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We study the evolution of a particle system whose genealogy is given by a supercritical continuous time Galton--Watson tree. The particles move independently according to a Markov process and when a branching event occurs, the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-20 Vincent Bansaye , Jean-François Delmas , Laurence Marsalle , Viet Chi Tran

In this paper we apply the Diffusion approximation procedure to a discrete time Adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo (AMCMC) method when the target distribution is standard Normal. We show that the limiting distribution of the diffusion admits…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Gopal K. Basak , Arunangshu Biswas

We prove a central limit theorem for the length of the longest subsequence of a random permutation which follows one of a class of repeating patterns. This class includes every fixed pattern of ups and downs having at least one of each,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Aaron Abrams , Eric Babson , Henry Landau , Zeph Landau , James Pommersheim

We develop the first exact Bayesian methodology for the problem of inference in discretely observed regime switching diffusions. Switching diffusion models extend ordinary diffusions by allowing for jumps in instantaneous drift and…

When modelling metapopulation dynamics, the influence of a single patch on the metapopulation depends on the number of individuals in the patch. Since there is usually no obvious natural upper limit on the number of individuals in a patch,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-27 A. D. Barbour , M. J. Luczak

It has recently been shown that there are substantial differences in the regularity behavior of the empirical process based on scalar diffusions as compared to the classical empirical process, due to the existence of diffusion local time.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-25 Angelika Rohde , Claudia Strauch

Diffusion models have achieved huge empirical success in data generation tasks. Recently, some efforts have been made to adapt the framework of diffusion models to discrete state space, providing a more natural approach for modeling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Hongrui Chen , Lexing Ying

A Central Limit Theorem is proved for linear random fields when sums are taken over finite disjoint union of rectangles. The approach does not rely upon the use of Beveridge Nelson decomposition and the conditions needed are similar to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-14 Atul Mallik , Michael Woodroofe

Our purpose is to prove central limit theorem for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chain under the condition of uniform convergence of transition probability matrices for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chain in Ces\`aro sense. Furthermore,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Mingzhou Xu , Yunzheng Ding , Yongzheng Zhou

We formulate some simple conditions under which a Markov chain may be approximated by the solution to a differential equation, with quantifiable error probabilities. The role of a choice of coordinate functions for the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-23 R. W. R. Darling , J. R. Norris

Diffusive approximations of Markov jump processes often fail to accurately capture large fluctuations. This is confounding, as the rare events triggered by these large fluctuations, such as the failure of electronic memories, are often the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 David Roberts , Trevor McCourt , Geremia Massarelli , Jeremy Rothschild , Nahuel Freitas

We study the asymptotic shape of the trajectory of the stochastic gradient descent algorithm applied to a convex objective function. Under mild regularity assumptions, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the properly rescaled…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-18 Kessang Flamand , Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

We consider the adjacency matrix $A$ of a large random graph and study fluctuations of the function $f_n(z,u)=\frac{1}{n}\sum_{k=1}^n\exp\{-uG_{kk}(z)\}$ with $G(z)=(z-iA)^{-1}$. We prove that the moments of fluctuations normalized by…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-14 M. Shcherbina , B. Tirozzi

In this paper we obtain the central limit theorem for triangular arrays of non-homogeneous Markov chains under a condition imposed to the maximal coefficient of correlation. The proofs are based on martingale techniques and a sharp lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-24 Magda Peligrad

In a paper from 1995, Wormald gave general criteria for certain parameters in a family of discrete random processes to converge to the solution of a system of differential equations. Based on this method, we show that if some further…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-24 Taral Guldahl Seierstad

We study the large deviations of the time-integrated current for a driven diffusion on the circle, often used as a model of nonequilibrium systems. We obtain the large deviation functions describing the current fluctuations using a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-28 Pelerine Tsobgni Nyawo , Hugo Touchette

We consider a slow-fast stochastic differential system with L\'evy noise. We will employ the perturbed test function method to study the normal deviation of the slow-fast system. Our main result states that the deviation can be approximated…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Xiaoyu Yang , Yong Xu , Ruifang Wang , Zhe Jiao

The standard small-time functional central limit theorem of semimartingales has been established in (Gerhold, S., Kleinert, M., Porkert, P., and Shkolnikov, M. (2015). Small time central limit theorems for semimartingales with applications.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Pietro Maria Sparago

We consider the diffusion process and its approximation by Markov chain with nonlinear increasing trends. The usual parametrix method is not appliable because these models have unbounded trends. We describe a procedure that allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-02 V. Konakov , A. Markova

This paper considers a Markovian model of a limit order book where time-dependent rates are allowed. With the objective of understanding the mechanisms through which a microscopic model of an orderbook can converge to more general diffusion…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-03 Jonathan A. Chávez-Casillas
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