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We study a family of (multivariate-)Gaussian Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (GHMC) operators and prove that the family of Gaussian distributions and their mixtures are invariant under such operators. Furthermore, each such operator is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Yingdong Lu , Tomasz Nowicki

We propose new goodness-of-fit tests for the Poisson distribution. The testing procedure entails fitting a weighted Poisson distribution, which has the Poisson as a special case, to observed data. Based on sample data, we calculate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-21 Winnie Kirui , Elzanie Bothma , Marius Smuts , Anke Steyn , Jaco Visagie

Probabilistic conditioning is concerned with the identification of a distribution of a random variable $X$ given a random variable $Y$. It is a cornerstone of scientific and engineering applications where modeling uncertainty is key. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Panos Tsimpos , Edoardo Calvello , Ayoub Belhadji , Nicholas H. Nelsen

A Bayesian procedure is developed for multivariate stochastic volatility, using state space models. An autoregressive model for the log-returns is employed. We generalize the inverted Wishart distribution to allow for different correlation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 K. Triantafyllopoulos

The polygonal distributions are a class of distributions that can be defined via the mixture of triangular distributions over the unit interval. The class includes the uniform and trapezoidal distributions, and is an alternative to the beta…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-18 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-09-01 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

A generalization of a distribution increases the flexibility particularly in studying of a phenomenon and its properties. Many generalizations of continuous univariate distributions are available in literature. In this study, an…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-30 Brijesh P. Singh , Sandeep Singh , Utpal Dhar Das

This study is motivated by a series of recent papers that show that, if a given deterministic sequence in the unit interval has a Poisson pair correlation function, then the sequence is uniformly distributed. Analogous results have been…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Jens Marklof

This paper considers a multivariate spatial random field, with each component having univariate marginal distributions of the skew-Gaussian type. We assume that the field is defined spatially on the unit sphere embedded in $\mathbb{R}^3$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Alfredo Alegría , Sandra Caro , Moreno Bevilacqua , Emilio Porcu , Jorge Clarke

This paper investigates the combinatorics that gives rise to the Boltzmann probability distribution. Despite being one of the most important distributions in physics and other fields of science, the mathematics of the underlying model of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Bart Jacobs

Risk assessment for rare events is essential for understanding systemic stability in complex systems. As rare events are typically highly correlated, it is important to study heavy-tailed multivariate distributions of the relevant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Efstratios Manolakis , Anton J. Heckens , Benjamin Köhler , Thomas Guhr

In the setting of dominated statistical models, we provide conditions yielding strong continuity of the posterior distribution with respect to the observed data. We show some applications, with special focus on exponential models.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Emanuele Dolera , Edoardo Mainini

In a Cox model, the partial likelihood, as the product of a series of conditional probabilities, is used to estimate the regression coefficients. In practice, those conditional probabilities are approximated by risk score ratios based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Youngjin Cho , Yili Hong , Pang Du

We consider estimation of the structural distribution function of the cell probabilities of a multinomial sample in situations where the number of cells is large. We review the performance of the natural estimator, an estimator based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. van Es , C. A. J. Klaassen , R. M. Mnatsakanov

The set of common numerical and analytical problems is introduced in the form of the generalized multidimensional discrete Poisson equation. It is shown that its solutions with square-summable discrete derivatives are unique up to a…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-09-27 Roman Werpachowski

Lower bounds for variances are often needed to derive central limit theorems. In this paper, we establish a lower bound for the variance of Poisson functionals that uses the difference operator of Malliavin calculus. Poisson functionals,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-23 Matthias Schulte , Vanessa Trapp

Suppose we observe a Poisson process in real time for which the intensity may take on two possible values $\lambda_0$ and $\lambda_1$. Suppose further that the priori probability of the true intensity is not given. We solve a minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Hongwei Mei

As a continuation of [GasparPopa] this paper treats the stationary and stationarily cross-correlated multivariate stochastic mappings. Moreover for the case of multivariate random distribution fields, a particular form for the operator…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Pastorel Gaspar , Lorena Popa

A connection between fractional calculus and statistical distribution theory has been established by the authors recently. Some extensions of the results to matrix-variate functions were also considered. In the present article, more results…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-03-01 A. M. Mathai , H. J. Haubold

The statistics of the sum of random weights where the number of weights is Poisson distributed has important applications in nuclear physics, particle physics and astrophysics. Events are frequently weighted according to their acceptance or…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-17 G. Bohm , G. Zech