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This work is attached to the BRICS 2013 competition. We propose a two-stage model for dealing with the temporal degradation of credit scoring models. This methodology produced motivating results in a 1-year horizon. We anticipate that it…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-01 Maria Rocha Sousa , João Gama , Manuel J. Silva Gonçalves

In this work we consider three problems of the standard market approach to pricing of credit index options: the definition of the index spread is not valid in general, the usually considered payoff leads to a pricing which is not always…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-23 Massimo Morini , Damiano Brigo

In this article, we combine replication pricing with expectation pricing for derivative trades that are partially collateralized by cash. The derivatives are replicated by underlying assets and cash, using repurchasing agreement (repo) and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-05 Lixin Wu

In this note, we develop stock option price approximations for a model which takes both the risk o default and the stochastic volatility into account. We also let the intensity of defaults be influenced by the volatility. We show that it…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-12-21 Erhan Bayraktar

Due to the recent increase in interest in Financial Technology (FinTech), applications like credit default prediction (CDP) are gaining significant industrial and academic attention. In this regard, CDP plays a crucial role in assessing the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Rambod Rahmani , Marco Parola , Mario G. C. A. Cimino

The notion of a credit spread curve is fundamental in fixed income investing, but in practice it is not `given' and needs to be constructed from bond prices either for a particular issuer, or for a sector rating-by-rating. Rather than…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Richard J. Martin

The classical reduced-form and filtration expansion framework in credit risk is extended to the case of multiple, non-ordered defaults, assuming that conditional densities of the default times exist. Intensities and pricing formulas are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-06-22 Younes Kchia , Martin Larsson

Several classic problems for particles diffusing outside an arbitrary configuration of non-overlapping partially reactive spherical traps in three dimensions are revisited. For this purpose, we describe the generalized method of separation…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-10-14 Denis S. Grebenkov

When interest rate dynamics are described by the Libor Market Model as in BGM97, we show how some essential risk-management results can be obtained from the dual of the calibration program. In particular, if the objetive is to maximize…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Alexandre d'Aspremont

We present a general framework for the estimation of corporate default based on a firm's capital structure, when its assets are assumed to follow a pure jump L\'evy processes; this setup provides a natural extension to usual default metrics…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Jean-Philippe Aguilar , Nicolas Pesci , Victor James

We introduce Dirac processes, using Dirac delta functions, for short-rate-type pricing of financial derivatives. Dirac processes add spikes to the existing building blocks of diffusions and jumps. Dirac processes are Generalized Processes,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-20 Chris Kenyon , Andrew Green

The utility-based pricing of defaultable bonds in the case of stochastic intensity models of default risk is discussed. The Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman (HJB) equations for the value functions is derived. A finite difference method is used to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-23 Regis Houssou , Olivier Besson

Before the 2008 financial crisis, most research in financial mathematics focused on pricing options without considering the effects of counterparties' defaults, illiquidity problems, and the role of the sale and repurchase agreement (Repo)…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-10 Weijie Pang , Stephan Sturm

A key driver of Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) is the possible dependency between exposure and counterparty credit risk, known as Wrong-Way Risk (WWR). At this time, addressing WWR in a both sound and tractable way remains challenging:…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-10 Damiano Brigo , Frédéric Vrins

This paper considers a variant of the classical Cram\'er-Lundberg model that is particularly appropriate in the credit context, with the distinguishing feature that it corresponds to a finite number of obligors. The focus is on computing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes

We propose a model for the credit markets in which the random default times of bonds are assumed to be given as functions of one or more independent "market factors". Market participants are assumed to have partial information about each of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-31 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

We consider the effect of recovery rates on a pool of credit assets. We allow the recovery rate to depend on the defaults in a general way. Using the theory of large deviations, we study the structure of losses in a pool consisting of a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-23 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Richard B. Sowers

Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) is the difference between the value of the default-free and credit-risky derivative portfolio, which can be regarded as the cost of the credit hedge. Default probabilities are therefore needed, as input…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-21 Ola Hammarlid , Marta Leniec

Although climate and nature related scenario analysis is increasingly important in finance, operational implementations remain limited for translating long horizon environmental scenarios into counterparty credit risk measures used in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-30 Takayuki Sakuma

We amend and extend the Chiarella model of financial markets to deal with arbitrary long-term value drifts in a consistent way. This allows us to improve upon existing calibration schemes, opening the possibility of calibrating individual…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-11 Jutta G. Kurth , Adam A. Majewski , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud