A two-stage model for dealing with temporal degradation of credit scoring
Risk Management
2014-07-01 v1 General Finance
Abstract
This work is attached to the BRICS 2013 competition. We propose a two-stage model for dealing with the temporal degradation of credit scoring models. This methodology produced motivating results in a 1-year horizon. We anticipate that it can be extended to other applications of risk assessment with great success. Future extensions should cover predictions in larger time frames and consider lagged periods. This methodology can be further improved if more information about the economic cycles is integrated in the forecasting of default.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1406.7775,
title = {A two-stage model for dealing with temporal degradation of credit scoring},
author = {Maria Rocha Sousa and João Gama and Manuel J. Silva Gonçalves},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1406.7775},
year = {2014}
}
Comments
6 pages