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Related papers: A new approach to unbiased estimation for SDE's

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In recent work of Hairer, Hutzenthaler and Jentzen, see [9], a stochastic differential equation (SDE) with infinitely often differentiable and bounded coefficients was constructed such that the Monte Carlo Euler method for approximation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-03-30 Thomas Müller-Gronbach , Larisa Yaroslavtseva

In this paper we consider the parameter estimation problem associated to partially-observed time changed SDEs, with observations that are given at discrete times. In particular we consider both likelihood and Bayesian estimation. We develop…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Ke Zhao , Ajay Jasra

We consider the problem of estimating a parameter associated to a Bayesian inverse problem. Treating the unknown initial condition as a nuisance parameter, typically one must resort to a numerical approximation of gradient of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-17 Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Deng Lu

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDEs) model the drift and diffusion functions of a stochastic process as neural networks. While NSDEs are known to make accurate predictions, their uncertainty quantification properties have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

In this paper, we propose a new stochastic optimization algorithm for Bayesian inference based on multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods. In Bayesian statistics, biased estimators of the model evidence have been often used as stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Kei Ishikawa , Takashi Goda

We study the approximation of expectations $\operatorname{E}(f(X))$ for solutions $X$ of stochastic differential equations and functionals $f$ on the path space by means of Monte Carlo algorithms that only use random bits instead of random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Michael B. Giles , Mario Hefter , Lukas Mayer , Klaus Ritter

This paper proposes a new pathwise sensitivity estimator for chaotic SDEs. By introducing a spring term between the original and perturbated SDEs, we derive a new estimator by importance sampling. The variance of the new estimator increases…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Wei Fang , Mike Giles

Overparameterized stochastic differential equation (SDE) models have achieved remarkable success in various complex environments, such as PDE-constrained optimization, stochastic control and reinforcement learning, financial engineering,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-27 Shengbo Wang , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn

Computing the variance of a conditional expectation has often been of importance in uncertainty quantification. Sun et al. has introduced an unbiased nested Monte Carlo estimator, which they call $1\frac{1}{2}$-level simulation since the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-09 Takashi Goda

We present a novel multilevel Monte Carlo approach for estimating quantities of interest for stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Drawing inspiration from [Giles and Szpruch: Antithetic multilevel Monte Carlo estimation for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Andreas Stein

Due to the potential benefits of parallelization, designing unbiased Monte Carlo estimators, primarily in the setting of randomized multilevel Monte Carlo, has recently become very popular in operations research and computational…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-03 Guanyang Wang , Jose Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn

We provide a general methodology for unbiased estimation for intractable stochastic models. We consider situations where the target distribution can be written as an appropriate limit of distributions, and where conventional approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-01 Sergios Agapiou , Gareth O. Roberts , Sebastian J. Vollmer

We study the approximation of expectations $\E(f(X))$ for solutions $X$ of SDEs and functionals $f \colon C([0,1],\R^r) \to \R$ by means of restricted Monte Carlo algorithms that may only use random bits instead of random numbers. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-21 Michael B. Giles , Mario Hefter , Lukas Mayer , Klaus Ritter

In this paper we propose an efficient stochastic optimization algorithm to search for Bayesian experimental designs such that the expected information gain is maximized. The gradient of the expected information gain with respect to…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-03 Takashi Goda , Tomohiko Hironaka , Wataru Kitade , Adam Foster

The Feynman-Kac formulae (FKF) express local solutions of partial differential equations (PDEs) as expectations with respect to some complementary stochastic differential equation (SDE). Repeatedly sampling paths from the complementary SDE…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-15 Jake Carson , Murray Pollock , Mark Girolami

We provide an extension of the unbiased simulation method for SDEs developed in Henry-Labordere et al. [Ann Appl Probab. 27:6 (2017) 1-37] to a class of path-dependent dynamics, pertaining for Asian options. In our setting, both the payoff…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Bruno Bouchard , Xiaolu Tan

We consider the problem of estimating parameters of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discrete-time observations that are either completely or partially observed. The transition density between two observations is generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-09 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

The paper proposes a systematic framework for building data-driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) models from sparse, noisy observations. Unlike traditional parametric approaches, which assume a known functional form for the drift,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Arnab Ganguly , Riten Mitra , Jinpu Zhou

We present a method for approximating solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) with arbitrary rates. This approximation is derived for bounded and measurable test functions. Specifically, we demonstrate that, leveraging the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Clément Rey

Partial differential equations (PDEs) with spatially-varying coefficients arise throughout science and engineering, modeling rich heterogeneous material behavior. Yet conventional PDE solvers struggle with the immense complexity found in…

Graphics · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Rohan Sawhney , Dario Seyb , Wojciech Jarosz , Keenan Crane