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Living organisms survive and multiply even though they have uncertain and incomplete information about their environment and imperfect models to predict the consequences of their actions. Bayesian models have been proposed to face this…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Jacques Droulez , David Colliaux , Audrey Houillon , Pierre Bessière

As autonomous agents become more ubiquitous, they will eventually have to reason about the plans of other agents, which is known as theory of mind reasoning. We develop a planning-as-inference framework in which agents perform nested…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-06 Iris Rubi Seaman , Jan-Willem van de Meent , David Wingate

The causal (belief) network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independencies in a joint probability distribution. The exact methods and the approximation methods, which perform probabilistic inference in causal networks,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

Using Machine Learning systems in the real world can often be problematic, with inexplicable black-box models, the assumed certainty of imperfect measurements, or providing a single classification instead of a probability distribution. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Jonathan S. Kent , David H. Menager

Uncertainties in the real world mean that is impossible for system designers to anticipate and explicitly design for all scenarios that a robot might encounter. Thus, robots designed like this are fragile and fail outside of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Ricardo Cannizzaro , Jonathan Routley , Lars Kunze

Techniques for understanding the functioning of complex machine learning models are becoming increasingly popular, not only to improve the validation process, but also to extract new insights about the data via exploratory analysis. Though…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-02 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Irene Kim , Rushil Anirudh , Peer-Timo Bremer

During the ongoing debate over the representation of uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Cheeseman, Lemmer, Pearl, and others have argued that probability theory, and in particular the Bayesian theory, should be used as the basis for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Stephen W. Barth , Steven W. Norton

Next-generation autonomous systems must execute complex tasks in uncertain environments. Active perception, where an autonomous agent selects actions to increase knowledge about the environment, has gained traction in recent years for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-10 Rafael Rodrigues da Silva , Vince Kurtz , Hai Lin

Fuzziness and randomicity widespread exist in natural science, engineering, technology and social science. The purpose of this paper is to present a new logic - uncertain propositional logic which can deal with both fuzziness by taking…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Maokang Luo , Wei He

Choice functions constitute a simple, direct and very general mathematical framework for modelling choice under uncertainty. In particular, they are able to represent the set-valued choices that appear in imprecise-probabilistic decision…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-05-22 Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

We develop a new framework of uncertainty variables to model uncertainty. An uncertainty variable is characterized by an uncertainty set, in which its realization is bound to lie, while the conditional uncertainty is characterized by a set…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-10 Rajat Talak , Sertac Karaman , Eytan Modiano

Event structures where the causality may explicitly change during a computation have recently gained the stage. In this kind of event structures the changes in the set of the causes of an event are triggered by modifiers that may add or…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-06-22 G. Michele Pinna

Robust and flexible event representations are important to many core areas in language understanding. Scripts were proposed early on as a way of representing sequences of events for such understanding, and has recently attracted renewed…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Noah Weber , Niranjan Balasubramanian , Nathanael Chambers

An automated explanation facility for Bayesian conditioning aimed at improving user acceptance of probability-based decision support systems has been developed. The domain-independent facility is based on an information processing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Christopher Elsaesser

We introduce games with probabilistic uncertainty, a natural model for controller synthesis in which the controller observes the state of the system through imprecise sensors that provide correct information about the current state with a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin Chmelik , Rupak Majumdar

Event definitions in Complex Event Processing systems are constrained by the expressiveness of each system's language. Some systems allow the definition of instantaneous complex events, while others allow the definition of durative complex…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Manolis Pitsikalis , Alexei Lisitsa , Shan Luo

Automated extraction of semantic information from a network of sensors for cognitive analysis and human-like reasoning is a desired capability in future ground surveillance systems. We tackle the problem of complex decision making under…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Atul Kanaujia , Tae Eun Choe , Hongli Deng

Researchers in explainable artificial intelligence have developed numerous methods for helping users understand the predictions of complex supervised learning models. By contrast, explaining the $\textit{uncertainty}$ of model outputs has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 David S. Watson , Joshua O'Hara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy

The approach described here allows to use the fuzzy Object Based Representation of imprecise and uncertain knowledge. This representation has a great practical interest due to the possibility to realize reasoning on classification with a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-13 Mohamed Nazih Omri

Most of the methods that produce space weather forecasts are based on deterministic models. In order to generate a probabilistic forecast, a model needs to be run several times sampling the input parameter space, in order to generate an…

Space Physics · Physics 2019-05-01 Enrico Camporeale , Xiangning Chu , Oleksiy Agapitov , Jacob Bortnik
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