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Decision theories offer principled methods for making choices under various types of uncertainty. Algorithms that implement these theories have been successfully applied to a wide range of real-world problems, including materials and drug…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Agustinus Kristiadi

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Generalizability and transportability methods have been proposed to address the external validity bias of randomized clinical trials that results from differences in the distribution of treatment effect modifiers between trial and target…

We give new results for problems in computational and statistical machine learning using tools from high-dimensional geometry and probability. We break up our treatment into two parts. In Part I, we focus on computational considerations in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Naren Sarayu Manoj

Advanced classification algorithms are being increasingly used in safety-critical applications like health-care, engineering, etc. In such applications, miss-classifications made by ML algorithms can result in substantial financial or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Disha Ghandwani , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Yang Lin

This article explores the critical role of statistical analysis in precision medicine. It discusses how personalized healthcare is enhanced by statistical methods that interpret complex, multidimensional datasets, focusing on predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Xiaofei Chen

The assessment of in-service safety performance is an important task, not only in railways. For example it is important to identify deviations early, in particular possible deterioration of safety performance, so that corrective actions can…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-02 Hendrik Schäbe , Jens Braband

In this paper, we will present a generalization for a minimization problem from I. Daubechies, M. Defrise, and C. Demol [3]. This generalization is useful for solving many practical problems in which more than one constraint are involved.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Saman Khoramian

Multivariate stochastic volatility models with skew distributions are proposed. Exploiting Cholesky stochastic volatility modeling, univariate stochastic volatility processes with leverage effect and generalized hyperbolic skew…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-21 Jouchi Nakajima

This paper develops detailed mathematical statistical theory of a new class of cross-validation techniques of local linear kernel hazards and their multiplicative bias corrections. The new class of cross-validation combines principles of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-17 Maria Luz Gamiz , Maria Dolores Martinez-Miranda , Jens Perch Nielsen

We present a general approach to synthesizing evidence of time-to-event endpoints in meta-analyses of aggregate data (AD). Our work goes beyond most previous meta-analytic research by using reconstructed survival data as a source of…

This paper studies the distributed control and estimation of multi-agent systems based on bearing information. In particular, we consider two problems: (i) the distributed control of bearing-constrained formations using relative position…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-31 Shiyu Zhao , Daniel Zelazo

Bayesian inference has many advantages in robotic motion planning over four perspectives: The uncertainty quantification of the policy, safety (risk-aware) and optimum guarantees of robot motions, data-efficiency in training of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Chengmin Zhou , Chao Wang , Haseeb Hassan , Himat Shah , Bingding Huang , Pasi Fränti

Long-term outcomes are often unavailable in randomized clinical trials, although short-term surrogate outcomes are commonly observed. External observational data may contain the long-term outcome, but causal comparisons based on such data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Ziyang Liu , Niwen Zhou , Peng Wu , Xu Guo

We consider Bayesian hierarchical models for survival analysis, where the survival times are modeled through an underlying diffusion process which determines the hazard rate. We show how these models can be efficiently treated by means of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Gareth O. Roberts , Laura M. Sangalli

We consider a patient risk models which has access to patient features such as vital signs, lab values, and prior history but does not have access to a patient's diagnosis. For example, this occurs in a model deployed at intake time for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Alexander Peysakhovich , Rich Caruana , Yin Aphinyanaphongs

Real-world clinical problems are often characterized by multimodal data, usually associated with incomplete views and limited sample sizes in their cohorts, posing significant limitations for machine learning algorithms. In this work, we…

We respond to comments on our paper, titled "Instrumental variable estimation of the causal hazard ratio."

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-26 Linbo Wang , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Torben Martinussen , Stijn Vansteelandt

The last two years have seen a rapid growth in concerns around the safety of large language models (LLMs). Researchers and practitioners have met these concerns by creating an abundance of datasets for evaluating and improving LLM safety.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Paul Röttger , Fabio Pernisi , Bertie Vidgen , Dirk Hovy

Disease mapping analyses the distribution of several disease outcomes within a territory. Primary goals include identifying areas with unexpected changes in mortality rates, studying the relation among multiple diseases, and dividing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Andrea Sottosanti , Enrico Bovo , Pietro Belloni , Giovanna Boccuzzo