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We consider the branching process in random environment $\{Z_n\}_{n\geq 0}$, which is a~population growth process where individuals reproduce independently of each other with the reproduction law randomly picked at each generation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Dariusz Buraczewski , Piotr Dyszewski

We prove large and moderate deviation principles for the distribution of an empirical mean conditioned by the value of the sum of discrete i.i.d. random variables. Some applications for combinatoric problems are discussed.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-11 Fabrice Gamboa , Thierry Klein , Clémentine Prieur

A variational formula for the Cram\'er transform of series of weighted, independent symmetric Bernoulli random variables (Rademacher series) is given.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Krzysztof Zajkowski

We provide a direct proof of Cram\'er's theorem for geodesic random walks in a complete Riemannian manifold $(M,g)$. We show how to exploit the vector space structure of the tangent spaces to study large deviation properties of geodesic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Rik Versendaal

We derive Cram\'{e}r type moderate deviations for stationary sequences of bounded random variables. Our results imply the moderate deviation principles and a Berry-Esseen bound. Applications to quantile coupling inequalities, functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Xiequan Fan

In this paper, we propose a new approach to the investigation of asymptotic properties of trimmed $L$-statistics and we apply it to the Cram\'{e}r type large deviation problem. Our results can be compared with ones in Callaert et al.(1982)…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Nadezhda Gribkova

A proof of the Cram\'er-Rao inequality for prediction is presented under conditions of $L^2$-differentiability of the family of distributions of the model. The assumptions and the proof differ from those of Miyata (2001) who also proved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-14 Emmanuel Onzon

Cram\'er type moderate deviation theorems quantify the accuracy of the relative error of the normal approximation and provide theoretical justifications for many commonly used methods in statistics. In this paper, we develop a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Qi-Man Shao , Wen-Xin Zhou

We use a new method via $p$-Wasserstein bounds to prove Cram\'er-type moderate deviations in (multivariate) normal approximations. In the classical setting that $W$ is a standardized sum of $n$ independent and identically distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

We prove a large deviation principle for stochastic differential equations driven by semimartingales, with additive controls. Conditions are given in terms of characteristics of driven semimartingales, so that if the noise-control pairs…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Qiao Huang , Wei Wei , Jinqiao Duan

An approach to reasoning with default rules where the proportion of exceptions, or more generally the probability of encountering an exception, can be at least roughly assessed is presented. It is based on local uncertainty propagation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Stephane Amarger , Didier Dubois , Henri Prade

We establish deviation inequalities for the maxima of partial sums of a martingale differences sequence, and of a strictly stationary orthomartingale random field. These inequalities can be used to establish complete convergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Davide Giraudo

We study a class of distribution-steering problems from a variational point of view. Under some differentiability assumptions, we derive necessary conditions for optimal Markov policies in the spirit of the Lagrange multiplier approach. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Alberto Domínguez Corella , David González-Sánchez

In this article we present a Bernstein inequality for sums of random variables which are defined on a graphical network whose nodes grow at an exponential rate. The inequality can be used to derive concentration inequalities in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Johannes T. N. Krebs

We explore some properties of the conditional distribution of an i.i.d. sample under large exceedances of its sum. Thresholds for the asymptotic independance of the summands are observed, in contrast with the classical case when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-14 Maeva Biret , Michel Broniatowski , Zangsheng Cao

We establish necessary optimality conditions for variational problems with a Lagrangian depending on a combined Caputo derivative of variable fractional order. The endpoint of the integral is free, and thus transversality conditions are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-30 Dina Tavares , Ricardo Almeida , Delfim F. M. Torres

We establish Cram\'er type moderate deviation (MD}) results for heavy trimmed L-statistics; we obtain our results under a very mild smoothness condition on the inversion $F^{-1}$ ($F$ is the underlying distribution of i.i.d. observations)…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-07 Nadezhda Gribkova

We study the conditional distribution of goodness of fit statistics of the Cram\'{e}r--von Mises type given the complete sufficient statistics in testing for exponential family models. We show that this distribution is close, in large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-26 Richard A. Lockhart

The martingale method is used to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Leonid , Kontorovich , Kavita Ramanan

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in a random environment $\xi = (\xi_n)$. We establish a Berry-Esseen bound and a Cram\'er's type large deviation expansion for $\log Z_n$ under the annealed law $\mathbb P$. We also improve…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-08 Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu , Eric Miqueu