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Surrogate models are extensively employed for forward and inverse uncertainty quantification in complex, computation-intensive engineering problems. Nonetheless, constructing high-accuracy surrogate models for complex dynamical systems with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Zhouzhou Song , Weiyun Xu , Marcos A. Valdebenito , Matthias G. R. Faes

This paper presents a surrogate modelling technique based on domain partitioning for Bayesian parameter inference of highly nonlinear engineering models. In order to alleviate the computational burden typically involved in Bayesian…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-12-06 J. C. García-Merino , C. Calvo-Jurado , E. Martínez-Pañeda , E. García-Macías

We provide a new kriging procedure of processes on graphs. Based on the construction of Gaussian random processes indexed by graphs, we extend to this framework the usual linear prediction method for spatial random fields, known as kriging.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-26 Thibault Espinasse , Jean-Michel Loubes

In this work, we propose a framework that combines the approximation-theory-based multifidelity method and Gaussian-process-regression-based multifidelity method to achieve data-model convergence when stochastic simulation models and sparse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-10 Xiu Yang , Xueyu Zhu , Jing Li

Sequential design is a highly active field of research in active learning which provides a general framework for designing computer experiments with limited computational budgets. It aims to create efficient surrogate models to replace…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Paul Lartaud , Philippe Humbert , Josselin Garnier

Kriging based on Gaussian random fields is widely used in reconstructing unknown functions. The kriging method has pointwise predictive distributions which are computationally simple. However, in many applications one would like to predict…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Wenjia Wang , Rui Tuo , C. F. Jeff Wu

Spatial prediction requires expensive computation to invert the spatial covariance matrix it depends on and also has considerable storage needs. This work concentrates on computationally efficient algorithms for prediction using very large…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-11 Roberto Rivera

Verifying safety of neural network control systems that use images as input is a difficult problem because, from a given system state, there is no known way to mathematically model what images are possible in the real-world. We build on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Feiyang Cai , Chuchu Fan , Stanley Bak

Exact Kriging and conditional simulation (CS) for uncertainty quantification are computationally infeasible for modern spatial analyses with large numbers of observations and dense prediction grids. We present a rapid approximation to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Ziyu Li , Gregory Fasshauer , Douglas Nychka

We propose a method with better predictions at extreme values than the standard method of Kriging. We construct our predictor in two ways: by penalizing the mean squared error through conditional bias and by penalizing the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Minyong R. Lee , Art B. Owen

Kriging is an efficient machine-learning tool, which allows to obtain an approximate response of an investigated phenomenon on the whole parametric space. Adaptive schemes provide a the ability to guide the experiment yielding new sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Jan N. Fuhg , Amelie Fau

The optimal and robust design of structures has gained much attention in the past ten years due to the ever increasing need for manufacturers to build robust systems at the lowest cost. Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) allows…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-12 Vincent Dubourg , Jean-Marc Bourinet , Bruno Sudret

Constructing approximations that can accurately mimic the behavior of complex models at reduced computational costs is an important aspect of uncertainty quantification. Despite their flexibility and efficiency, classical surrogate models…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-29 S. Marelli , P. -R. Wagner , C. Lataniotis , B. Sudret

We present a new surrogate model for emulating the behavior of complex nonlinear dynamical systems with external stochastic excitation. The model represents the system dynamics in state space form through a sparse Kriging model. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Kai Chenga , Iason Papaioannoua , MengZe Lyub , Daniel Straub

This paper is motivated by a computer experiment conducted for optimizing residual stresses in the machining of metals. Although kriging is widely used in the analysis of computer experiments, it cannot be easily applied to model the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-08 Ying Hung , V. Roshan Joseph , Shreyes N. Melkote

Scientists and engineers commonly use simulation models to study real systems for which actual experimentation is costly, difficult, or impossible. Many simulations are stochastic in the sense that repeated runs with the same input…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-09 Wenjia Wang , Benjamin Haaland

One of the main challenges in surrogate modeling is the limited availability of data due to resource constraints associated with computationally expensive simulations. Multi-fidelity methods provide a solution by chaining models in a…

Combinatorial drugs have been widely applied in disease treatment, especially chemotherapy for cancer, due to its improved efficacy and reduced toxicity compared with individual drugs. The study of combinatorial drugs requires efficient…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-31 Qian Xiao , Lin Wang , Hongquan Xu

Leveraging the kernel trick in both the input and output spaces, surrogate kernel methods are a flexible and theoretically grounded solution to structured output prediction. If they provide state-of-the-art performance on complex data sets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-07 Tamim El Ahmad , Luc Brogat-Motte , Pierre Laforgue , Florence d'Alché-Buc

Building on the previous work of Lee et al. and Ferdinand et al. on coded computation, we propose a sequential approximation framework for solving optimization problems in a distributed manner. In a distributed computation system, latency…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-26 Jingge Zhu , Ye Pu , Vipul Gupta , Claire Tomlin , Kannan Ramchandran