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Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are one of the most widely used statistical methods for analyzing sequence data. However, the reporting of output from HMMs has largely been restricted to the presentation of the most-probable (MAP) hidden state…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-01 Michalis K. Titsias , Christopher Yau , Christopher C. Holmes

This report describes a new technique for inducing the structure of Hidden Markov Models from data which is based on the general `model merging' strategy (Omohundro 1992). The process begins with a maximum likelihood HMM that directly…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2008-02-03 Andreas Stolcke , Stephen M. Omohundro

In social science research, understanding latent structures in populations through survey data with categorical responses is a common and important task. Traditional methods like Factor Analysis and Latent Class Analysis have limitations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Chayut Wongkamthong

The proliferation of malware variants poses a significant challenges to traditional malware detection approaches, such as signature-based methods, necessitating the development of advanced machine learning techniques. In this research, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Ritik Mehta , Olha Jureckova , Mark Stamp

We consider the task of learning mappings from sequential data to real-valued responses. We present and evaluate an approach to learning a type of hidden Markov model (HMM) for regression. The learning process involves inferring the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Keith Noto , Mark Craven

Nonparametric Bayesian approaches to clustering, information retrieval, language modeling and object recognition have recently shown great promise as a new paradigm for unsupervised data analysis. Most contributions have focused on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Ian Porteous , Alexander T. Ihler , Padhraic Smyth , Max Welling

Massive volumes of high-dimensional data that evolves over time is continuously collected by contemporary information processing systems, which brings up the problem of organizing this data into clusters, i.e. achieve the purpose of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Di Xu , Tianhang Long , Junbin Gao

Understanding the reasons for the success of deep neural networks trained using stochastic gradient-based methods is a key open problem for the nascent theory of deep learning. The types of data where these networks are most successful,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-04 Sebastian Goldt , Marc Mézard , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Microarray time course (MTC) gene expression data are commonly collected to study the dynamic nature of biological processes. One important problem is to identify genes that show different expression profiles over time and pathways that are…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Zhi Wei , Hongzhe Li

Finding a set of nested partitions of a dataset is useful to uncover relevant structure at different scales, and is often dealt with a data-dependent methodology. In this paper, we introduce a general two-step methodology for model-based…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-22 Etienne Côme , Nicolas Jouvin , Pierre Latouche , Charles Bouveyron

We consider a class of filtering problems for large populations where each individual is modeled by the same hidden Markov model (HMM). In this paper, we focus on aggregate inference problems in HMMs with discrete state space and continuous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Qinsheng Zhang , Rahul Singh , Yongxin Chen

The evolution of communities in dynamic (time-varying) network data is a prominent topic of interest. A popular approach to understanding these dynamic networks is to embed the dyadic relations into a latent metric space. While methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-18 Joshua Daniel Loyal , Yuguo Chen

Scripts have been proposed to model the stereotypical event sequences found in narratives. They can be applied to make a variety of inferences including filling gaps in the narratives and resolving ambiguous references. This paper proposes…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-09-12 J. Walker Orr , Prasad Tadepalli , Janardhan Rao Doppa , Xiaoli Fern , Thomas G. Dietterich

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) can be accurately approximated using co-occurrence frequencies of pairs and triples of observations by using a fast spectral method in contrast to the usual slow methods like EM or Gibbs sampling. We provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-03-29 Dean P. Foster , Jordan Rodu , Lyle H. Ungar

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are an important class of temporal point processes that have enabled key advances in understanding and predicting social information systems. However, due to their complex modeling of temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-02 Maximilian Nickel , Matthew Le

To identify novel dynamic patterns of gene expression, we develop a statistical method to cluster noisy measurements of gene expression collected from multiple replicates at multiple time points, with an unknown number of clusters. We…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-02 Audrey Qiuyan Fu , Steven Russell , Sarah J. Bray , Simon Tavaré

Mixtures of multivariate normal inverse Gaussian (MNIG) distributions can be used to cluster data that exhibit features such as skewness and heavy tails. However, for cluster analysis, using a traditional finite mixture model framework,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-13 Yuan Fang , Dimitris Karlis , Sanjeena Subedi

The Bayesian approach to inference stands out for naturally allowing borrowing information across heterogeneous populations, with different samples possibly sharing the same distribution. A popular Bayesian nonparametric model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Giovanni Rebaudo

The Continuous-Time Hidden Markov Model (CT-HMM) is an attractive approach to modeling disease progression due to its ability to describe noisy observations arriving irregularly in time. However, the lack of an efficient parameter learning…

In recent years, there has been a growing demand to discern clusters of subjects in datasets characterized by a large set of features. Often, these clusters may be highly variable in size and present partial hierarchical structures. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Lorenzo Schiavon , Mattia Stival