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Related papers: Designing Informative Securities

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There has been a recent surge of interest in the role of information in strategic interactions. Much of this work seeks to understand how the realized equilibrium of a game is influenced by uncertainty in the environment and the information…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-22 Shaddin Dughmi

A prediction market is a useful means of aggregating information about a future event. To function, the market needs a trusted entity who will verify the true outcome in the end. Motivated by the recent introduction of decentralized…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-16 Rupert Freeman , Sebastien Lahaie , David M. Pennock

Data buyers compete in a game of incomplete information about which a single data seller owns some payoff-relevant information. The seller faces a joint information- and mechanism-design problem: deciding which information to sell, while…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Alessandro Bonatti , Munther Dahleh , Thibaut Horel , Amir Nouripour

We consider mechanisms for markets that are double-sided and have players with multi-dimensional strategic spaces on at least one side. The players of the market are strategic, and act to optimize their own utilities. The mechanism…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Moran Feldman , Rica Gonen

The $\textit{data market design}$ problem is a problem in economic theory to find a set of signaling schemes (statistical experiments) to maximize expected revenue to the information seller, where each experiment reveals some of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Sai Srivatsa Ravindranath , Yanchen Jiang , David C. Parkes

In a prediction market, individuals can sequentially place bets on the outcome of a future event. This leaves a trail of personal probabilities for the event, each being conditional on the current individual's private background knowledge…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid , Julia Mortera

We study the implementability of stable matchings in a two-sided market model with one-sided incomplete information. Firms' types are publicly known, whereas workers' types are private information. A mechanism generates a matching and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-23 Dinko Dimitrov , Dipjyoti Majumdar

Energy forecasting has attracted enormous attention over the last few decades, with novel proposals related to the use of heterogeneous data sources, probabilistic forecasting, online learn-ing, etc. A key aspect that emerged is that…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-05 Pierre Pinson , Liyang Han , Jalal Kazempour

A marketplace is defined where the private data of suppliers (e.g., prosumers) are protected, so that neither their identity nor their level of stock is made known to end customers, while they can sell their products at a reduced price. A…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-03-02 Maurizio Naldi , Giuseppe D'Acquisto

Browsing privacy solutions face an uphill battle to deployment. Many operate counter to the economic objectives of popular online services (e.g., by completely blocking ads) and do not provide enough incentive for users who may be subject…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-10-05 Arash Molavi Kakhki , Vijay Erramilli , Phillipa Gill , Augustin Chaintreau , Balachander Krishnamurthy

We study information elicitation in cost-function-based combinatorial prediction markets when the market maker's utility for information decreases over time. In the sudden revelation setting, it is known that some piece of information will…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-31 Miroslav Dudík , Rafael Frongillo , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

A principal who values an object allocates it to one or more agents. Agents learn private information (signals) from an information designer about the allocation payoff to the principal. Monetary transfer is not available but the principal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-31 Yi-Chun Chen , Gaoji Hu , Xiangqian Yang

The objective of this paper is to introduce the theory of option pricing for markets with informed traders within the framework of dynamic asset pricing theory. We introduce new models for option pricing for informed traders in complete…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-13 Yuan Hu , Abootaleb Shirvani , Stoyan Stoyanov , Young Shin Kim , Frank J. Fabozzi , Svetlozar T. Rachev

We design a prediction market to recover a complete and fully general probability distribution over a random variable. Traders buy and sell interval securities that pay \$1 if the outcome falls into an interval and \$0 otherwise. Our market…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Miroslav Dudík , Xintong Wang , David M. Pennock , David M. Rothschild

An informed seller designs a dynamic mechanism to sell an experience good. The seller has partial information about the product match, which affects the buyer's private consumption experience. We characterize equilibrium mechanisms of this…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-06-24 Tan Gan , Nicholas Wu

In this paper we design information elicitation mechanisms for Bayesian auctions. While in Bayesian mechanism design the distributions of the players' private types are often assumed to be common knowledge, information elicitation considers…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-27 Jing Chen , Bo Li , Yingkai Li

Quality-designed consumer products are easy to recognize. Wouldn't it be great if the quality of financial products became just as apparent? This paper is addressed to financial practitioners. It provides an informal introduction to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-08 Andrei N. Soklakov

Speculative design uses provocative "what if?" scenarios to explore possible sociotechnical futures, yet lacks rigorous criteria for assessing the quality of speculation. We address this gap by reframing speculative design through an…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Botao Amber Hu

When users lack specific knowledge of various system parameters, their uncertainty may lead them to make undesirable deviations in their decision making. To alleviate this, an informed system operator may elect to signal information to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Bryce L. Ferguson , Philip N. Brown , Jason R. Marden

We study the problem of determining what data is required to solve a decision-making task when only partial information about the state of the world is available. Focusing on linear programs, we introduce a decision-focused notion of data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Omar Bennouna , Amine Bennouna , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar