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Current evolutionary biology models usually assume that a phenotype undergoes gradual change. This is in stark contrast to biological intuition, which indicates that change can also be punctuated-the phenotype can jump. Such a jump could…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-07 Krzysztof Bartoszek

Using Stein's method, we prove an abstract result that yields multivariate central limit theorems with a rate of convergence for time-dependent dynamical systems. As examples we study a model of expanding circle maps and a quasistatic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Olli Hella

We establish self-norming central limit theorems for non-stationary time series arising as observations on sequential maps possessing an indifferent fixed point. These transformations are obtained by perturbing the slope in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Matthew Nicol , Andrew Török , Sandro Vaienti

We introduce a solvable model of randomly growing systems consisting of many independent subunits. Scaling relations and growth rate distributions in the limit of infinite subunits are analysed theoretically. Various types of scaling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Misako Takayasu , Hayafumi Watanabe , Hideki Takayasu

The term ``sequential Monte Carlo methods'' or, equivalently, ``particle filters,'' refers to a general class of iterative algorithms that performs Monte Carlo approximations of a given sequence of distributions of interest (\pi_t). We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolas Chopin

The large deviations at Level 2.5 are applied to Markov processes with absorbing states in order to obtain the explicit extinction rate of metastable quasi-stationary states in terms of their empirical time-averaged density and of their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-13 Cecile Monthus

This paper provides a Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for a process $\{\theta_n, n\geq 0\}$ satisfying a stochastic approximation (SA) equation of the form $\theta_{n+1} = \theta_n + \gamma_{n+1} H(\theta_n,X_{n+1})$; a CLT for the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-13 Gersende Fort

We consider fluctuations of the dissipated energy in nonlinear driven diffusive systems subject to bulk dissipation and boundary driving. With this aim, we extend the recently-introduced macroscopic fluctuation theory to nonlinear driven…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-10-29 P. I. Hurtado , A. Lasanta , A. Prados

We show for Markov diffusion processes that the quadratic entropic bound, recently derived for the rate functions of nonequilibrium currents, can be seen as being produced by an effective process that creates current fluctuations in a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Cesare Nardini , Hugo Touchette

A system of $N$ weakly interacting particles whose dynamics is given in terms of jump-diffusions with a common factor is considered. The common factor is described through another jump-diffusion and the coefficients of the evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-18 A. Budhiraja , E. Kira , Subhamay Saha

We address the issue of the Central Limit Theorem for (both local and global) empirical measures of diffusions interacting on a possibly diluted Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph. Special attention is given to the influence of initial condition (not…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-11 Fabio Coppini , Eric Luçon , Christophe Poquet

We develop diffusion approximations for parallel-queueing systems with the randomized longest-queue-first scheduling algorithm by establishing new mean-field limit theorems as the number of buffers $n\to\infty$. We achieve this by allowing…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-10 A. B. Dieker , Tonghoon Suk

This paper studies limit theorems for Markov Chains with general state space under conditions which imply subgeometric ergodicity. We obtain a central limit theorem and moderate deviation principles for additive not necessarily bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Randal Douc , Arnaud Guillin , Eric Moulines

A new method is proposed to numerically extract the diffusivity of a (typically nonlinear) diffusion equation from underlying stochastic particle systems. The proposed strategy requires the system to be in local equilibrium and have…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-09 Peter Embacher , Nicolas Dirr , Johannes Zimmer , Celia Reina

This is a note on some results of the central limit theorem for deterministic dynamical systems. First, we give the central limit theorem for martingales, which is a main tool. Then we give the main results on the central limit theorem in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Yuwen Wang

We study the limiting behaviour of the empirical measure of a system of diffusions interacting through their ranks when the number of diffusions tends to infinity. We prove that the limiting dynamics is given by a McKean-Vlasov evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-30 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

In this paper, we study small noise asymptotics of Markov-modulated diffusion processes in the regime that the modulating Markov chain is rapidly switching. We prove the joint sample-path large deviations principle for the Markov-modulated…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Gang Huang , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

A famous result in renewal theory is the Central Limit Theorem for renewal processes. As in applications usually only observations from a finite time interval are available, a bound on the Kolmogorov distance to the normal distribution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-24 Gesine Reinert , Ce Yang

We prove a Large Deviations Principle (LDP) for systems of diffusions (particles) interacting through their ranks, when the number of particles tends to infinity. We show that the limiting particle density is given by the unique solution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Amir Dembo , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov , S. R. Srinivasa Varadhan , Ofer Zeitouni

We describe a simple method that can be used to sample the rare fluctuations of discrete-time Markov chains. We focus on the case of Markov chains with well-defined steady-state measures, and derive expressions for the large-deviation rate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-28 Stephen Whitelam