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In this paper, we introduce a new method for testing the stationarity of time series, where the test statistic is obtained from measuring and maximising the difference in the second-order structure over pairs of randomly drawn intervals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho

Approximately unbiased tests based on bootstrap probabilities are considered for the exponential family of distributions with unknown expectation parameter vector, where the null hypothesis is represented as an arbitrary-shaped region with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-24 Hidetoshi Shimodaira

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

Plotting a learner's average performance against the number of training samples results in a learning curve. Studying such curves on one or more data sets is a way to get to a better understanding of the generalization properties of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Marco Loog , Tom Viering , Alexander Mey

In this paper we propose a new test for the hypothesis of a constant coefficient of variation in the common nonparametric regression model. The test is based on an estimate of the $L^2$-distance between the square of the regression function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-30 H. Dette , G. Wieczorek

Researchers increasingly use meta-analysis to synthesize the results of several studies in order to estimate a common effect. When the outcome variable is continuous, standard meta-analytic approaches assume that the primary studies report…

Let $X_1, \ldots, X_n\in\mathbb{R}^p$ be i.i.d. random vectors. We aim to perform simultaneous inference for the mean vector $\mathbb{E} (X_i)$ with finite polynomial moments and an ultra high dimension. Our approach is based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Zhipeng Lou , Wei Biao Wu

Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P\bigl(X_{n+1}\in\cdot\mid X_1,\ldots,X_n\bigr)$ be the predictive distributions of a sequence $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$ of $p$-dimensional random vectors. Suppose $$\alpha_n= \mathcal{N} _p (M_n,Q_n)$$ where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Samuele Garelli , Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

In this comment on "Solving Statistical Mechanics Using Variational Autoregressive Networks" by Wu et al., we propose a subtle yet powerful modification of their approach. We show that the inherent sampling error of their method can be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-27 Kim Nicoli , Pan Kessel , Nils Strodthoff , Wojciech Samek , Klaus-Robert Müller , Shinichi Nakajima

Size distortion can occur if an asymptotic testing procedure requiring diverging sample sizes, is implemented to data with very small sample sizes. In this paper, we consider one-sample and two-sample tests for mean vectors when data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-17 Jun Li

We propose a high dimensional mean test framework for shrinking random variables, where the underlying random variables shrink to zero as the sample size increases. By pooling observations across overlapping subsets of dimensions, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Liujun Chen , Chen Zhou

We study an AMOC time series model with an abrupt change in the mean and dependent errors that fulfill certain mixing conditions. We obtain confidence intervals for the unknown change-point via bootstrapping methods. Precisely we use a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-30 Marie Huskova , Claudia Kirch

An analysis of the RR-interval time series, $t_i$, is presented for the case in which the average time, $\bar{t}$, changes slowly. In particular, $\bar{t}$ and a short-time scale variability parameter, $V$, are simultaneously measured while…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 P. B. Siegel , J. Sperber , W. Kindermann , A. Urhausen

For more than $50$ years the {\it Mean Measure of Divergence} (MMD) has been one of the most prominent tools used in anthropology for the study of non-metric traits. However, one of the problems, in anthropology including palaeoanthropology…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-22 Federico Zertuche , Abigail Meza-Peñaloza

The properties of Maximum Likelihood estimator in mixed causal and noncausal models with a generalized Student's t error process are reviewed. Several known existing methods are typically not applicable in the heavy-tailed framework. To…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-23 Francesco Giancaterini , Alain Hecq

Cochran's $Q$ statistic is routinely used for testing heterogeneity in meta-analysis. Its expected value is also used for estimation of between-study variance $\tau^2$. Cochran's $Q$, or $Q_{IV}$, uses estimated inverse-variance weights…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-08 Ilyas Bakbergenuly , David C. Hoaglin , Elena Kulinskaya

Let $ (T_i)_i$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables (r.v.) of interest distributed as $ T$ and $(X_i)_i$ be a corresponding vector of covariates taking values on $ \mathbb{R}^d$. In censorship…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Bouhadjera Feriel , Ould Saïd , Mohamed Remita

This paper introduces smoothed pseudo-population bootstrap methods for the purposes of variance estimation and the construction of confidence intervals for finite population quantiles. In an i.i.d. context, it has been shown that resampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Vanessa McNealis , Christian Léger

This paper develops a threshold regression model where an unknown relationship between two variables nonparametrically determines the threshold. We allow the observations to be cross-sectionally dependent so that the model can be applied to…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-29 Yoonseok Lee , Yulong Wang

In reinforcement learning, it is typical to use the empirically observed transitions and rewards to estimate the value of a policy via either model-based or Q-fitting approaches. Although straightforward, these techniques in general yield…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Ilya Kostrikov , Ofir Nachum
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