Related papers: Change Point Testing for the Drift Parameters of a…

Motivated by empirical evidence from the joint behavior of realized volatility time series, we propose to model the joint dynamics of log-volatilities using a multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This model is a multivariate…

We are interested in the law of the first passage time of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to time-varying thresholds. We show that this problem is connected to the laws of the first passage time of the process to members of a two-parameter…

For a one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X(t) ; 0\leq t \leq T \}$, we suppose that $X(t)$ is hidden if it is below some fixed and known threshold $\tau$, but otherwise it is visible. This means a partially hidden diffusion process. The…

An integro-differential equation for the probability density of the generalized stochastic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with jump diffusion is considered. It is shown that for a certain ratio between the intensity of jumps and the speed of…

Let the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $(X_t)_{t\ge0}$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion $B^{H }$, described by $dX_t = -\theta X_t dt + \sigma dB_t^{H }$ be observed at discrete time instants $t_k=kh$, $k=0, 1, 2, \cdots, 2n+2 $. We…

We study the problem of detecting a change in the mean of one-dimensional Gaussian process data. This problem is investigated in the setting of increasing domain (customarily employed in time series analysis) and in the setting of fixed…

Model change detection is studied, in which there are two sets of samples that are independently and identically distributed (i.i.d.) according to a pre-change probabilistic model with parameter $\theta$, and a post-change model with…

A method for change point detection is proposed. We consider a univariate sequence of independent random variables with piecewise constant expectation and variance, apart from which the distribution may vary periodically. We aim to detect…

The statistical analysis for equations driven by fractional Gaussian process (fGp) is relatively recent. The development of stochastic calculus with respect to the fGp allowed to study such models. In the present paper we consider the drift…

In this paper, we investigate the consistency and asymptotic efficiency of an estimator of the drift matrix, $F$, of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes that are not necessarily stable. We consider all the cases. (1) The eigenvalues of $F$ are in…

Many time series exhibit changes both in level and in variability. Generally, it is more important to detect a change in the level, and changing or smoothly evolving variability can confound existing tests. This paper develops a framework…

We study the full distribution of $A=\int_{0}^{T}x^{n}\left(t\right)dt$, $n=1,2,\dots$, where $x\left(t\right)$ is an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We find that for $n>2$ the long-time ($T \to \infty$) scaling form of the distribution is of…

We consider two reflecting diffusion processes $(X_t)_{t \ge 0}$ with a moving reflection boundary given by a non-decreasing pure jump Markov process $(R_t)_{t \ge 0}$. Between the jumps of the reflection boundary the diffusion part behaves…

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Among all generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes which sample the same invariant measure and for which the same amount of randomness (a $N$-dimensional Brownian motion) is injected in the system, we prove that the asymptotic rate of…

Estimation of mean shift in a temporally ordered sequence of random variables with a possible existence of change-point is an important problem in many disciplines. In the available literature of more than fifty years the estimation methods…

For an arbitrary Hilbert space-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process we construct the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Bridge connecting a starting point $x$ and an endpoint $y$ that belongs to a certain linear subspace of full measure. We derive also a…

This paper considers the problem of adaptive estimation of a mean pattern in a randomly shifted curve model. We show that this problem can be transformed into a linear inverse problem, where the density of the random shifts plays the role…

This paper presents a study of the properties of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridge, specifically, we derive its Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansion for any value of the initial variance and mean-reversion parameter (or mean-repulsion if negative). We…

This paper deals with the rate of convergence for the central limit theorem of estimators of the drift coefficient, denoted $\theta$, for a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X \coloneqq \{X_t,t\geq0\}$ observed at high frequency. We provide an…