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In this paper, we analyze several instrumental records of temperatures at different locations by using new techniques originally developed for the analysis of extreme values of dynamical systems. We show that they have the same recurrence…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-03-24 Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti

In many complex systems, large events are believed to follow power-law, scale-free probability distributions, so that the extreme, catastrophic events are unpredictable. Here, we study coupled chaotic oscillators that display extreme…

In a vast area of probabilistic limit theorems for dynamical systems with chaotic behaviors always only functional form (exponential, power, etc) of the asymptotic laws and of convergence rates were studied. However, for basically all…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Leonid A. Bunimovich , Yaofeng Su

In this thesis we aim to analyze and quantify the energetic and information contents that can be extracted from a dynamical system subject to the external environment. The latter is usually assumed to be deleterious for the feasibility of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-05-07 Stefano Gherardini

We introduce a new dynamical indicator of stability based on the Extreme Value statistics showing that it provides an insight on the local stability properties of dynamical systems. The indicator perform faster than other based on the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

In this paper, a non-autonomous stochastic logistic system is considered. An interesting result on the effect of stochastically perturbation for the dynamic behavior are obtained. That is, under certain conditions the stochastic system have…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-08-08 Hu Hongxiao

An exact analytical description of extreme intensity statistics in complex random states is derived. These states have the statistical properties of the Gaussian and Circular Unitary Ensemble eigenstates of random matrix theory. Although…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-08-02 Arul Lakshminarayan , Steven Tomsovic , Oriol Bohigas , Satya N. Majumdar

We deal with a generalized statistical description of nonequilibrium complex systems based on least biased distributions given some prior information. A maximum entropy principle is introduced that allows for the determination of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Erik Van der Straeten , Christian Beck

We consider a 2-dimensional stochastic differential equation in polar coordinates depending on several parameters. We show that if these parameters belong to a specific regime then the deterministic system explodes in finite time, but the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Matti Leimbach , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Michael Scheutzow

Mathematical models of real life phenomena are highly nonlinear involving multiple parameters and often exhibiting complex dynamics. Experimental data sets are typically small and noisy, rendering estimation of parameters from such data…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-05-11 Abhirup Ghosh , Samit Bhattacharyya , Somdatta Sinha , Amit Apte

The distribution of block maxima of sequences of independent and identically-distributed random variables is used to model extreme values in many disciplines. The traditional extreme value (EV) theory derives a closed-form expression for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-27 Marco Marani , Enrico Zorzetto

Deterministic diffusion in temporally oscillating convection is studied for particles with finite mass. The particles are assumed to obey a simple dissipative dynamical system and the particle diffusion is induced by the strange attractor.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi

We establish a theory for multivariate extreme value analysis of dynamical systems. Namely, we provide conditions adapted to the dynamical setting which enable the study of dependence between extreme values of the components of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Romain Aimino , Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

We evoke the idea of representation of the chaotic attractor by the set of unstable periodic orbits and disclose a novel noise-induced ordering phenomenon. For long unstable periodic orbits forming the strange attractor the weights (or…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-05-14 Denis S. Goldobin

We provide deterministic controllability conditions that imply exponential mixing properties for randomly forced constrained dynamical systems with possibly unbounded state space. As an application, new ergodicity results are obtained for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Laurent Mertz , Vahagn Nersesyan , Manuel Rissel

The frequency and magnitude of weather extreme events have increased significantly during the past few years in response to anthropogenic climate change. However, global statistical characteristics and underlying physical mechanisms are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Qing Yao , Jingfang Fan , Jun Meng , Valerio Lucarini , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen , Kim Christensen , Xiaosong Chen

Recent research has provided a wealth of evidence highlighting the pivotal role of high-order interdependencies in supporting the information-processing capabilities of distributed complex systems. These findings may suggest that high-order…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-05-24 Patricio Orio , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Fernando E. Rosas

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

Extreme events are unusual and rare large-amplitude fluctuations that occur can unexpectedly in nonlinear dynamical systems. Events above the extreme event threshold of the probability distribution of a nonlinear process characterize…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-03-08 Premraj Durairaj , Sathiyadevi Kanagaraj , Suresh Kumarasamy , Karthikeyan Rajagopal

Estimation of a deterministic quantity observed in non-Gaussian additive noise is explored via order statistics approach. More specifically, we study the estimation problem when measurement noises either have positive supports or follow a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-15 Kamiar Radnosrati , Gustaf Hendeby , Fredrik Gustafsson