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Gaussian state space models have been used for decades as generative models of sequential data. They admit an intuitive probabilistic interpretation, have a simple functional form, and enjoy widespread adoption. We introduce a unified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-06 Rahul G. Krishnan , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) is a fully probabilistic state-space model that has attracted much attention over the past decade. However, the outputs of the transition function in the existing GPSSMs are assumed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Zhidi Lin , Lei Cheng , Feng Yin , Lexi Xu , Shuguang Cui

We introduce Variational State-Space Filters (VSSF), a new method for unsupervised learning, identification, and filtering of latent Markov state space models from raw pixels. We present a theoretically sound framework for latent state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Daniel Pfrommer , Nikolai Matni

When classical particle filtering algorithms are used for maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models, a key challenge is that estimates of the likelihood function and its derivatives are inherently noisy. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-30 Andreas Svensson , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Modelling is an essential procedure in analyzing and controlling a given logical dynamic system (LDS). It has been proved that deterministic LDS can be modeled as a linear-like system using algebraic state space representation. However, due…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Changxi Li , Jun-e Feng , Daizhan Cheng , Xiao Zhang

This paper introduces a novel proprioceptive state estimator for legged robots that combines model-based filters and deep neural networks. Recent studies have shown that neural networks such as multi-layer perceptron or recurrent neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Donghoon Youm , Hyunsik Oh , Suyoung Choi , Hyeongjun Kim , Jemin Hwangbo

This work introduces Physics-informed State-space neural network Models (PSMs), a novel solution to achieving real-time optimization, flexibility, and fault tolerance in autonomous systems, particularly in transport-dominated systems such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Akshay J. Dave , Richard B. Vilim

The dynamic emulation of non-linear deterministic computer codes where the output is a time series, possibly multivariate, is examined. Such computer models simulate the evolution of some real-world phenomenon over time, for example models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow

We are interested in enabling autonomous agents to learn and reason about systems with hidden states, such as locking mechanisms. We cast this problem as learning the parameters of a discrete Partially Observable Markov Decision Process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Seiji Shaw , Travis Manderson , Chad Kessens , Nicholas Roy

A nonparametric Bayesian sparse graph linear dynamical system (SGLDS) is proposed to model sequentially observed multivariate data. SGLDS uses the Bernoulli-Poisson link together with a gamma process to generate an infinite dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-22 Rahi Kalantari , Joydeep Ghosh , Mingyuan Zhou

Generative state estimators based on probabilistic filters and smoothers are one of the most popular classes of state estimators for robots and autonomous vehicles. However, generative models have limited capacity to handle rich sensory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Tuomas Haarnoja , Anurag Ajay , Sergey Levine , Pieter Abbeel

The goal of system identification is to learn about underlying physics dynamics behind the time-series data. To model the probabilistic and nonparametric dynamics model, Gaussian process (GP) have been widely used; GP can estimate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-22 Young-Jin Park , Han-Lim Choi

We propose a partially linear additive Gaussian graphical model (PLA-GGM) for the estimation of associations between random variables distorted by observed confounders. Model parameters are estimated using an $L_1$-regularized maximal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Sinong Geng , Minhao Yan , Mladen Kolar , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

The proliferation of capable and efficient machine learning (ML) models marks one of the strongest methodological shifts in signal processing (SP) in its nearly 100-year history. ML models support the development of SP systems that…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-01 Daniel Waxman , Fernando Llorente , Petar M. Djurić

Particle filters flexibly represent multiple posterior modes nonparametrically, via a collection of weighted samples, but have classically been applied to tracking problems with known dynamics and observation likelihoods. Such generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Ali Younis , Erik Sudderth

The Kalman filter and Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother are optimal for state estimation in linear dynamic systems. With nonlinear systems, the challenge consists in how to propagate uncertainty through the state transitions and output…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Human decision making underlies data generating process in multiple application areas, and models explaining and predicting choices made by individuals are in high demand. Discrete choice models are widely studied in economics and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-06 Danqing Zhang , Kimon Fountoulakis , Junyu Cao , Michael Mahoney , Alexei Pozdnoukhov

Time series subject to change in regime have attracted much interest in domains such as econometry, finance or meteorology. For discrete-valued regimes, some models such as the popular Hidden Markov Chain (HMC) describe time series whose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Fatoumata Dama , Christine Sinoquet

Conditional restricted Boltzmann machines are undirected stochastic neural networks with a layer of input and output units connected bipartitely to a layer of hidden units. These networks define models of conditional probability…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Guido Montufar , Nihat Ay , Keyan Ghazi-Zahedi

We present the first method to directly use a learned continuous Lagrangian to forecast the dynamics of systems governed by partial differential equations, exploiting the inherent conservative structure to achieve stable long-range…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Lyra Zhornyak , Eric Forgoston , M. Ani Hsieh