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A number of algorithms have been developed to solve probabilistic inference problems on belief networks. These algorithms can be divided into two main groups: exact techniques which exploit the conditional independence revealed when the…

We introduce a discrete-time fractional calculus of variations. First and second order necessary optimality conditions are established. Examples illustrating the use of the new Euler-Lagrange and Legendre type conditions are given. They…

Let $(X _i)_{i\geq1}$ be a stationary sequence. Denote $m=\lfloor n^\alpha \rfloor, 0< \alpha < 1,$ and $ k=\lfloor n/m \rfloor,$ where $\lfloor a \rfloor$ stands for the integer part of $a.$ Set $S_{j}^\circ = \sum_{i=1}^m X_{m(j-1)+i},…

In this article, we introduce a conditional marginal model for longitudinal data, in which the residuals form a martingale difference sequence. This model allows us to consider a rich class of estimating equations, which contains several…

Algorithms for jointly obtaining projection estimates of the density and distribution function of a random variable using Legendre polynomials are proposed. For these algorithms, a problem of the conditional optimization is solved. Such…

In this paper, we develop necessary and sufficient conditions for the validity of a martingale approximation for the partial sums of a stationary process in terms of the maximum of consecutive errors. Such an approximation is useful for…

We extend the spectral method for proving limit theorems to random non-uniformly expanding dynamical systems. This yields the CLT and moderate deviations principles (MDP). We show that as the amount of non-uniformity decreases the CLT rates…

We derive a Gaussian approximation result for the maximum of a sum of high-dimensional random vectors. Specifically, we establish conditions under which the distribution of the maximum is approximated by that of the maximum of a sum of the…

We develop a martingale approximation framework yielding quantitative maximal large deviations estimates for invertible dynamical systems. From suitable decay of correlations, we deduce these estimates and, as an application, we obtain…

We consider the so-called $\natural$-model. It is an one-default model which gives the conditional law of a random time with respect to a reference filtration. This model has been studied in the case where the parameters are continuous. In…

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of absorbed one-dimensional diffusions. We obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in total variation,…

For better learning, large datasets are often split into small batches and fed sequentially to the predictive model. In this paper, we study such batch decompositions from a probabilistic perspective. We assume that data points (possibly…

In this paper, we study Gaussian multiplicative chaos in the critical case. We show that the so-called derivative martingale, introduced in the context of branching Brownian motions and branching random walks, converges almost surely (in…

The large deviations principles are established for a class of multidimensional degenerate stochastic differential equations with reflecting boundary conditions. The results include two cases where the initial conditions are adapted and…

Cramer's rules for some left, right and two-sided quaternion matrix equations are obtained within the framework of the theory of the column and row determinants.

We propose flexible Gaussian representations for conditional cumulative distribution functions and give a concave likelihood criterion for their estimation. Optimal representations satisfy the monotonicity property of conditional cumulative…

In this PhD thesis we introduce a generalized fractional calculus of variations. We consider variational problems containing generalized fractional integrals and derivatives, and study them using standard (indirect) and direct methods. In…

We propose a method for inference in generalised linear mixed models (GLMMs) and several extensions of these models. First, we extend the GLMM by allowing the distribution of the random components to be non-Gaussian, that is, assuming an…

This paper deals with rates of convergence in the strong law of large numbers, in the Baum-Katz form, for partial sums of Banach space valued random variables. The results are then applied to solve similar problems for weighted partial sums…

This paper deals with U-statistics of Poisson processes and multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals on the Poisson space. Via sharp bounds on the cumulants for both classes of random variables, moderate deviation principles, concentration…