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This review article provides an overview of recent work in the modeling and analysis of recurrent events arising in engineering, reliability, public health, biomedicine and other areas. Recurrent event modeling possesses unique facets…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-08-03 Edsel A. Peña

Clinical neuroimaging has recently witnessed explosive growth in data availability which brings studying heterogeneity in clinical cohorts to the spotlight. Normative modeling is an emerging statistical tool for achieving this objective.…

Intensive longitudinal biomarker data are increasingly common in scientific studies that seek temporally granular understanding of the role of behavioral and physiological factors in relation to outcomes of interest. Intensive longitudinal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Mingyan Yu , Zhenke Wu , Margaret Hicken , Michael R. Elliott

We propose a statistical modeling technique, called the Hierarchical Association Rule Model (HARM), that predicts a patient's possible future medical conditions given the patient's current and past history of reported conditions. The core…

Applications · Statistics 2012-06-29 Tyler H. McCormick , Cynthia Rudin , David Madigan

Safety critical systems are typically subjected to hazard analysis before commissioning to identify and analyse potentially hazardous system states that may arise during operation. Currently, hazard analysis is mainly based on human…

The healthcare sector has experienced a rapid accumulation of digital data recently, especially in the form of electronic health records (EHRs). EHRs constitute a precious resource that IS researchers could utilize for clinical applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Thiti Suttaket , L Vivek Harsha Vardhan , Stanley Kok

Survival analysis is an important problem in healthcare because it models the relationship between an individual's covariates and the onset time of an event of interest (e.g., death). It is important for survival models to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Thiti Suttaket , Stanley Kok

Over the last decades, many prognostic models based on artificial intelligence techniques have been used to provide detailed predictions in healthcare. Unfortunately, the real-world observational data used to train and validate these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Alice Bernasconi , Alessio Zanga , Peter J. F. Lucas , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

It is not always clear how to adjust for control data in causal inference, balancing the goals of reducing bias and variance. We show how, in a setting with repeated experiments, Bayesian hierarchical modeling yields an adaptive procedure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Andrew Gelman , Matthijs Vákár

Heterogeneous treatment effects can be very important in the analysis of randomized clinical trials. Heightened risks or enhanced benefits may exist for particular subsets of study subjects. When the heterogeneous treatment effects are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Richard A. Berk , Matthew Olson , Andreas Buja , Aurelie Ouss

With the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence, Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown remarkable capabilities in Natural Language Processing (NLP), including content generation, human-computer interaction, machine translation, and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Songyang Liu , Chaozhuo Li , Jiameng Qiu , Xi Zhang , Feiran Huang , Litian Zhang , Yiming Hei , Philip S. Yu

Logistic regression models are widely used in the social and behavioral sciences and in high-stakes domains, due to their simplicity and interpretability properties. At the same time, such domains are permeated by distribution shifts, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Qingshi Sun , Nathan Justin , Andres Gomez , Phebe Vayanos

Systems that answer questions by reviewing the scientific literature are becoming increasingly feasible. To draw reliable conclusions, these systems should take into account the quality of available evidence from different studies, placing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Jianyou Wang , Weili Cao , Longtian Bao , Youze Zheng , Gil Pasternak , Kaicheng Wang , Xiaoyue Wang , Ramamohan Paturi , Leon Bergen

In the last four years, the number of distinct autonomous vehicles platforms deployed in the streets of California increased 6-fold, while the reported accidents increased 12-fold. This can become a trend with no signs of subsiding as it is…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-05-18 Joachim Haensel , Christian M. Adriano , Johannes Dyck , Holger Giese

Accurate breast lesion risk estimation can significantly reduce unnecessary biopsies and help doctors decide optimal treatment plans. Most existing computer-aided systems rely solely on mammogram features to classify breast lesions. While…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-24 Hung Q. Vo , Pengyu Yuan , Tiancheng He , Stephen T. C. Wong , Hien V. Nguyen

We propose a Bayesian Sequential procedure to test hypotheses concerning the Relative Risk between two specific treatments based on the binary data obtained from the two-arm clinical trial. Our development is based on the optimal sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Jiayue Wang , Ben Boukai

Imbalanced problems can arise in different real-world situations, and to address this, certain strategies in the form of resampling or balancing algorithms are proposed. This issue has largely been studied in the context of classification,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Juscimara G. Avelino , George D. C. Cavalcanti , Rafael M. O. Cruz

Post-market safety surveillance is an integral part of mass vaccination programs. Typically relying on sequential analysis of real-world health data as they accrue, safety surveillance is challenged by the difficulty of sequential multiple…

This paper extends safety guarantees for multi-task Bayesian optimization with uncertain co-regionalization matrices from intrinsic co-regionalization models to linear models of co-regionalization. The latter allows for more flexible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Jannis Lübsen , Annika Eichler

We propose a fully Bayesian approach for causal inference with multivariate categorical data based on staged tree models, a class of probabilistic graphical models capable of representing asymmetric and context-specific dependencies. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-06 Andrea Cremaschi , Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando