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In this paper, we investigate quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimation for the parameters of a cointegrated solution of a continuous-time linear state space model observed at discrete time points. The class of cointegrated solutions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Markus Scholz

The class of multivariate L\'{e}vy-driven autoregressive moving average (MCARMA) processes, the continuous-time analogs of the classical vector ARMA processes, is shown to be equivalent to the class of continuous-time state space models.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Eckhard Schlemm , Robert Stelzer

This paper is about vector autoregressive-moving average (VARMA) models with time-dependent coefficients to represent non-stationary time series. Contrarily to other papers in the univariate case, the coefficients depend on time but not on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Abdelkamel Alj , Christophe Ley , Guy Mélard

The purpose of this paper is to study the convergence of the quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimator for long memory linear processes. We first establish a correspondence between the long-memory linear process representation and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Jean-Marc Bardet , Yves Gael Tchabo Mbienkeu

We consider the parametric estimation of the driving L\'evy process of a multivariate continuous-time autoregressive moving average (MCARMA) process, which is observed on the discrete time grid $(0,h,2h,...)$. Beginning with a new state…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Peter J. Brockwell , Eckhard Schlemm

This paper establishes the almost sure convergence and asymptotic normality of levels and differenced quasi maximum-likelihood (QML) estimators of dynamic panel data models. The QML estimators are robust with respect to initial conditions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Robert F. Phillips

In this paper, we consider the Whittle estimator for the parameters of a stationary solution of a continuous-time linear state space model sampled at low frequencies. In our context the driving process is a L\'evy process which allows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Celeste Mayer

In this paper we define and characterize cointegrated continuous-time linear state-space models. A main result is that a cointegrated continuous-time linear state-space model can be represented as a sum of a L\'evy process and a stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-03 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Markus Scholz

We consider parameter estimation in finite hidden state space Markov models with time-dependent inhomogeneous noise, where the inhomogeneity vanishes sufficiently fast. Based on the concept of asymptotic mean stationary processes we prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Manuel Diehn , Axel Munk , Daniel Rudolf

Continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) process driven by simple semi-L\'evy process has periodically correlated property with many potential application in finance. In this paper, we study on the estimation of the parameters…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 N. Modarresi , S. Rezakhah , M. Mohammadi

We consider high-frequency sampled continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) models driven by finite-variance zero-mean L\'evy processes. An L^2-consistent estimator for the increments of the driving L\'evy process without order…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Vincenzo Ferrazzano , Florian Fuchs

Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

Continuous-time autoregressive and moving average (CARMA) models are extensively used to model high-frequency and irregularly sampled data. We study Whittle estimation for the model parameters when the process is observed at renewal times.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Frank Bosserhoff , Giacomo Francisci , Robert Stelzer

Interest in continuous-time processes has increased rapidly in recent years, largely because of high-frequency data available in many applications. We develop a method for estimating the kernel function $g$ of a second-order stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-22 Peter Brockwell , Vincenzo Ferrazzano , Claudia Klüppelberg

We address estimation of parametric coefficients of a pure-jump L\'evy driven univariate stochastic differential equation (SDE) model, which is observed at high frequency over a fixed time period. It is known from the previous study Masuda…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Hiroki Masuda

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE) are given for a general class of multidimensional causal processes. For particular cases already studied in the literature (for instance univariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-09 Jean-Marc Bardet , Olivier Wintenberger

In this paper, we consider function-indexed normalized weighted integrated periodograms for equidistantly sampled multivariate continuous-time state space models which are multivariate continuous-time ARMA processes. Thereby, the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-16 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Celeste Mayer

Continuous-time state-space models (SSMs) are flexible tools for analysing irregularly sampled sequential observations that are driven by an underlying state process. Corresponding applications typically involve restrictive assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-29 Sina Mews , Roland Langrock , Marius Ötting , Houda Yaqine , Jost Reinecke
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