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This paper considers the problem of knowledge-based model construction in the presence of uncertainty about the association of domain entities to random variables. Multi-entity Bayesian networks (MEBNs) are defined as a representation for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Kathryn Blackmond Laskey , Suzanne M. Mahoney , Ed Wright

Reliable uncertainty quantification is a first step towards building explainable, transparent, and accountable artificial intelligent systems. Recent progress in Bayesian deep learning has made such quantification realizable. In this paper,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Yijun Xiao , William Yang Wang

Event commonsense reasoning requires the ability to reason about the relationship between events, as well as infer implicit context underlying that relationship. However, data scarcity makes it challenging for language models to learn to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Tianqing Fang , Zeming Chen , Yangqiu Song , Antoine Bosselut

Several different uncertain inference systems (UISs) have been developed for representing uncertainty in rule-based expert systems. Some of these, such as Mycin's Certainty Factors, Prospector, and Bayes' Networks were designed as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ben P. Wise , Max Henrion

Using the previously developed concepts of semantic spacetime, I explore the interpretation of knowledge representations, and their structure, as a semantic system, within the framework of promise theory. By assigning interpretations to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-08-02 Mark Burgess

Making a decision in a changeable and dynamic environment is an arduous task owing to the lack of information, their uncertainties and the unawareness of planners about the future evolution of incidents. The use of a decision support system…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-04-21 Fahem Kebair , Frederic Serin

This paper shows how we can combine logical representations of actions and decision theory in such a manner that seems natural for both. In particular we assume an axiomatization of the domain in terms of situation calculus, using what is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 David L. Poole

This paper examines the use of Bayesian Networks to tackle one of the tougher problems in requirements engineering, translating user requirements into system requirements. The approach taken is to model domain knowledge as Bayesian Network…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Philip S. Barry , Kathryn Blackmond Laskey

A model of knowledge representation is described in which propositional facts and the relationships among them can be supported by other facts. The set of knowledge which can be supported is called the set of cognitive units, each having…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 A. Julian Craddock , Roger A. Browse

In natural-language discourse, related events tend to appear near each other to describe a larger scenario. Such structures can be formalized by the notion of a frame (a.k.a. template), which comprises a set of related events and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Jackie Chi Kit Cheung , Hoifung Poon , Lucy Vanderwende

Large language model-powered multi-agent systems have emerged as powerful tools for simulating complex human-like systems. The interactions within these systems often lead to extreme events whose origins remain obscured by the black box of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Ling Tang , Jilin Mei , Dongrui Liu , Chen Qian , Dawei Cheng , Jing Shao , Xia Hu

Model-based approaches bear great promise for decision making of agents interacting with the physical world. In the context of spatial environments, different types of problems such as localisation, mapping, navigation or autonomous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-21 Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Maximilian Soelch , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

Communicating forecast uncertainty effectively is a persistent challenge in predictive endeavours such as weather forecasting. This paper explores the application of possibility theory as a complementary approach to traditional probability…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-30 John R. Lawson

The sheer scale of high-resolution raw data generated by simulation has motivated non-conventional approaches for data exploration referred as `immersive' and `in situ' query processing of the raw simulation data. Another step towards…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-08-25 Bernardo Gonçalves , Fabio Porto

Uncertainty quantification is crucial to decision-making. A prominent example is probabilistic forecasting in numerical weather prediction. The dominant approach to representing uncertainty in weather forecasting is to generate an ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Lizao Li , Rob Carver , Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Fei Sha , John Anderson

The diffusion of AI and big data is reshaping decision-making processes by increasing the amount of information that supports decisions while reducing direct interaction with data and empirical evidence. This paradigm shift introduces new…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Mario Angelelli , Massimiliano Gervasi

We introduce a novel semantics for a multi-agent epistemic operator of knowing how, based on an indistinguishability relation between plans. Our proposal is, arguably, closer to the standard presentation of knowing that modalities in…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Carlos Areces , Raul Fervari , Andrés R. Saravia , Fernando R. Velázquez-Quesada

Reasoning about real-life events is a unifying challenge in AI and NLP that has profound utility in a variety of domains, while fallacy in high-stake applications could be catastrophic. Able to work with diverse text in these domains, large…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Li Zhang

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-08 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Usually gradual and continuous changes in entities will lead to appear events. But usually it is supposed that an event is occurred at once. In this research an integrated framework called continuous occurrence theory (COT) is presented to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-14 Abdorrahman Haeri
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