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We explore the abilities of two machine learning approaches for no-arbitrage interpolation of European vanilla option prices, which jointly yield the corresponding local volatility surface: a finite dimensional Gaussian process (GP)…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-21 Marc Chataigner , Areski Cousin , Stéphane Crépey , Matthew Dixon , Djibril Gueye

We perform the Bayesian inference of a GARCH model by the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm with an adaptive proposal density. The adaptive proposal density is assumed to be the Student's t-distribution and the distribution parameters are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-30 Tetsuya Takaishi

We propose an abstract discontinuous Galerkin neural network (DGNN) framework for analyzing the convergence of least-squares methods based on the residual minimization when feasible solutions are neural networks. Within this framework, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Long Yuan , Hongxing Rui

The non-storability of electricity makes it unique among commodity assets, and it is an important driver of its price behaviour in secondary financial markets. The instantaneous and continuous matching of power supply with demand is a key…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-04 Daniel Poh , Stephen Roberts , Martin Tegnér

We find the variance-optimal equivalent martingale measure when multivariate assets are modeled by a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion, and the regimes are represented by a homogeneous continuous time Markov chain. Under this new…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Bruno Remillard , Sylvain Rubenthaler

We propose a Bayesian non-parametric approach for modeling the distribution of multiple returns. In particular, we use an asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation (ADCC) model to estimate the time-varying correlations of financial returns…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-10 Audrone Virbickaite , M. Concepción Ausín , Pedro Galeano

In this paper, we prove the global risk optimality of the hedging strategy of contingent claim, which is explicitly (or called semi-explicitly) constructed for an incomplete financial market with external risk factors of non-Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Wanyang Dai

A classical method for risk-sensitive nonlinear control is the iterative linear exponential quadratic Gaussian algorithm. We present its convergence analysis from a first-order optimization viewpoint. We identify the objective that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Vincent Roulet , Maryam Fazel , Siddhartha Srinivasa , Zaid Harchaoui

In this study we suggest a portfolio selection framework based on option-implied information and multivariate non-Gaussian models. The proposed models incorporate skewness, kurtosis and more complex dependence structures among stocks…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-28 Michele Leonardo Bianchi , Gian Luca Tassinari

We study portfolio optimization of four major cryptocurrencies. Our time series model is a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model with multivariate normal tempered stable (MNTS) distributed residuals used to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-10 Tetsuo Kurosaki , Young Shin Kim

We introduce a fast algorithm for Gaussian process regression in low dimensions, applicable to a widely-used family of non-stationary kernels. The non-stationarity of these kernels is induced by arbitrary spatially-varying vertical and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-28 P. Michael Kielstra , Michael Lindsey

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

This research addresses accurate option pricing by employing models beyond the traditional Black-Scholes framework. While Black-Scholes provides a closed-form solution, it is limited by assumptions of constant volatility, no dividends, and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-08 Karmanpartap Singh Sidhu , Pranshi Saxena

The paper investigates quadratic hedging in a semimartingale market that does not necessarily contain a risk-free asset. An equivalence result for hedging with and without numeraire change is established. This permits direct computation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Aleš Černý , Christoph Czichowsky , Jan Kallsen

This paper develops and estimates a multivariate affine GARCH(1,1) model with Normal Inverse Gaussian innovations that captures time-varying volatility, heavy tails, and dynamic correlation across asset returns. We generalize the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-20 Ayush Jha , Abootaleb Shirvani , Ali Jaffri , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

We consider the hedging of European options when the price of the underlying asset follows a single-factor Markovian framework. By working in such a setting, Carr and Wu \cite{carr2014static} derived a spanning relation between a given…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Purba Banerjee , Srikanth Iyer , Shashi Jain

We derive representations of local risk-minimization of call and put options for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models: jump type stochastic volatility models whose squared volatility process is given by a non-Gaussian rnstein-Uhlenbeck…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 Takuji Arai

We introduce a pricing kernel with time-varying volatility risk aversion to explain observed time variations in the shape of the pricing kernel. When combined with the Heston-Nandi GARCH model, this framework yields a tractable option…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-11 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Chen Tong

We propose a novel computational procedure for quadratic hedging in high-dimensional incomplete markets, covering mean-variance hedging and local risk minimization. Starting from the observation that both quadratic approaches can be treated…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-25 Alessandro Gnoatto , Silvia Lavagnini , Athena Picarelli

It is common for long financial time series to exhibit gradual change in the unconditional volatility. We propose a new model that captures this type of nonstationarity in a parsimonious way. The model augments the volatility equation of a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-15 Niklas Ahlgren , Alexander Back , Timo Teräsvirta