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For self-normalized martingales with conditionally symmetric differences, de la Pe\~{n}a [A general class of exponential inequalities for martingales and ratios. Ann. Probab. 27, No.1, 537-564] established the Gaussian type exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Xiequan Fan , Shen Wang

We introduce a transform on the class of stochastic exponentials for d-dimensional Brownian motions. Each stochastic exponential generates another stochastic exponential under the transform. The new exponential process is often merely a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Victor Goodman

We consider a multinomial distribution, where the number of cells increases and the cell-probabilities decreases as the number of observations grows. The probabilities of large deviations of statistics, which has form of a sum of Borel…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-09 Sherzod M. Mirakhmedov

The martingale part in the semimartingale decomposition of a Brownian motion with respect to an enlargement of its filtration, is an anticipative mapping of the given Brownian motion. In analogy to optimal transport theory, we define causal…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Beatrice Acciaio , Julio Backhoff Veraguas , Anastasiia Zalashko

A \emph{double extrema form} of the calculus of variations is put forward in which only the smallest one of the finite differences is physically meaningful to represent the variational derivatives defined on the discrete points. The most…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-13 Q. H. Liu

We study existence of probability measure valued jump-diffusions described by martingale problems. We develop a simple device that allows us to embed Wasserstein spaces and other similar spaces of probability measures into locally compact…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Martin Larsson , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

A Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem quantifies the relative error of the tail probability approximation. It provides theoretical justification when the limiting tail probability can be used to estimate the tail probability under…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Qi-Man Shao , Mengchen Zhang , Zhuo-Song Zhang

We consider a class of conditional forward-backward diffusion models for conditional generative modeling, that is, generating new data given a covariate (or control variable). To formally study the theoretical properties of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Rong Tang , Lizhen Lin , Yun Yang

We consider large deviations of empirical measures of diffusion processes. In a first part, we present conditions to obtain a large deviations principle (LDP) for a precise class of unbounded functions. This provides an analogue to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Grégoire Ferré , Gabriel Stoltz

We provide a perturbative expansion for the empirical spectral distribution of a Hermitian matrix with large size perturbed by a random matrix with small operator norm whose entries in the eigenvector basis of the first one are independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Florent Benaych-Georges , Nathanaël Enriquez , Alkéos Michaïl

Known Bernstein-type upper bounds on the tail probabilities for sums of independent zero-mean sub-exponential random variables are improved in several ways at once. The new upper bounds have a certain optimality property.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Iosif Pinelis

This note presents sharp inequalities for deviation probability of a general quadratic form of a random vector \(\xiv\) with finite exponential moments. The obtained deviation bounds are similar to the case of a Gaussian random vector. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-08 Vladimir Spokoiny

Estimating the condition numbers of random structured matrices is a well known challenge, linked to the design of efficient randomized matrix algorithms. We deduce such estimates for Gaussian random Toeplitz and circulant matrices. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-12-20 Victor Y. Pan , Guoliang Qian

The goal of this paper is to go further in the analysis of the behavior of the number of descents in a random permutation. Via two different approaches relying on a suitable martingale decomposition or on the Irwin-Hall distribution, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Bernard Bercu , Michel Bonnefont , Adrien Richou

In this work, Bernstein's concentration inequalities for squared integrable matrix-valued discrete-time martingales are obtained. Based on Lieb's theory and Bernstein's condition, a suitable supermartingale can be constructed. Our proof is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Zijie Tian

When the limiting compensator of a sequence of martingales is continuous, we obtain a weak convergence theorem for the martingales; the limiting process can be written as a Brownian motion evaluated at the compensator and we find sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Bruno Rémillard , Jean Vaillancourt

It is known that large deviations of sums of subexponential random variables are most likely realised by deviations of a single random variable. In this article we give a detailed picture of how subexponential random variables are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Inés Armendáriz , Michail Loulakis

In this paper we obtain a Bernstein type inequality for a class of weakly dependent and bounded random variables. The proofs lead to a moderate deviations principle for sums of bounded random variables with exponential decay of the strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-23 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Emmanuel Rio

We consider the classical optimal dividends problem under the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with exponential claim sizes subject to a constraint on the time of ruin. We introduce the dual problem and show that the complementary slackness…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Camilo Hernandez , Mauricio Junca

We establish a Cram\'er-type moderate deviation result for self-normalized sums of weakly dependent random variables, where the moment requirement is much weaker than the non-self-normalized counterpart. The range of the moderate deviation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-15 Xiaohong Chen , Qi-Man Shao , Wei Biao Wu
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