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Nonparametric identification and maximum likelihood estimation for finite-state hidden Markov models are investigated. We obtain identification of the parameters as well as the order of the Markov chain if the transition probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Grigory Alexandrovich , Hajo Holzmann , Anna Leister

We study mixture of linear regression (random coefficient) models, which capture population heterogeneity by allowing the regression coefficients to follow an unknown distribution $G^*$. In contrast to common parametric methods that fix the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Hansheng Jiang , Adityanand Guntuboyina

Finite state space hidden Markov models are flexible tools to model phenomena with complex time dependencies: any process distribution can be approximated by a hidden Markov model with enough hidden states.We consider the problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Luc Lehéricy

In a multiple testing context, we consider a semiparametric mixture model with two components where one component is known and corresponds to the distribution of $p$-values under the null hypothesis and the other component $f$ is…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-04 Van Hanh Nguyen , Catherine Matias

We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Tobias Sutter , Arnab Ganguly , Heinz Koeppl

In this paper we develop a nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate of the mixing distribution of the parameters of a linear stochastic dynamical system. This includes, for example, pharmacokinetic population models with process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-16 Alona Kryshchenko , Alan Schumitzky , Mike van Guilder , Michael Neely

Mixture models are regularly used in density estimation applications, but the problem of estimating the mixing distribution remains a challenge. Nonparametric maximum likelihood produce estimates of the mixing distribution that are…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-28 Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

We study parametric inference for diffusion processes when observations occur nonsynchronously and are contaminated by market microstructure noise. We construct a quasi-likelihood function and study asymptotic mixed normality of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Teppei Ogihara

This paper focuses on estimating the invariant density function $f_X$ of the strongly mixing stationary process $X_t$ in the multiplicative measurement errors model $Y_t = X_t U_t$, where $U_t$ is also a strongly mixing stationary process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Duc Trong Dang , Van Ha Hoang , Phuc Hung Thai

This paper considers hidden Markov models where the observations are given as the sum of a latent state which lies in a general state space and some independent noise with unknown distribution. It is shown that these fully nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-30 Elisabeth Gassiat , Sylvain Le Corff , Luc Lehéricy

In this paper, we prove that finite state space non parametric hidden Markov models are identifiable as soon as the transition matrix of the latent Markov chain has full rank and the emission probability distributions are linearly…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-20 Elisabeth Gassiat , Alice Cleynen , Stéphane Robin

In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, we assume that one must time-discretize the partially…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-20 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

In this paper, different strands of literature are combined in order to obtain algorithms for semi-parametric estimation of discrete choice models that include the modelling of unobserved heterogeneity by using mixing distributions for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-12 Dietmar Bauer , Sebastian Büscher , Manuel Batram

We consider the problem of estimating the number of hidden states (the order) of a nonparametric hidden Markov model (HMM). We propose two different methods and prove their almost sure consistency without any prior assumption, be it on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-19 Luc Lehéricy

Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation is intended to infer the unknown density distribution while making as few assumptions as possible. To alleviate the over parameterization in nonparametric data fitting, smoothing assumptions are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 YunPeng Li , ZhaoHui Ye

Let $(Y_k)_{k\in \mathbb{Z}}$ be a stationary sequence on a probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{A},\mathbb{P})$ taking values in a standard Borel space $\mathsf{Y}$. Consider the associated maximum likelihood estimator with respect to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines

A scheme is developed for estimating state-dependent drift and diffusion coefficients in a stochastic differential equation from time-series data. The scheme does not require to specify parametric forms for the drift and diffusion…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-09-28 Jun Ohkubo

We study a new parametric approach for hidden discrete-time diffusion models. This method is based on contrast minimization and deconvolution and leads to estimate a large class of stochastic models with nonlinear drift and nonlinear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-01 Salima El Kolei , Florian Pelgrin

We propose a two-step pseudo-maximum likelihood procedure for semiparametric single-index regression models where the conditional variance is a known function of the regression and an additional parameter. The Poisson single-index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Marian Hristache , Weiyu Li , Valentin Patilea
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