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The computational costs of inference and planning have confined Bayesian model-based reinforcement learning to one of two dismal fates: powerful Bayes-adaptive planning but only for simplistic models, or powerful, Bayesian non-parametric…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-02-11 Arthur Guez , David Silver , Peter Dayan

Structure and parameters in a Bayesian network uniquely specify the probability distribution of the modeled domain. The locality of both structure and probabilistic information are the great benefits of Bayesian networks and require the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Volker Tresp , Michael Haft , Reimar Hofmann

We study the problem of learning the best Bayesian network structure with respect to a decomposable score such as BDe, BIC or AIC. This problem is known to be NP-hard, which means that solving it becomes quickly infeasible as the number of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Tomi Silander , Petri Myllymaki

Bayesian analyses are often performed using so-called noninformative priors, with a view to achieving objective inference about unknown parameters on which available data depends. Noninformative priors depend on the relationship of the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-14 Nicholas Lewis

Recently developed techniques have made it possible to quickly learn accurate probability density functions from data in low-dimensional continuous space. In particular, mixtures of Gaussians can be fitted to data very quickly using an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Scott Davies , Andrew Moore

This paper analyzes the circumstances under which Bayesian networks can be pruned in order to reduce computational complexity without altering the computation for variables of interest. Given a problem instance which consists of a query and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Michelle Baker , Terrance E. Boult

Chance constrained program is computationally intractable due to the existence of chance constraints, which are randomly disturbed and should be satisfied with a probability. This paper proposes a two-layer randomized algorithm to address…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Xun Shen , Jiancang Zhuang , Xingguo Zhang

A common divide-and-conquer approach for Bayesian computation with big data is to partition the data, perform local inference for each piece separately, and combine the results to obtain a global posterior approximation. While being…

We propose a Bayesian elastic net that uses empirical likelihood and develop an efficient tuning of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo for posterior sampling. The proposed model relaxes the assumptions on the identity of the error distribution,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-20 Chul Moon , Adel Bedoui

Bayesian networks are probabilistic graphical models with a wide range of application areas including gene regulatory networks inference, risk analysis and image processing. Learning the structure of a Bayesian network (BNSL) from discrete…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Fulya Trösser , Simon de Givry , George Katsirelos

Comparing competing mathematical models of complex natural processes is a shared goal among many branches of science. The Bayesian probabilistic framework offers a principled way to perform model comparison and extract useful metrics for…

One of the main problems of importance sampling in Bayesian networks is representation of the importance function, which should ideally be as close as possible to the posterior joint distribution. Typically, we represent an importance…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Changhe Yuan , Marek J. Druzdzel

Distributed inference/estimation in Bayesian framework in the context of sensor networks has recently received much attention due to its broad applicability. The variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm is a technique for approximating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-30 Junhao Hua , Chunguang Li

We address the problem of Bayesian reinforcement learning using efficient model-based online planning. We propose an optimism-free Bayes-adaptive algorithm to induce deeper and sparser exploration with a theoretical bound on its performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Divya Grover , Debabrota Basu , Christos Dimitrakakis

This study proposes the first Bayesian approach for learning high-dimensional linear Bayesian networks. The proposed approach iteratively estimates each element of the topological ordering from backward and its parent using the inverse of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-28 Seyong Hwang , Kyoungjae Lee , Sunmin Oh , Gunwoong Park

In almost all situation assessment problems, it is useful to dynamically contract and expand the states under consideration as assessment proceeds. Contraction is most often used to combine similar events or low probability events together…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Kuo-Chu Chang , Robert Fung

We propose a Conditional Density Filtering (C-DF) algorithm for efficient online Bayesian inference. C-DF adapts MCMC sampling to the online setting, sampling from approximations to conditional posterior distributions obtained by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-23 Shaan Qamar , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

We propose a new method for parameter learning in Bayesian networks with qualitative influences. This method extends our previous work from networks of binary variables to networks of discrete variables with ordered values. The specified…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Ad Feelders

Using observation data to estimate unknown parameters in computational models is broadly important. This task is often challenging because solutions are non-unique due to the complexity of the model and limited observation data. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

We introduce a graceful approach to probabilistic inference called bounded conditioning. Bounded conditioning monotonically refines the bounds on posterior probabilities in a belief network with computation, and converges on final…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Eric J. Horvitz , Jaap Suermondt , Gregory F. Cooper
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