equation $\mathrm{d}X_t = -\theta X_t\,\mathrm{d}t+\mathrm{d}Y_t^{(1)}, \ \theta >0$ with driving noise $ Y_t^{(1)} := \int^t_0 e^{-s}…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-26 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Jose Igor Morlanes

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) represent a recent advance in generative modelling that has delivered state-of-the-art results across many domains of applications. Despite their success, a rigorous theoretical understanding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović

We consider the goodness of fit testing problem for linear stochastic differential equation (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process). The basic hypothesis is supposed to be composite with two-dimensional unknown parameter. We study two goodness of fit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-16 Yury A. Kutoyants

We consider two problems of constructing of goodness of fit tests for ergodic diffusion processes. The first one is concerned with a composite basic hypothesis for a parametric class of diffusion processes, which includes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-06 Yury A. Kutoyants

In this paper, we will first give the numerical simulation of the sub-fractional Brownian motion through the relation of fractional Brownian motion instead of its representation of random walk. In order to verify the rationality of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-11 Chunhao Cai , Qinghua Wang , Weilin Xiao

Classical change point analysis aims at (1) detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a possibly non-stationary time series and at (2) identifying regions where the mean exhibits a piecewise constant behavior. In many applications however, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

While many real-world data streams imply that they change frequently in a nonstationary way, most of deep learning methods optimize neural networks on training data, and this leads to severe performance degradation when dataset shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Wonju Lee , Seok-Yong Byun , Jooeun Kim , Minje Park , Kirill Chechil

We consider the change-point detection in multivariate continuous and integer valued time series. We propose a Wald-type statistic based on the estimator performed by a general contrast function; which can be constructed from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

Early-warning indicators (increase of autocorrelation and variance) are commonly applied to time series data to try and detect tipping points of real-world systems. The theory behind these indicators originates from approximating the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-26 Paul Ritchie , Jan Sieber

We investigate the asymptotic properties of the minimum $L_1$-norm estimator of the drift parameter for fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process driven by a Hermite process.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a supercritical $(\xi,\psi)$-superprocess $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ whose underlying spatial motion $\xi$ is an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process on $\mathbb R^d$ with generator $L =…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song , Zhenyao Sun , Jianjie Zhao

Testing for change points in sequences of covariance matrices is an important and equally challenging problem in statistical methodology with applications in various fields. Motivated by the observation that even in cases where the ratio…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nina Dörnemann , Holger Dette

Changes, planned or unexpected, are common during the execution of real-life processes. Detecting these changes is a must for optimizing the performance of organizations running such processes. Most of the algorithms present in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Victor Gallego-Fontenla , Juan C. Vidal , Manuel Lama

We consider a positive stationary generalized Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process \[V_t=\mathrm{e}^{-\xi_t}\biggl(\int_0^t\mathrm{e}^{\xi_{s-}}\ ,\mathrm{d}\eta_s+V_0\biggr)\qquadfor t\geq0,\] and the increments of the integrated generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-24 Vicky Fasen

We consider together the retrospective and the sequential change-point detection in a general class of integer-valued time series. The conditional mean of the process depends on a parameter $\theta^*$ which may change over time. We propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-29 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne
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