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We study the optimal asset allocation problem for a fund manager whose compensation depends on the performance of her portfolio with respect to a benchmark. The objective of the manager is to maximise the expected utility of her final…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Flavio Angelini , Katia Colaneri , Stefano Herzel , Marco Nicolosi

Managing insurance and financial risk when data is limited is a key task in the insurance industry. In this paper, we focus on cases where the risk distribution is modeled as a mixture with some components estimable to high precision or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 N. D. Shyamalkumar , Tianrun Wang

Profile likelihood provides a general framework to infer on a scalar parameter of a statistical model. A confidence interval is obtained by numerically finding the two abscissas where the profile log-likelihood curve intersects an…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-04 Yves Deville

The fundamental principle in Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) is based on the quantification of the portfolio's risk related to performance. Although MPT has made huge impacts on the investment world and prompted the success and prevalence of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-15 Shi Yu , Haoran Wang , Chaosheng Dong

The balance between convergence and diversity is a key issue of evolutionary multi-objective optimization. The recently proposed stable matching-based selection provides a new perspective to handle this balance under the framework of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-01-26 Mengyuan Wu , Ke Li , Sam Kwong , Yu Zhou , Qingfu Zhang

In this paper, we study the portfolio optimization problem with general utility functions and when the return and volatility of underlying asset are slowly varying. An asymptotic optimal strategy is provided within a specific class of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-08 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu

This paper focuses on a dynamic multi-asset mean-variance portfolio selection problem under model uncertainty. We develop a continuous time framework for taking into account ambiguity aversion about both expected return rates and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-02 Huyen Pham , Xiaoli Wei , Chao Zhou

We consider the problem of the statistical uncertainty of the correlation matrix in the optimization of a financial portfolio. We show that the use of clustering algorithms can improve the reliability of the portfolio in terms of the ratio…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Vincenzo Tola , Fabrizio Lillo , Mauro Gallegati , Rosario N. Mantegna

Estimating the probability of the binomial distribution is a basic problem, which appears in almost all introductory statistics courses and is performed frequently in various studies. In some cases, the parameter of interest is a difference…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-21 Almog Peer , David Azriel

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

Preferences play a key role in determining what goals/constraints to satisfy when not all constraints can be satisfied simultaneously. In this paper, we study how to synthesize preference satisfying plans in stochastic systems, modeled as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Abhishek N. Kulkarni , Jie Fu

We consider the problem of learning fair policies for multi-stage selection problems from observational data. This problem arises in several high-stakes domains such as company hiring, loan approval, or bail decisions where outcomes (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Zhuangzhuang Jia , Grani A. Hanasusanto , Phebe Vayanos , Weijun Xie

In the present paper, using a replica analysis, we examine the portfolio optimization problem handled in previous work and discuss the minimization of investment risk under constraints of budget and expected return for the case that the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-09 Takashi Shinzato

Uncertainty quantification is essential in decision-making, especially when joint distributions of random variables are involved. While conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Indexing intervals is a fundamental problem, finding a wide range of applications. Recent work on managing large collections of intervals in main memory focused on overlap joins and temporal aggregation problems. In this paper, we propose…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-03-08 George Christodoulou , Panagiotis Bouros , Nikos Mamoulis

We consider the problem of portfolio optimization with a correlation constraint. The framework is the multiperiod stochastic financial market setting with one tradable stock, stochastic income and a non-tradable index. The correlation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Aditya Maheshwari , Traian Pirvu

Statistical inference of the high-dimensional regression coefficients is challenging because the uncertainty introduced by the model selection procedure is hard to account for. A critical question remains unsettled; that is, is it possible…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-06 Xiaorui Zhu , Yichen Qin , Peng Wang

We study problems with stochastic uncertainty information on intervals for which the precise value can be queried by paying a cost. The goal is to devise an adaptive decision tree to find a correct solution to the problem in consideration…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-09-27 Steven Chaplick , Magnús M. Halldórsson , Murilo S. de Lima , Tigran Tonoyan

We introduce a novel strategy to address the issue of demand estimation in single-item single-period stochastic inventory optimisation problems. Our strategy analytically combines confidence interval analysis and inventory optimisation. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Roberto Rossi , Steven Prestwich , S. Armagan Tarim , Brahim Hnich

We develop and implement methods for determining whether relaxing sparsity constraints on portfolios improves the investment opportunity set for risk-averse investors. We formulate a new estimation procedure for sparse second-order…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-02 Stelios Arvanitis , Olivier Scaillet , Nikolas Topaloglou