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In this paper the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimators of the autoregressive parameters $(\alpha,\beta)$, of the stability parameter $\varrho := \alpha + \beta$, and of the mean $\mu$ of the innovation $\vare_k$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Marton Ispany , Gyula Pap

For linear regression models who are not exactly sparse in the sense that the coefficients of the insignificant variables are not exactly zero, the working models obtained by a variable selection are often biased. Even in sparse cases,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-17 Lu Lin , Lixing Zhu , Yujie Gai

We establish a moderate deviation principle (MDP) for the number of eigenvalues of a Wigner matrix in an interval. The proof relies on fine asymptotics of the variance of the eigenvalue counting function of GUE matrices due to Gustavsson.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-14 Hanna Doering , Peter Eichelsbacher

We study instrumental variable regression in data rich environments. The goal is to estimate a linear model from many noisy covariates and many noisy instruments. Our key assumption is that true covariates and true instruments are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-30 Isaac Meza , Rahul Singh

In this work we introduce the class of beta autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average models for continuous random variables taking values in the continuous unit interval $(0,1)$. The proposed model accommodates a set of…

We analyze the dynamics of moderate fluctuations for macroscopic observables of the random field Curie Weiss model (i.e., standard Curie-Weiss model embedded in a site dependent, i.i.d. random environment). We obtain path space large…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Francesca Collet , Richard C. Kraaij

We study inference in models where a transformation of parameters exhibits first-order degeneracy -- that is, its gradient is zero or close to zero, making the standard delta method invalid. A leading example is causal mediation analysis,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-10 Xinyue Bei , Manu Navjeevan

In this article we establish Cram\'er type moderate deviation results for (intermediate) trimmed means $T_n=n^{-1} \sum_{i=k_n+1}^{n-m_n}X_{i:n}$, where $X_{i:n}$ -- the order statistics corresponding to the first $n$ observations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-09 Nadezhda Gribkova

This paper deals with recovering an unknown vector $\theta$ from the noisy data $Y=A\theta+\sigma\xi$, where $A$ is a known $(m\times n)$-matrix and $\xi$ is a white Gaussian noise. It is assumed that $n$ is large and $A$ may be severely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-11 Yuri Golubev

We propose a new class of estimators of the multivariate response linear regression coefficient matrix that exploits the assumption that the response and predictors have a joint multivariate Normal distribution. This allows us to indirectly…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-17 Aaron J. Molstad , Adam J. Rothman

Ewens-Pitman model has been successfully applied to various fields including Bayesian statistics. There are four important estimators $K_{n},M_{l,n}$,$K_{m}^{(n)},M_{l,m}^{(n)}$. In particular, $M_{1,n}, M_{1,m}^{(n)}$ are related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Youzhou Zhou

A moderate deviations principle for the law of a stochastic Burgers equation is proved via the weak convergence approach. In addition, some useful estimates toward a central limit theorem are established.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-17 Rachid Belfadli , Lahcen Boulanba , Mohamed Mellouk

This paper develops the limit theory of the GARCH(1,1) process that moderately deviates from IGARCH process towards both stationary and explosive regimes. The GARCH(1,1) process is defined by equations $u_t = \sigma_t \varepsilon_t$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Yubo Tao

The term noncentral moderate deviations is used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between the convergence in probability to a constant (governed by a reference large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

We study the bias of the isotonic regression estimator. While there is extensive work characterizing the mean squared error of the isotonic regression estimator, relatively little is known about the bias. In this paper, we provide a sharp…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ran Dai , Hyebin Song , Rina Foygel Barber , Garvesh Raskutti

We prove the first explicit rate of convergence to the Tracy-Widom distribution for the fluctuation of the largest eigenvalue of sample covariance matrices that are not integrable. Our primary focus is matrices of type $ X^*X $ and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Haoyu Wang

In this paper, we study robust covariance estimation under the approximate factor model with observed factors. We propose a novel framework to first estimate the initial joint covariance matrix of the observed data and the factors, and then…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-03 Jianqing Fan , Weichen Wang , Yiqiao Zhong

Let $X_n(k)$ be the number of vertices at level $k$ in a random recursive tree with $n+1$ vertices. We are interested in the asymptotic behavior of $X_n(k)$ for intermediate levels $k=k_n$ satisfying $k_n\to\infty$ and $k_n=o(\log n)$ as…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Alexander Iksanov , Zakhar Kabluchko

The aim of this paper is to develop tractable large deviation approximations for the empirical measure of a small noise diffusion. The starting point is the Freidlin-Wentzell theory, which shows how to approximate via a large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-11 Paul Dupuis , Guo-Jhen Wu

This paper establishes that so-called instrumental variables enable the identification and the estimation of a fully nonparametric regression model with Berkson-type measurement error in the regressors. An estimator is proposed and proven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-15 Susanne M. Schennach
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