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In this paper, two new stochastic algorithms for calculating parametric derivatives of the solution to the Smoluchowski coagulation equation are presented. It is assumed that the coagulation kernel is dependent on these parameters. The new…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-08 Peter L. W. Man , James R. Norris , Ismael F. Bailleul , Markus Kraft

Signature verification, as a crucial practical documentation analysis task, has been continuously studied by researchers in machine learning and pattern recognition fields. In specific scenarios like confirming financial documents and legal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Xiaotong Ji , Yan Zheng , Daiki Suehiro , Seiichi Uchida

Reliability-oriented sensitivity analysis aims at combining both reliability and sensitivity analyses by quantifying the influence of each input variable of a numerical model on a quantity of interest related to its failure. In particular,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

We provide a novel method for sensitivity analysis of parametric robust Markov chains. These models incorporate parameters and sets of probability distributions to alleviate the often unrealistic assumption that precise probabilities are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Thom Badings , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Ufuk Topcu , Nils Jansen

A method is presented to tackle the sign problem in the simulations of systems having indefinite or complex-valued measures. In general, this new approach is shown to yield statistical errors smaller than the crude Monte Carlo using…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2008-11-26 T D Kieu , C J Griffin

The ability to compose code in a modular fashion is important to the construction of large programs. In the logic programming setting, it is desirable that such capabilities be realized through logic-based devices. We describe an approach…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Steven Holte , Gopalan Nadathur

Distributional data Shapley value (DShapley) has recently been proposed as a principled framework to quantify the contribution of individual datum in machine learning. DShapley develops the foundational game theory concept of Shapley values…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-19 Yongchan Kwon , Manuel A. Rivas , James Zou

Inspired by the activity signature introduced by Todorov and Tauchen (2010), which was used to measure the activity of a semimartingale, this paper introduces the roughness signature function. The paper illustrates how it can be used to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-08 Peter Christensen

Reliable, risk-averse design of complex engineering systems with optimized performance requires dealing with uncertainties. A conventional approach is to add safety margins to a design that was obtained from deterministic optimization.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Anirban Chaudhuri , Boris Kramer , Matthew Norton , Johannes O. Royset , Karen Willcox

Probabilistic graphical models, such as Markov random fields (MRF), exploit dependencies among random variables to model a rich family of joint probability distributions. Sophisticated inference algorithms, such as belief propagation (BP),…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Yifei Liu , Chao Chen , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie

The Shapley value is arguably the most central normative solution concept in cooperative game theory. It specifies a unique way in which the reward from cooperation can be "fairly" divided among players. While it has a wide range of real…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-02-14 Sasan Maleki , Long Tran-Thanh , Greg Hines , Talal Rahwan , Alex Rogers

This paper aims at assessing the power system reliability by estimating loss of load (LOL) index using mutual information based Bayesian approach. Reliability analysis is a key component in the design, analysis and tuning of complex…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-03 Swasti R. Khuntia , Jose L. Rueda , Mart A. M. M. van der Meijden

We describe a method for the identification of models for dynamical systems from observational data. The method is based on the concept of symbolic regression and uses genetic programming to evolve a system of ordinary differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Gabriel Kronberger , Lukas Kammerer , Michael Kommenda

A common goal in modern biostatistics is to form a biomarker signature from high dimensional gene expression data that is predictive of some outcome of interest. After learning this biomarker signature, an important question to answer is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-05 Samuel M. Gross , Jonathan Taylor , Robert Tibshirani

Statistical models can involve implicitly defined quantities, such as solutions to nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), that unavoidably need to be numerically approximated in order to evaluate the model. The approximation…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-16 Juho Timonen , Nikolas Siccha , Ben Bales , Harri Lähdesmäki , Aki Vehtari

Signatory is a library for calculating and performing functionality related to the signature and logsignature transforms. The focus is on machine learning, and as such includes features such as CPU parallelism, GPU support, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Patrick Kidger , Terry Lyons

Quality data is a fundamental contributor to success in statistics and machine learning. If a statistical assessment or machine learning leads to decisions that create value, data contributors may want a share of that value. This paper…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-06-28 Eric Bax

In this paper, we study the robustness of safety properties of a linear dynamical system with respect to model uncertainties. Our paper involves three parts. In the first part, we provide symbolic (analytical) and numerical (representation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-17 Bineet Ghosh , Parasara Sridhar Duggirala

Following the work of Lloyd Shapley on the Shapley value, and tangentially the work of Guillermo Owen, we offer an alternative non-probabilistic formulation of part of the work of Robert J. Weber in his 1978 paper "Probabilistic values for…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-05-13 Jacob North Clark , Stephen Montgomery-Smith

The known Complex Step Derivative (CSD) method allows easy and accurate differentiation up to machine precision of real analytic functions by evaluating them a small imaginary step next to the real number line. The current paper proposes…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Martin Roelfs , David Dudal , Daan Huybrechs