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We construct a compound Poisson process conditioned on its random summation that represents the sizes of the connected components in the sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $G(n,c/n)$. This new representation depicts a connection between…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Wen Sun

Define the scaled empirical point process on an independent and identically distributed sequence $\{Y_i: i\le n\}$ as the random point measure with masses at $a_n^{-1} Y_i$. For suitable $a_n$ we obtain the weak limit of these point…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 André Dabrowski , Gail Ivanoof , Rafal Kulik

In this article, we give explicit bounds on the Wasserstein and the Kolmogorov distances between random variables lying in the first chaos of the Poisson space and the standard Normal distribution, using the results proved by Last, Peccati…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Mahmoud Khabou , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

It is generally known that counting statistics is not correctly described by a Gaussian approximation. Nevertheless, in neutron scattering, it is common practice to apply this approximation to the counting statistics; also at low counting…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-09 Jakob Lassa , Magnus Egede Bøggild , Per Hedegård , Kim Lefmann

We extend previous large deviations results for the randomised Heston model to the case of moderate deviations. The proofs involve the G\"artner-Ellis theorem and sharp large deviations tools.

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-06 Antoine Jacquier , Fangwei Shi

We develop a variant of Stein's method of comparison of generators to bound the Kolmogorov, total variation, and Wasserstein-1 distances between distributions on the real line. Our discrepancy is expressed in terms of the ratio of reverse…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Paul Mansanarez , Guillaume Poly , Yvik Swan

In this paper we establish a moderate deviation principle of the hitting times for trajectories of sums of independent and identically distributed random variables. The main idea of proof is to convert the moderate deviations over a small…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-10 Yuheng He

Gaussian random vectors exhibit the loss of dimension phenomena, which relate to their joint survival tail behaviour. Besides, the fact that the components of such vectors are light-tailed complicates the approximations of various…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 E. Hashorva

Although the study of weak convergence of superpositions of point processes to the Poisson process dates back to the work of Grigelionis in 1963, it was only recently that Schuhmacher [Stochastic Process. Appl. 115 (2005) 1819--1837]…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-10 Louis H. Y. Chen , Aihua Xia

Let $h$ be a three times partially differentiable function on $R^n$, let $X=(X_1,\dots,X_n)$ be a collection of real-valued random variables and let $Z=(Z_1,\dots,Z_n)$ be a multivariate Gaussian vector. In this article, we develop Stein's…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Adrian Röllin

The article addresses a long-standing open problem on the justification of using variational Bayes methods for parameter estimation. We provide general conditions for obtaining optimal risk bounds for point estimates acquired from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yun Yang

The sum of symmetric Markov dependent three-point random variables is approximated by the difference of two independent Poisson random variables (Skellam random variable). The accuracy is estimated in local, total variation and Wasserstein…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Vydas Čekanavičius , Gabija Liaudanskaite

Peccati, Sole, Taqqu, and Utzet recently combined Stein's method and Malliavin calculus to obtain a bound for the Wasserstein distance of a Poisson functional and a Gaussian random variable. Convergence in the Wasserstein distance always…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Matthias Schulte

Current literature on posterior approximation for Bayesian inference offers many alternative methods. Does our chosen approximation scheme work well on the observed data? The best existing generic diagnostic tools treating this kind of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-22 Hanwen Xing , Geoff K. Nicholls , Jeong Eun Lee

Motivated by Bourque and Pevzner's simulation study of the parsimony method for studying genome rearrangement, Berestycki and Durrett used techniques from random graph theory to prove that the minimum parsimony distance after iterating the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jason Fulman

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin

The purpose of the present paper is to establish moderate deviation principles for a rather general class of random variables fulfilling certain bounds of the cumulants. We apply a celebrated lemma of the theory of large deviations…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-28 Hanna Doering , Peter Eichelsbacher

We present a straightforward formulation of Stein's method for the semicircular distribution, specifically designed for the analysis of non-commutative random variables. Our approach employs a non-commutative version of Stein's heuristic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Mario Díaz , Arturo Jaramillo

We consider distributional approximation by generalized Dickman distributions, which appear in number theory, perpetuities, logarithmic combinatorial structures and many other areas. We prove bounds in the Kolmogorov distance for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Chinmoy Bhattacharjee , Matthias Schulte

Assuming a $q$-variant of the prime $k$-tuple conjecture uniformly, we compute mixed moments of the number of primes in disjoint short intervals and progressions, respectively. This involves estimating the mean of singular series along…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Sun-Kai Leung