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With computational models becoming more expensive and complex, surrogate models have gained increasing attention in many scientific disciplines and are often necessary to conduct sensitivity studies, parameter optimization etc. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-24 Matthias Fischer , Carsten Proppe

Integrating uncertainties in the design process of reinforced concrete rail bridges, in a fully probabilistic framework, makes their design more complex and challenging. To propagate these uncertainties and convey their influence on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Mouhammed Achhab , Pierre Jehel , Fabrice Gatuingt

We investigate two new strategies for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems within the Regression Monte Carlo (RMC) framework of Longstaff and Schwartz. First, we propose the use of stochastic kriging (Gaussian process)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-27 Michael Ludkovski

We consider performing simulation experiments in the presence of covariates. Here, covariates refer to some input information other than system designs to the simulation model that can also affect the system performance. To make decisions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Cheng Li , Siyang Gao , Jianzhong Du

Gradient-enhanced Kriging (GE-Kriging) is a well-established surrogate modelling technique for approximating expensive computational models. However, it tends to get impractical for high-dimensional problems due to the size of the inherent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-05 Kai Cheng , Ralf Zimmermann

Stochastic kriging has been widely employed for simulation metamodeling to predict the response surface of complex simulation models. However, its use is limited to cases where the design space is low-dimensional because, in general, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-16 Liang Ding , Xiaowei Zhang

Simulation of complex dynamical systems arising in many applications is computationally challenging due to their size and complexity. Model order reduction, machine learning, and other types of surrogate modeling techniques offer cheaper…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Steven Roberts , Andrey A Popov , Arash Sarshar , Adrian Sandu

Explicitly accounting for uncertainties is paramount to the safety of engineering structures. Optimization which is often carried out at the early stage of the structural design offers an ideal framework for this task. When the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 M. Moustapha , A. Galimshina , G. Habert , B. Sudret

Structural reliability methods aim at computing the probability of failure of systems with respect to some prescribed performance functions. In modern engineering such functions usually resort to running an expensive-to-evaluate…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-10 V. Dubourg , F. Deheeger , B. Sudret

Optimal design under uncertainty has gained much attention in the past ten years due to the ever increasing need for manufacturers to build robust systems at the lowest cost. Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) allows the analyst…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-13 V. Dubourg , J. -M. Bourinet , B. Sudret

For estimation and predictions of random fields it is increasingly acknowledged that the kriging variance may be a poor representative of true uncertainty. Experimental designs based on more elaborate criteria that are appropriate for…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-15 Werner G. Müller , Luc Pronzato , Joao Rendas , Helmut Waldl

This work develops a multivariate extension of the Fixed Rank Kriging (FRK) framework for spatial prediction in settings where multiple spatial processes may provide complementary information. The goal is to preserve the computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Gaia Caringi , Piercesare Secchi

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) is an active field of research with an ever increasing number of contributions. Numerous methods have been proposed for the solution of RBDO, a complex problem that combines optimization and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-11 M. Moustapha , B. Sudret

This paper discusses the use of Kriging model in Automated Vehicle evaluation. We explore how a Kriging model can help reduce the number of experiments or simulations in the Accelerated Evaluation procedure. We also propose an adaptive…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-18 Zhiyuan Huang , Henry Lam , Ding Zhao

Emulating the mapping between quantities of interest and their control parameters using surrogate models finds widespread application in engineering design, including in numerical optimization and uncertainty quantification. Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-02 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Kade Carlson

Kriging and Gaussian Process Regression are statistical methods that allow predicting the outcome of a random process or a random field by using a sample of correlated observations. In other words, the random process or random field is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Marius Marinescu

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) is traditionally formulated as a nested optimization and reliability problem. Although surrogate models are generally employed to improve efficiency, the approach remains computationally…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-08 M. Moustapha , B. Sudret

As models in various fields are becoming more complex, associated computational demands have been increasing significantly. Reliability analysis for these systems when failure probabilities are small is significantly challenging, requiring…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-05 Zeyu Wang , Abdollah Shafieezadeh

Automated vehicles have been under heavy developments in major auto and tech companies and are expected to release into market in the foreseeable future. However, the road safety of these vehicles remains a concern. One approach to evaluate…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-04 Zhiyuan Huang , Henry Lam , Ding Zhao

Machine learning-based reliability analysis methods have shown great advancements for their computational efficiency and accuracy. Recently, many efficient learning strategies have been proposed to enhance the computational performance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-23 Lisang Zhou , Ziqian Luo , Xueting Pan