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Uncertainty quantification requires efficient summarization of high- or even infinite-dimensional (i.e., non-parametric) distributions based on, e.g., suitable point estimates (modes) for posterior distributions arising from model-specific…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Christian Clason , Tapio Helin , Remo Kretschmann , Petteri Piiroinen

This is a review of asymptotic and non-asymptotic behaviour of Bayesian methods under model specification. In particular we focus on consistency, i.e. convergence of the posterior distribution to the point mass at the best parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Natalia Bochkina

The problem of detecting a wide-sense stationary Gaussian signal process embedded in white Gaussian noise, where the power spectral density of the signal process exhibits uncertainty, is investigated. The performance of minimax robust…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-05-03 Wenyi Zhang , H. Vincent Poor

The standard noise model in gravitational wave (GW) data analysis assumes detector noise is stationary and Gaussian distributed, with a known power spectral density (PSD) that is usually estimated using clean off-source data. Real GW data…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-09-16 Matthew C. Edwards , Renate Meyer , Nelson Christensen

We consider the inverse problem of estimating a function $u$ from noisy, possibly nonlinear, observations. We adopt a Bayesian approach to the problem. This approach has a long history for inversion, dating back to 1970, and has, over the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-16 Masoumeh Dashti , Stephen Harris , Andrew Stuart

In this paper, we propose a novel Bayesian approach for nonparametric estimation in Wicksell's problem. This has important applications in astronomy for estimating the distribution of the positions of the stars in a galaxy given projected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Francesco Gili , Geurt Jongbloed , Aad van der Vaart

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators based on observations which are required to be neither independent nor identically distributed. We give general results on the rate of convergence of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Aad van der Vaart

In the setting of nonparametric multivariate regression with unknown error variance, we study asymptotic properties of a Bayesian method for estimating a regression function f and its mixed partial derivatives. We use a random series of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-13 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal

Although continuous density estimation has received abundant attention in the Bayesian nonparametrics literature, there is limited theory on multivariate mixed scale density estimation. In this note, we consider a general framework to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Antonio Canale , David B. Dunson

Calibration of computer models is a key step in making inferences, predictions, and decisions for complex science and engineering systems. We formulate and analyze a nonparametric Bayesian methodology for computer model calibration. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Haiyi Shi , Lei Yang , Jiarui Chi , Troy Butler , Haonan Wang , Derek Bingham , Don Estep

We study frequentist properties of a Bayesian high-dimensional multivariate linear regression model with correlated responses. The predictors are separated into many groups and the group structure is pre-determined. Two features of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Bo Ning , Seonghyun Jeong , Subhashis Ghosal

We adopt Bayesian approach to consider the inverse problem of estimate a function from noisy observations. One important component of this approach is the prior measure. Total variation prior has been proved with no discretization invariant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Junxiong Jia , Jigen Peng , Jinghuai Gao

The generalization of fractional Brownian motion in infinite-dimensional white and grey noise spaces has been recently carried over, following the Mandelbrot-Van Ness representation, through Riemann-Liouville type fractional operators. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Luisa Beghin , Lorenzo Cristofaro , Yuliya Mishura

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful interpolation technique due to its flexibility in capturing non-linearity. In this paper, we provide a general framework for understanding the frequentist coverage of point-wise and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-17 Yun Yang , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

The Bernstein-von Mises theorem (BvM) gives conditions under which the posterior distribution of a parameter $\theta\in\Theta\subseteq\mathbb R^d$ based on $n$ independent samples is asymptotically normal. In the high-dimensional regime, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Anya Katsevich

The simultaneous estimation of multiple unknown parameters lies at heart of a broad class of important problems across science and technology. Currently, the state-of-the-art performance in the such problems is achieved by nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Alton Barbehenn , Sihai Dave Zhao

Bayesian and other likelihood-based methods require specification of a statistical model and may not be fully satisfactory for inference on quantities, such as quantiles, that are not naturally defined as model parameters. In this paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Indrabati Bhattacharya , Ryan Martin

Bayesian learning is built on an assumption that the model space contains a true reflection of the data generating mechanism. This assumption is problematic, particularly in complex data environments. Here we present a Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-05 S. P. Lyddon , S. G. Walker , C. C. Holmes

The remarkable generalization performance of large-scale models has been challenging the conventional wisdom of the statistical learning theory. Although recent theoretical studies have shed light on this behavior in linear models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Tomoya Wakayama

We consider a class of infinite-dimensional dynamical systems driven by non-linear parabolic partial differential equations with initial condition $\theta$ modelled by a Gaussian process `prior' probability measure. Given discrete samples…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Richard Nickl