Related papers: Computing system signatures through reliability fu…
When using Bayesian inference to support conservative software reliability assessments, it is useful to consider a collection of Bayesian inference problems, with the aim of determining the worst-case value (from this collection) for a…
We construct a pathwise calculus for functionals of integer-valued measures and use it to derive an martingale representation formula with respect to a large class of integer-valued random measures. Using these results, we extend the…
We do the error analysis in reliability measures due to the assumption of independence amongst the component lifetimes. In reliability theory, we come across different n-component structures like series, parallel, and k-out-of-n systems. A…
Research into human dynamical systems has long sought to identify robust signals for human behavior. We have discovered a series of social network-based indicators that are reliable predictors of team creativity and collaborative…
This short paper describes a numerical method for optimising the conservative confidence bound on the reliability of a system based on tests of its individual components. This is an alternative to the algorithmic approaches identified in…
It is becoming increasingly important to explain complex, black-box machine learning models. Although there is an expanding literature on this topic, Shapley values stand out as a sound method to explain predictions from any type of machine…
Reliability sensitivity analysis is concerned with measuring the influence of a system's uncertain input parameters on its probability of failure. Statistically dependent inputs present a challenge in both computing and interpreting these…
Design and operation of complex engineering systems rely on reliability optimization. Such optimization requires us to account for uncertainties expressed in terms of compli-cated, high-dimensional probability distributions, for which only…
In this work, we perform safety analysis of linear dynamical systems with uncertainties. Instead of computing a conservative overapproximation of the reachable set, our approach involves computing a statistical approximate reachable set. As…
Malliavin calculus is a powerful and general framework for the analysis of square-integrable random variables, but it often suffers from a lack of tractability and explicit representations. To address this limitation, we focus on a subclass…
Systems with a first integral (i.e., constant of motion) or a Lyapunov function can be written as ``linear-gradient systems'' $\dot x= L(x)\nabla V(x)$ for an appropriate matrix function $L$, with a generalization to several integrals or…
This article presents an identification methodology to capture general relationships, with application to piecewise nonlinear approximations of model predictive control for constrained (non)linear systems. The mathematical formulation…
We derive an It\^o-type formula for a measure-valued process that has a decomposition analogous to a classical semimartingale. The derivation begins with a time partitioning approach similar to the classical proof of It\^o's formula. To…
The probabilistic symbol is the right-hand side derivative of the characteristic functions corresponding to the one-dimensional marginals of a stochastic process. This object, as long as the derivative exists, provides crucial information…
In a coherent reliability system composed of multiple components configured according to a specific structure function, the distribution of system time to failure, or system lifetime, is often of primary interest. Accurate estimation of…
In this work, we study the deep signature algorithms for path-dependent options. We extend the backward scheme in [Hur\'e-Pham-Warin. Mathematics of Computation 89, no. 324 (2020)] for state-dependent FBSDEs with reflections to…
We consider the stability and the input-output analysis problems of a class of large-scale hybrid systems composed of continuous dynamics coupled with discrete dynamics defined over finite alphabets, e.g., deterministic finite state…
Stochastic models are necessary for the realistic description of an increasing number of applications. The ability to identify influential parameters and variables is critical to a thorough analysis and understanding of the underlying…
Models implicitly defined through a random simulator of a process have become widely used in scientific and industrial applications in recent years. However, simulation-based inference methods for such implicit models, like approximate…
Simulation-based inference has been popular for amortized Bayesian computation. It is typical to have more than one posterior approximation, from different inference algorithms, different architectures, or simply the randomness of…