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Scientists continue to develop increasingly complex mechanistic models to reflect their knowledge more realistically. Statistical inference using these models can be challenging since the corresponding likelihood function is often…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-07 Joshua J Bon , David J Warne , David J Nott , Christopher Drovandi

Bayesian posterior inference is prevalent in various machine learning problems. Variational inference provides one way to approximate the posterior distribution, however its expressive power is limited and so is the accuracy of resulting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-11 Guoqing Zheng , Yiming Yang , Jaime Carbonell

The key distinguishing property of a Bayesian approach is marginalization, rather than using a single setting of weights. Bayesian marginalization can particularly improve the accuracy and calibration of modern deep neural networks, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Pavel Izmailov

We propose an efficient method for Bayesian network inference in models with functional dependence. We generalize the multiplicative factorization method originally designed by Takikawa and D Ambrosio(1999) FOR models WITH independence OF…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Jirka Vomlel

Given a budget and arbitrary cost for selecting each node, the budgeted influence maximization (BIM) problem concerns selecting a set of seed nodes to disseminate some information that maximizes the total number of nodes influenced (termed…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-01-23 Huy Nguyen , Rong Zheng

We show an alternative way of representing a Bayesian belief network by sensitivities and probability distributions. This representation is equivalent to the traditional representation by conditional probabilities, but makes dependencies…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Alexander V. Kozlov , Jaswinder Pal Singh

Machine learning provides algorithms that can learn from data and make inferences or predictions on data. Bayesian networks are a class of graphical models that allow to represent a collection of random variables and their condititional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Robert Leppert , Karl-Heinz Zimmermann

Probabilistic Boolean Networks play a remarkable role in the modelling and control of gene regulatory networks. In this paper, we consider the inverse problem of constructing a sparse probabilistic Boolean network from the prescribed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-20 Guiyun Xiao , Zheng-Jian Bai , Wai-Ki Ching

Finding the most probable explanation for observed variables in a Bayesian network is a notoriously intractable problem, particularly if there are hidden variables in the network. In this paper we examine the complexity of a related…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2018-12-12 Johan Kwisthout

Chance-constrained problems involve stochastic components in the constraints which can be violated with a small probability. We investigate the impact of different types of chance constraints on the performance of iterative search…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Saba Sadeghi Ahouei , Jacob de Nobel , Aneta Neumann , Thomas Bäck , Frank Neumann

This paper describes a new algorithm for exact Bayesian inference that is based on a recently proposed compositional semantics of Bayesian networks in terms of channels. The paper concentrates on the ideas behind this algorithm, involving a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Bart Jacobs

We study a budgeted hyper-parameter tuning problem, where we optimize the tuning result under a hard resource constraint. We propose to solve it as a sequential decision making problem, such that we can use the partial training progress of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Zhiyun Lu , Chao-Kai Chiang , Fei Sha

This paper shows how the Bayesian network paradigm can be used in order to solve combinatorial optimization problems. To do it some methods of structure learning from data and simulation of Bayesian networks are inserted inside Estimation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Pedro Larrañaga , Ramon Etxeberria , Jose A. Lozano , Jose M. Pena

We show how to use a variational approximation to the logistic function to perform approximate inference in Bayesian networks containing discrete nodes with continuous parents. Essentially, we convert the logistic function to a Gaussian,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Kevin Murphy

Dynamic Bayesian networks have been well explored in the literature as discrete-time models: however, their continuous-time extensions have seen comparatively little attention. In this paper, we propose the first constraint-based algorithm…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Alessandro Bregoli , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

We wish to minimize the resources used for network coding while achieving the desired throughput in a multicast scenario. We employ evolutionary approaches, based on a genetic algorithm, that avoid the computational complexity that makes…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Minkyu Kim , Muriel Medard , Varun Aggarwal , Una-May O'Reilly , Wonsik Kim , Chang Wook Ahn , Michelle Effros

Bayesian inference for inverse problems hinges critically on the choice of priors. In the absence of specific prior information, population-level distributions can serve as effective priors for parameters of interest. With the advent of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-11 Gabriel Missael Barco , Alexandre Adam , Connor Stone , Yashar Hezaveh , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur

Algorithms for learning the conditional probabilities of Bayesian networks with hidden variables typically operate within a high-dimensional search space and yield only locally optimal solutions. One way of limiting the search space and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Frank Wittig , Anthony Jameson

We have previously reported a Bayesian algorithm for determining the coordinates of points in three-dimensional space from uncertain constraints. This method is useful in the determination of biological molecular structure. It is limited,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Russ B. Altman , Cheng C. Chen , William B. Poland , Jaswinder Pal Singh

This paper explores algorithms for processing probabilistic and deterministic information when the former is represented as a belief network and the latter as a set of boolean clauses. The motivating tasks are 1. evaluating beliefs networks…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Rina Dechter , David Ephraim Larkin
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