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Marginalising over families of Gaussian Process kernels produces flexible model classes with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. Existing approaches require likelihood evaluations of many kernels, rendering them prohibitively expensive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-16 Saad Hamid , Sebastian Schulze , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

The Value-at-Risk (VaR) is a widely used instrument in financial risk management. The question of estimating the VaR of loss return distributions at extreme levels is an important question in financial applications, both from operational…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-21 Hibiki Kaibuchi , Yoshinori Kawasaki , Gilles Stupfler

We propose an unconstrained stochastic approximation method of finding the optimal measure change (in an a priori parametric family) for Monte Carlo simulations. We consider different parametric families based on the Girsanov theorem and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès

In this article, we introduce an algorithm called Backward Hedging, designed for hedging European and American options while considering transaction costs. The optimal strategy is determined by minimizing an appropriate loss function, which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-26 Ludovic Goudenège , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

In the context of high-dimensional Gaussian linear regression for ordered variables, we study the variable selection procedure via the minimization of the penalized least-squares criterion. We focus on model selection where the penalty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Perrine Lacroix , Marie-Laure Martin

Gaussian process regression is a popular method for non-parametric probabilistic modeling of functions. The Gaussian process prior is characterized by so-called hyperparameters, which often have a large influence on the posterior model and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-18 Andreas Svensson , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

In this paper, a new approach for solving the problems of pricing and hedging derivatives is introduced in a general frictionless market setting. The method is applicable even in cases where an equivalent local martingale measure fails to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-18 Huy N. Chau , Miklos Rasonyi

We propose an approach to construction of robust non-Euclidean iterative algorithms for convex composite stochastic optimization based on truncation of stochastic gradients. For such algorithms, we establish sub-Gaussian confidence bounds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Anatoli Juditsky , Alexander Nazin , Arkadi Nemirovsky , Alexandre Tsybakov

One of the important and widely used classes of models for non-Gaussian time series is the generalized autoregressive model average models (GARMA), which specifies an ARMA structure for the conditional mean process of the underlying time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Tingguo Zheng , Han Xiao , Rong Chen

In this note we consider the approximation of the Greeks Delta and Gamma of American-style options through the numerical solution of time-dependent partial differential complementarity problems (PDCPs). This approach is very attractive as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-25 Karel J. in 't Hout

We introduce the proximal Galerkin (PG) method for non-symmetric variational inequalities. The proposed approach is asymptotically mesh-independent and yields constraint-preserving approximations. We present both a conforming PG formulation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Guosheng Fu , Brendan Keith , Dohyun Kim , Rami Masri , Will Pazner

A spin model is used for simulations of financial markets. To determine return volatility in the spin financial market we use the GARCH model often used for volatility estimation in empirical finance. We apply the Bayesian inference…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-28 Tetsuya Takaishi

It is well known that there are asymmetric dependence structures between financial returns. In this paper we use a new nonparametric measure of local dependence, the local Gaussian correlation, to improve portfolio allocation. We extend the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-24 Anders D. Sleire , Bård Støve , Håkon Otneim , Geir Drage Berentsen , Dag Tjøstheim , Sverre Hauso Haugen

This paper is concerned with the following Markovian stochastic differential equation of mean-reversion type \[ dR_t= (\theta +\sigma \alpha(R_t, t))R_t dt +\sigma R_t dB_t \] with an initial value $R_0=r_0\in\mathbb{R}$, where…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-09 Jiang-Lun Wu , Wei Yang

Option pricing formulas are derived from a non-Gaussian model of stock returns. Fluctuations are assumed to evolve according to a nonlinear Fokker-Planck equation which maximizes the Tsallis nonextensive entropy of index $q$. A generalized…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Lisa Borland

In incomplete financial markets, pricing and hedging European options lack a unique no-arbitrage solution due to unhedgeable risks. This paper introduces a constrained deep learning approach to determine option prices and hedging strategies…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-27 Nicolas Baradel

This work introduces an end-to-end framework for multi-asset option pricing that combines market-consistent risk-neutral density recovery with quantum-accelerated numerical integration. We first calibrate arbitrage-free marginal…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-08 Julien Hok , Álvaro Leitao

Closed form option pricing formulae explaining skew and smile are obtained within a parsimonious non-Gaussian framework. We extend the non-Gaussian option pricing model of L. Borland (Quantitative Finance, {\bf 2}, 415-431, 2002) to include…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-09-29 L. Borland , J. P. Bouchaud

We study high-dimensional convex empirical risk minimization (ERM) under general non-Gaussian data designs. By heuristically extending the Convex Gaussian Min-Max Theorem (CGMT) to non-Gaussian settings, we derive an asymptotic min-max…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-06 Chiheb Yaakoubi , Cosme Louart , Malik Tiomoko , Zhenyu Liao
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