English

Efficient prediction in $L^2$-differentiable families of distributions

Statistics Theory 2014-04-14 v2 Statistics Theory

Abstract

A proof of the Cram\'er-Rao inequality for prediction is presented under conditions of L2L^2-differentiability of the family of distributions of the model. The assumptions and the proof differ from those of Miyata (2001) who also proved this inequality under L2L^2-differentiability conditions. It is also proved that if an efficient predictor (i.e. which risk attains the bound) exists then the family of distributions is of a special form which can be seen as an extension of the notion of exponential family. This result is also proved under L2L^2-differentiability conditions.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1312.3625,
  title  = {Efficient prediction in $L^2$-differentiable families of distributions},
  author = {Emmanuel Onzon},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1312.3625},
  year   = {2014}
}

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19 pages