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Related papers: Moderate deviations principle for empirical covari…

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The main aim of this paper is to study the moderate deviation principle for McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations with multiple scales. Specifically, we are interested in the asymptotic estimates of the deviation processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Wei Hong , Ge Li , Shihu Li

In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

We prove a moderate deviation principle for the continuous time interpolation of discrete time recursive stochastic processes. The methods of proof are somewhat different from the corresponding large deviation result, and in particular the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-24 Paul Dupuis , Dane Johnson

Suppose that we observe $y \in \mathbb{R}^n$ and $X \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times m}$ in the following errors-in-variables model: \begin{eqnarray*} y & = & X_0 \beta^* +\epsilon \\ X & = & X_0 + W, \end{eqnarray*} where $X_0$ is an $n \times m$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-04 Mark Rudelson , Shuheng Zhou

A novel first-order autoregressive moving average model for analyzing discrete-time series observed at irregularly spaced times is introduced. Under Gaussianity, it is established that the model is strictly stationary and ergodic. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-31 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

We study the limiting behavior of the $k$-th eigenvalue $x_k$ of unitary invariant ensembles with Freud-type and uniform convex potentials. As both $k$ and $n-k$ tend to infinity, we obtain Gaussian fluctuations for $x_k$ in the bulk and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Deng Zhang

The goal of this paper is to establish relative perturbation bounds, tailored for empirical covariance operators. Our main results are expansions for empirical eigenvalues and spectral projectors, leading to concentration inequalities and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Moritz Jirak , Martin Wahl

In this paper, we prove large deviations principle for the Nadaraya-Watson estimator and for the semi-recursive kernel estimator of the regression in the multidimensional case. Under suitable conditions, we show that the rate function is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Abdelkader Mokkadem , Mariane Pelletier , Baba Thiam

Let $\{X, X_{n}; n \geq 1\}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. non-degenerate real-valued random variables with $\mathbb{E}X^{2} < \infty$. Let $S_{n} = \sum_{i=1}^{n} X_{i}$, $n \geq 1$. Let $g(\cdot): ~[0, \infty) \rightarrow [0, \infty)$ be a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-02 Deli Li , Yu Miao , Yongcheng Qi

We study the problem of finding the index of the minimum value of a vector from noisy observations. This problem is relevant in population/policy comparison, discrete maximum likelihood, and model selection. We develop an asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Tianyu Zhang , Hao Lee , Jing Lei

In the regression framework, the empirical measure based on the responses resulting from the nearest neighbors, among the covariates, to a given point $x$ is introduced and studied as a central statistical quantity. First, the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 François Portier

We prove large and moderate deviation principles for the distribution of an empirical mean conditioned by the value of the sum of discrete i.i.d. random variables. Some applications for combinatoric problems are discussed.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-11 Fabrice Gamboa , Thierry Klein , Clémentine Prieur

The time series with periodic behavior, such as the periodic autoregressive (PAR) models belonging to the class of the periodically correlated processes, are present in various real applications. In the literature, such processes were…

Least squares estimator of the stability parameter $\varrho := |\alpha| + |\beta|$ for a spatial unilateral autoregressive process $X_{k,\ell}=\alpha X_{k-1,\ell}+\beta X_{k,\ell-1}+\varepsilon_{k,\ell}$ is investigated. Asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Sándor Baran , Gyula Pap , Kinga Sikolya

In this paper, we study the self-normalized Cram\a'{e}r-type moderate deviations for centered independent random variables $X_1, X_2,...$ with $0<E |X_i|^3 <\infty$. The main results refine Theorems 1.1 and 1.2 of Wang (2011), the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-19 Hailin Sang , Lin Ge

In this paper, we establish a central limit theorem and a moderate deviations for 2D stochastic primitive equations with multiplicative noise. The proof is mainly based on the weak convergence approach.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Rangrang Zhang , Guoli Zhou

Asymptotic distribution for the proportional covariance model under multivariate normal distributions is derived. To this end, the parametrization of the common covariance matrix by its Cholesky root is adopted. The derivations are made in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-23 Myung Geun Kim

A moderate deviation principle for nonlinear functions of Gaussian processes is established. The nonlinear functions need not be locally bounded. Especially, the logarithm is allowed. (Thus, small deviations of the process are relevant.)…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Boris Tsirelson

Measurement error in the covariate of main interest (e.g. the exposure variable, or the risk factor) is common in epidemiologic and health studies. It can effect the relative risk estimator or other types of coefficients derived from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-20 Sarit Agami

We obtain robust and computationally efficient estimators for learning several linear models that achieve statistically optimal convergence rate under minimal distributional assumptions. Concretely, we assume our data is drawn from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-07 Ainesh Bakshi , Adarsh Prasad