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A new version of the partial autocorrelation plot and a new family of subset autoregressive models are introduced. A comprehensive approach to model identification, estimation and diagnostic checking is developed for these models. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-07 A. Ian McLeod , Ying Zhang

The proposed Goodness--of--Fit (GoF) test for checking the linear autocorrelation model in a functional time series is based on an empirical process, whose residual marks and covariate index set are in a separable Hilbert space \mathbb{H}.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-29 W. González-Manteiga , M. D. Ruiz-Medina , M. Febrero-Bande

Value-at-Risk (VaR) is an institutional measure of risk favored by financial regulators. VaR may be interpreted as a quantile of future portfolio values conditional on the information available, where the most common quantile used is 95%.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-18 Khizar Qureshi

Nonlinear autoregressive models are very useful for modeling many natural processes, however, the size of the class of these models is large. Functional-coefficient autoregressive models (FCAR) are useful structures for reducing the size of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-01 Qiwei Li

Quantile regression provides a framework for modeling statistical quantities of interest other than the conditional mean. The regression methodology is well developed for linear models, but less so for nonparametric models. We consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Mi-Ok Kim

We present two innovative functional partial quantile regression algorithms designed to accurately and efficiently estimate the regression coefficient function within the function-on-function linear quantile regression model. Our algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Muge Mutis , Ufuk Beyaztas , Filiz Karaman , Han Lin Shang

A collection of quantile curves provides a complete picture of conditional distributions. Properly centered and scaled versions of estimated curves at various quantile levels give rise to the so-called quantile regression process (QRP). In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Shih-Kang Chao , Stanislav Volgushev , Guang Cheng

In multivariate time series analysis, spectral coherence measures the linear dependency between two time series at different frequencies. However, real data applications often exhibit nonlinear dependency in the frequency domain.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón , Ying Sun , Ta-Hsin Li

Quantile regression is a technique to estimate conditional quantile curves. It provides a comprehensive picture of a response contingent on explanatory variables. In a flexible modeling framework, a specific form of the conditional quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-31 Vladimir Spokoiny , Weining Wang , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

We study the autocorrelation function of different types of eigenfunctions in quantum mechanical systems with either chaotic or mixed classical limits. We obtain an expansion of the autocorrelation function in terms of the correlation…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 Arnd Bäcker , Roman Schubert

Despite attractive theoretical guarantees and practical successes, Predictive Interval (PI) given by Conformal Prediction (CP) may not reflect the uncertainty of a given model. This limitation arises from CP methods using a constant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Salim I. Amoukou , Nicolas J. B Brunel

We propose a prediction procedure for the functional linear quantile regression model by using partial quantile covariance techniques and develop a simple partial quantile regression (SIMPQR) algorithm to efficiently extract partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-03 Dengdeng Yu , Linglong Kong , Ivan Mizera

Quantile Factor Models (QFM) represent a new class of factor models for high-dimensional panel data. Unlike Approximate Factor Models (AFM), where only location-shifting factors can be extracted, QFM also allow to recover unobserved factors…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-24 Liang Chen , Juan Jose Dolado , Jesus Gonzalo

We consider an autocorrelation function of a quantum mechanical system through the lens of the so-called recursive method, by iteratively evaluating Lanczos coefficients, or solving a system of coupled differential equations in the Mori…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-28 Christian Bartsch , Anatoly Dymarsky , Mats H. Lamann , Jiaozi Wang , Robin Steinigeweg , Jochen Gemmer

The outcome of continuously measuring a quantum system is a string of data whose intricate correlation properties reflect the underlying quantum dynamics. In this paper we study the role of these correlation in reconstructing the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-14 Joseph A. Smiga , Gabriel T. Landi

Functional data such as curves and surfaces have become more and more common with modern technological advancements. The use of functional predictors remains challenging due to its inherent infinite-dimensionality. The common practice is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Dengdeng Yu , Matthew Pietrosanu , Ivan Mizera , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong , Wei Tu

Timely characterizations of risks in economic and financial systems play an essential role in both economic policy and private sector decisions. However, the informational content of low-frequency variables and the results from conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-07 Matteo Iacopini , Aubrey Poon , Luca Rossini , Dan Zhu

The modeling of high-frequency data that qualify financial asset transactions has been an area of relevant interest among statisticians and econometricians -- above all, the analysis of time series of financial durations. Autoregressive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-31 Helton Saulo , Suvra Pal , Rubens Souza , Roberto Vila , Alan Dasilva

We propose a new measure related with tail dependence in terms of correlation: quantile correlation coefficient of random variables X, Y. The quantile correlation is defined by the geometric mean of two quantile regression slopes of X on Y…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-19 Ji-Eun Choi , Dong Wan Shin

While the Vector Autoregression (VAR) model has received extensive attention for modelling complex time series, quantile VAR analysis remains relatively underexplored for high-dimensional time series data. To address this disparity, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Wenyang Liu , Ganggang Xu , Jianqing Fan , Xuening Zhu