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Related papers: Two population models with constrained migrations

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We consider a population spreading across a finite number of sites. Individuals can move from one site to the other according to a network (oriented links between the sites) that vary periodically over time. On each site, the population…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Michel Benaïm , Claude Lobry , Tewfik Sari , Edouard Strickler

Symmetric random walks in $R^d$ and $Z^d$ are considered. It is assumed that the jump distribution density has moderate tails, i.e., several density moments are finite, including the second one. The global (for all $x$ and $t$) asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-16 S. Molchanov , B. Vainberg

We investigate some aspects of the problem of the estimation of birth distributions (BD) in multi-type Galton-Watson trees (MGW) with unobserved types. More precisely, we consider two-type MGW called spinal-structured trees. This kind of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Romain Azaïs , Benoît Henry

Many analyses of resource-allocation problems employ simplistic models of the population. Using the example of a resource-allocation problem of Marecek et al. [arXiv:1406.7639], we introduce rather a general behavioural model, where the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Jonathan Epperlein , Jakub Marecek

Essential to each other, growth and exploration are jointly observed in populations, be it alive such as animals and cells or inanimate such as goods and money. But their ability to move, crucial to cope with uncertainty and optimize…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-06 Thomas Gueudré , David Martin

We study the probabilistic evolution of a birth and death continuous time measure-valued process with mutations and ecological interactions. The individuals are characterized by (phenotypic) traits that take values in a compact metric…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-23 Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San Martin

We analyze mathematical models of the global human population growth and compare them to actual dynamics of the world population and of the world surplus product. We consider a possibility that the so-called world's demographic transition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-23 Michael Golosovsky

We establish a variety of properties of the discrete time simple random walk on a Galton-Watson tree conditioned to survive when the offspring distribution, $Z$ say, is in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-24 David A. Croydon , Takashi Kumagai

We derive a central limit theorem for a spatial $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot model with fluctuating population size. At each reproduction, a proportion of the population dies and is replaced by a not necessarily equal mass of new individuals. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Raphaël Forien , Bastian Wiederhold

We consider systems of interacting diffusions with local population regulation. Our main result shows that the total mass process of such a system is bounded above by the total mass process of a tree of excursions with appropriate drift and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-02 Martin Hutzenthaler

In this paper, we show that a Galton-Watson tree conditioned to have a fixed number of particles in generation $n$ converges in distribution as $n\rightarrow\infty$, and with this tool we study the span and gap statistics of a branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-24 Tianyi Bai , Pierre Rousselin

We derive the first conditionally consistent estimators for a class of parametric Markov population models with logistic growth, which are suitable for modelling endangered populations in restricted habitats with a carrying capacity. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Carmen Minuesa

We introduce a population model to test the hypothesis that even a single migrant per generation may rescue a dying population. Let $(c_k)$ be a sequence of real numbers in $(0,1)$. Let $X_n$ be a size of the population at time $n\geq 0$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-14 Iddo Ben-Ari , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

Stochastic models that incorporate birth, death and immigration (also called birth-death and innovation models) are ubiquitous and applicable to many research topics such as quantifying species sizes in ecological populations, describing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Renaud Dessalles , Maria D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

Human settlements on Earth are scattered in a multitude of shapes, sizes and spatial arrangements. These patterns are often not random but a result of complex geographical, cultural, economic and historical processes that have profound…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-03 Emanuele Strano , Filippo Simini , Marco De Nadai , Thomas Esch , Mattia Marconcini

We look at the interaction of dispersal and environmental stochasticity in $n$-patch models. We are able to prove persistence and extinction results even in the setting when the dispersal rates are stochastic. As applications we look at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-26 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

We consider a system of interacting Moran models with seed-banks. Individuals live in colonies and are subject to resampling and migration as long as they are $active$. Each colony has a seed-bank into which individuals can retreat to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-29 Frank den Hollander , Shubhamoy Nandan

We give a unified treatment of the limit, as the size tends to infinity, of simply generated random trees, including both the well-known result in the standard case of critical Galton--Watson trees and similar but less well-known results in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Svante Janson

Motivated by the goal of understanding the evolution of populations undergoing selection, we consider branching Brownian motion in which particles independently move according to one-dimensional Brownian motion with drift, each particle may…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-04 Matthew I. Roberts , Jason Schweinsberg

Many species live in colonies that thrive for a while and then collapse. Upon collapse very few individuals survive. The survivors start new colonies at other sites that thrive until they collapse, and so on. We introduce spatial and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Fábio Prates Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa , Rinaldo B. Schinazi